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Circa Sports Million/Survivor 2021-Week 8 (standings Tue., lines Thu., consensus/leaders picks Sat.)

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  • Circa Sports Million/Survivor 2021-Week 8 (standings Tue., lines Thu., consensus/leaders picks Sat.)

    Welcome to the 2012 weekly threads for the Circa contests (Circa Sports Million III and Circa Survivor).

    Circa Sports Million III made its $4 million guarantee with 4,087 entries at $1,000 apiece, breaking #vegas record for a $1,000-or-higher football contest (2019 #SuperContest had 3,328 entries at $1,500 apiece). First place is a guaranteed $1 million and pays the Top 50. There are also generous quarterly prizes.

    Circa Survivor, with a guaranteed prize pool of $6 million, drew 4,080 entries at $1,000 apiece, leaving an overlay of $1.92 million for players (thanks to owner Derek Stevens for that generous gift). The pool is $6 million to a single winner or split if multiple winners like last year. To make it tougher, Stevens added a "Christmas Week" in addition to the extra Thanksgiving Week that was used last year, in addition to the NFL expanding from a 17-week schedule to 18 weeks, so 20 total winning plays needed to run the table. (There's also a $1 million bonus to be split among those that go 20-0, with the caveat that the Buccaneers or Chiefs must be used in the final week).

    #CircaSportsMillion Top 5 Most-Selected Teams went 4-1 in Week 7 (23-12 on season) as the top choice, IND +4 at SF, won on #SNF; other winners were CIN +6.5 at BAL, NE -7 vs. NYJ & TEN +4.5 vs. KC; lone loss was by PHI +3 at LV

    #CircaSportsMillion is still led by HANNIBAL BARCA at 29-6 (82.9%); OLD SCHOOL HUSTLERSA & OTBNCC are a game & a half back, tied for 2nd place at 27-7-1; HANNIBAL BARCA also has 2 more entries that are part of an 8-way tie for 4th place at 27-8

    1 HANNIBAL BARCA-1 35 29-6-0-0 29.0
    2T OLD SCHOOL HUSTLERSA-1 35 27-7-1-0 27.5
    2T OTBNCC-1 35 27-7-1-0 27.5
    4T HANNIBAL BARCA-2 35 27-8-0-0 27.0
    4T HANNIBAL BARCA-3 35 27-8-0-0 27.0
    4T MORNING WOODIES-1 35 27-8-0-0 27.0
    4T JJarvis117-1 35 27-8-0-0 27.0
    4T PGS-1 35 27-8-0-0 27.0
    4T GAMBLER AND A GIVER-2 35 27-8-0-0 27.0
    4T WHAT COULD GO WRONG-1 35 27-8-0-0 27.0
    4T 2733 DAN 5-2 35 27-8-0-0 27.0

    #CircaSurvivor still has 2,131 live entries thru 7 weeks after another week of minimal eliminations; 66 exited with Ravens, 14 on Panthers, 6 on 49ers, 2 on Broncos, 2 on Chiefs, 1 on Dolphins & 2 w/ no pick; 19 had Saints on #MNF @CircaSports @VSiNLive




  • #2
    Here are the Week 8 lines (note: the 2nd "Quarter" runs through Week 9 for first time this year with the expansion of the schedule):




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    • #3

      FYI: noted contest player @lasvegascris, a longtime friend of ViewFromVegas and VSiN, asked me today if we had the past records for Top 5 consensus plays over the years, so I sent him the following. Note: this new version of the VFV Forums has only been up and running since 2018, but it was easy to go back and retrieve those records. It'll take more digging to unearth the VFV Classic files, so hopefully someone else has compiled a list that goes back further (Squarepants? Hello?? :-)

      This YTD and last two seasons...note: any numbers over 85 games a year are instances where a No. 5 choice was tied...more likely in SC Gold with far fewer entries!!! I do have 2018 already...45-40 in SC and 48-33-5 in SC Gold, but didn't include in chart below as I felt it was better to start with since Circa came on the scene)



      CIRCA

      2021: 23-12

      2020: 46-38-1

      2019: 42-39-4

      Since 2019 (so Circa's all-time record): 111-89-5 (55.5%)



      SUPERCONTEST

      2021: 19-15-1

      2020: 42-42-3

      2019: 42-40-3

      Since 2019: 103-97-7 (51.5%)



      SUPERCONTEST GOLD

      2021: 19-15-2

      2020: 48-38-2

      2019: 41-44-3

      Since 2019: 108-97-7 (52.7%)


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      • #4


        Dave Tuley @ViewFromVegas
        #CircaSportsMillion Top 5 Most-Selected Teams (23-12 on season) for #NFL Week 8 are the Vikings +1.5 (current line Vikings -3) vs. Cowboys, Bengals -10.5 at Jets, Lions +3.5 vs. Eagles, Colts -2.5 vs. Titans & Patriots +5 at Chargers @CircaSports @VSiNLive
        Circa Sports @CircaSports
        #CircaSportsMillion III 🏈🏆 Week 8 Selections 📄 PDF: https://t.co/iK1S4FkKEB








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        • #5
          Here's the number of times each team was selected in CIrca Survivor:




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          • #6

            Dave Tuley @ViewFromVegas
            Jets shocked Bengals 34-31 after closing as 11.5-point home underdogs & +440 on the money line; 871 entrants were eliminated in #CircaSurvivor (more than 40% of the remaining contestants)

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by DaveTuley View Post

              Dave Tuley @ViewFromVegas
              Jets shocked Bengals 34-31 after closing as 11.5-point home underdogs & +440 on the money line; 871 entrants were eliminated in #CircaSurvivor (more than 40% of the remaining contestants)
              ........and if the Chefs lose Monday it would be complete chaos! I hope not since they are my pick in my pool. I feel good about KC knowing a loss here their season is pretty much done. I know you have the NY Football Gigantes +10 - if you win ATS and I win SU we are both happy.

              BTW - that now makes 47 NO PICK for the season - well over 1%. Head shaking stuff

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              • #8
                Winkyduck...worked out perfect with Chiefs by 3

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                • #9
                  #CircaSportsMillion Top 5 Most-Selected Teams went 1-4 in Week 8 (dropping to 24-16 on the season) with top choice, Vikings +1.5, losing on #SNF, along w/ Bengals -10.5, Lions +3.5 & Colts -2.5; lone win was No. 5 choice, Patriots +5

                  #CircaSportsMillion leader HANNIBAL BARCA-1 lost with KC -9.5 on #MNF but is still on top at 31-9 (77.5%) & a half-point lead on OLD SCHOOL HUSTLERSA at 30-9-1; HANNIBAL BARCA-3 is in tie for 9th; note: 2nd Quarter ends after Week 9

                  #CircaSurvivor has 1,188 live entrants through #NFL's Week 8 after 734 sweated out KC's 20-17 win vs. NYG on #MNF after the Halloween massacre that saw 930 eliminated Sunday led by a week-high 871 on CIN in a 34-31 loss at NYJ

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