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SuperContest Week 10 thread: lines Wed./selections Sat./grade it all through weekend

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  • SuperContest Week 10 thread: lines Wed./selections Sat./grade it all through weekend

    This is the thread for Week 10 with the leaderboard that is posted on Tuesday, lines for the week that come out on Wednesday, then the consensus and selections on Saturday and then grading it all through the weekend. In case you're not aware, the SuperContest Classic drew a record 3,123 this season with the SuperContest Gold attracting 128 (after 94 in the inaugural season). First place is worth $1,422,214.20 with $517,168.80 for second and paying out to the Top 100; Gold is winner-take-all at $640,000.

    Last week, the Top 5 Most-Selected Teams went 5-0 for the second straight week (14-1 over last 3 weeks after going 2-8 on back-to-back 1-4 Weeks 5-6) and stands at 26-19 (57.8%) overall. Gold Top 5 went 4-1 and is 26-15-4 (63.4%) overall.





    Dave Tuley@ViewFromVegas
    2 days ago

    Personal Gourmet is the #SuperContest leader after Week 9, going 4-1 (capped off w/ TEN +6.5 on #MNF) to improve to 36-9 (80%); @Pigskin_Junkies, who split the $15,000 "1st Half Bonus" @SuperBookUSA w/ PG as co-leaders after Week 8, went 3-2 and is alone in 2nd at 35-10 @VSiNLive






    Dave Tuley@ViewFromVegas
    2 days ago

    In #SuperContestGold (which doesn't have any in-season bonuses, just the winner-take-all prize of $640,000), there's a three-way tie at 30.5 points with Hammer 3 (who went 5-0 in Week 9) and two co-leaders from last week, Champion Iceman 2 and JRich, who both went 4-1 @VSiNLive



    Here's the SuperContest leaderboard with Top 20 plus ties:
    PERSONAL GOURMET 4 1 0 4 36 9 0 36
    @PIGSKIN_JUNKIES 3 2 0 3 35 10 0 35
    THAT OTHER TEAM 2 3 0 2 32 10 3 33.5
    RUSH YYZ 2112 5 0 0 5 33 12 0 33
    KAPITAL GAINS 4 1 0 4 31 11 3 32.5
    MICKS PICKS 4 1 0 4 31 11 3 32.5
    ALEXANDERS IN 4 1 0 4 31 11 3 32.5
    JAZ 2 3 0 2 32 12 1 32.5
    C SQUARED 5 0 0 5 31 12 2 32
    CROWWINGKING. 5 0 0 5 30 11 4 32
    THE ITALIAN STALLION 4 1 0 4 31 12 2 32
    PARTYWITHTHENOODLER1 4 1 0 4 31 12 2 32
    FLASH 15 4 1 0 4 31 12 2 32
    FINALLY 2019 3 2 0 3 32 13 0 32
    TEXASTRIO 5 0 0 5 31 13 1 31.5
    SNOOPYANDPRICKLYPETE 4 1 0 4 30 12 3 31.5
    TEAM CLEVELAND 1 3 2 0 3 30 12 3 31.5
    7_OUT 5 0 0 5 30 13 2 31
    HYMIES HUNAN 5 0 0 5 31 14 0 31
    @FORECASTILATOR 4 1 0 4 30 13 2 31
    DUELLYS 4 1 0 4 30 13 2 31
    NOAH'S ARK 4 1 0 4 30 13 2 31
    ELVIS LEI 4 1 0 4 30 13 2 31
    #JOHNNYDRAMA 4 1 0 4 30 13 2 31
    DYLAN MAX DYLAN 4 1 0 4 29 12 4 31
    XRAYMD 4 1 0 4 31 14 0 31
    KEEPPOUNDING 4 1 0 4 31 14 0 31
    MOOSEMOJO55 3 2 0 3 30 13 2 31
    7 SHOTS 3 2 0 3 30 13 2 31
    5PUPS 3 2 0 3 30 13 2 31
    BET CHICAGO FRANK 3 2 0 3 31 14 0 31
    And here's the Gold leaderboard:
    HAMMER 3 5 0 0 5 30 14 1 30.5
    CHAMPION ICEMAN 2 4 1 0 4 30 14 1 30.5
    JRICH 4 1 0 4 30 14 1 30.5
    PARTYWITHTHENOODLER2 4 1 0 4 29 14 2 30
    RAZORBACK 4 1 0 4 30 15 0 30
    DANNY POLO 1 3 2 0 3 29 15 1 29.5

    Here are the lines for Week 10 (locked in by the Westgate on Wednesday afternoon). For those who don't know, the favorite is listed first and then the underdog, followed by the spread in relation to the underdog...also, the numbers to the left of each team are for SuperContestants and their proxies submitting the plays (though it's automated on a kiosk at the Westgate as opposed to the old days when parlay-like cards were used and everyone had to fill in the circles on the correct team number):

    THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 8, 2018
    1 STEELERS* 5:20 PM 2 PANTHERS +4
    SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 11, 2018
    3 JETS* 10:00 AM 4 BILLS +6.5
    5 FALCONS 10:00 AM 6 BROWNS* +4
    7 SAINTS 10:00 AM 8 BENGALS* +5.5
    9 BUCCANEERS* 10:00 AM 10 REDSKINS +3
    11 PATRIOTS 10:00 AM 12 TITANS* +6.5
    13 PACKERS* 1:25 PM 14 DOLPHINS +9.5
    15 COLTS* 10:00 AM 16 JAGUARS +3
    17 BEARS* 10:00 AM 18 LIONS +6.5
    19 CHIEFS* 10:00 AM 20 CARDINALS +16.5
    21 CHARGERS 1:05 PM 22 RAIDERS* +9.5
    23 RAMS* 1:25 PM 24 SEAHAWKS +9.5
    25 EAGLES* 5:20 PM 26 COWBOYS +6.5
    MONDAY, NOVEMBER 12, 2018
    27 49ERS* 5:15 PM 28 GIANTS +3

