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SuperContest Week 2 thread: lines Wed., selections Sat., grade it all through weekend

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  • SuperContest Week 2 thread: lines Wed., selections Sat., grade it all through weekend

    All right...one week in the books, the SuperBook that is in regards to the SuperContest. This is the thread for Week 2 with the leaderboard, lines for the week on Wednesday, then the consensus and selections on Saturday and then grading it all through the weekend. In case you didn't see, the SuperContest Classic drew a record 3,123 this season with the SuperContest Gold attracting 128 (after 94 in the inaugural season).

    There were 65 entrants who had a perfect 5-0 record in Week 1, including my boss at VSiN, Brent Musburger (playing as VSiN 1). Only one player (Give Me My Name 7) went 5-0 in the Gold.

    SuperContest Classic Top 5 Consensus went 4-1 (wins by CIN, LAR, BAL. MIN; loss by No. 5 pick HOU); SuperContest Gold Top 5 went 3-1-1 (push by DEN). There were 19 regular SuperContest players who failed to submit their plays, 2 in the $5,000 Gold.

    Here are the lines for Week 2, locked in by the Westgate on Wednesday afternoon. Westgate sports book director John Murray said they decided to go with Vikings -7 because they believe Aaron Rodgers won't be playing. Note that the SuperContest always has a line on every NFL game even if it's off the board on Wednesday afternoon when they're setting