  • #2
    Here's my story for VSIN on Personal Gourmet and @Pigskin_Junkies, who split the $15,000 1st Half Bonus: https://www.vsin.com/contest-corner-...-half-leaders/

    Comment


    • #3

      Dave Tuley@ViewFromVegas
      #SuperContest Top 5 Most-Selected Teams (2 straight 5-0 weeks, 14-1 last three, 26-19 overall) are PHI -6.5, ATL -4, SEA +9.5, NE -6.5, LAC -9.5; #SuperContestGold Top 5 (4-1 last week, 26-15-4 overall, 63.4%) also has PHI & ATL as Top 2, plus JAX +3, CIN +5.5, GB -9.5 @VSiNLive


      Dave Tuley@ViewFromVegas
      #SuperContest leader Personal Gourmet (36-9, 80%) has TB -3, JAX +3, DET +6.5, LAC -9.5, SEA +9.5 in #NFL Week 10 @SuperBookUSA; @Pigskin_Junkies (1 game back at 35-10) has NE -6.5, CHI -6.5, LAC -9.5, SEA +9.5, PHI -6.5 @VSiNLive


      And here are the number of times each team was taken by the record 3,123 SuperContestants:

      PHI 1401
      ATL 1294
      SEA 1078
      NE 935
      LAC 919
      CIN 795
      JAX 764
      NO 743
      TB 739
      GB 672
      CHI 631
      IND 580
      DET 569
      NYG 553
      TEN 446
      NYJ 378
      SF 354
      WAS 337
      ARI 299
      KC 292
      LAR 262
      CLE 260
      CAR 245
      DAL 224
      MIA 218
      PIT 211
      OAK 175
      BUF 141

      Comment


      • #4
        Here’s how they line up in % of Pick’s per game

        Team # Opp # Tot. %%
        NYJ 378 BUF 1 379 100%
        Pha 1401 DAL 224 1625 86%
        LAC 919 OAK 175 1094 84%
        ATL 1294 CLE 260 1554 83%
        SEA 1078 LAR 262 1340 80%
        GB 672 MIA 218 890 76%
        TB 739 WAS 337 1076 69%
        NE 935 TEN 446 1381 68%
        NYG 553 SF 354 907 61%
        JAX 764 IND 580 1344 57%
        CAR 245 PIT 211 456 54%
        CHI 631 DET 569 1200 53%
        CIN 795 NO 743 1538 52%
        ARI 299 KC 292 591 51%


        "A missed FG is a turnover " Michael Lombardi
        “The bigger the edge, the fewer the bets we need to verify our strategy.” Jim Makos

        Comment


        • #5
          Here are the number of times each team was picked split into the head-to-head matchups so we can grade the results through the weekend:

          CAR 245 ***LOSS***
          PIT 211

          Overall consensus starts 0-1 in Week 10.

          ====================

          BUF 141
          NYJ 378 ***LOSS***

          ATL 1294 ***LOSS as No. 2 MOST-SELECTED TEAM***
          CLE 260

          NO 743
          CIN 795 ***LOSS***

          WAS 337
          TB 739 ***LOSS***

          NE 935 ***LOSS as No. 4 MOST-SELECTED TEAM***
          ​​​​​​​TEN 446

          JAX 764 ***PUSH***
          IND 580

          DET 569
          CHI 631 ***WIN***

          ARI 299 ***WIN***
          KC 292

          Top 5 Most-Selected starts week at 0-2 with losses by Falcons and Patriots...overall consensus goes 2-5-1 in early games and is 2-6-1 in Week 10.

          ====================

          MIA 218
          ​​​​​​​GB 672 ***WIN***

          SEA 1078 ***WIN as No. 3 MOST-SELECTED TEAM***
          LAR 262

          LAC 919 ***WIN as No. 5 MOST-SELECTED TEAM***
          OAK 175

          Top 5 Most-Selected goes 2-0 to get back to .500 for the week at 2-2 heading into #SNF...overall consensus sweeps afternoon games and improves to 5-6-1 on the week.
          ​​​​​​​
          ====================

          DAL 224
          PHI 1401 ***LOSS as No. 1 MOST-SELECTED TEAM***

          Top 5 finishes the week at 2-3...overall consensus drops to 5-7-1.
          ​​​​​​​
          ====================

          NYG 553 ******
          SF 354

          Comment


          • #6

            Dave Tuley @ViewFromVegas
            #SuperContest leader Personal Gourmet, who entered the week at 80%, only went 2-2-1 in Week 10 but is still in 1st place at 38-11-1 (77.6%) as @Pigskin_Junkies went 3-2 to pull within half a point at 38-12 (76%) but could've moved into 1st if PHI -6.5 had covered on SNF @VSiNLive


            Dave Tuley @ViewFromVegas
            In #SuperContestGold ($5,000 version of #SuperContest with winner-take-all prize), Hammer 3 is in first with 33.5 points at 33-16-1 (67.3%) but he can be tied for lead by JRICH if NYG +3 wins on #MNF; regardless of NYG-SF outcome, there will be 14 within 3 games of lead @VSiNLive

            Comment

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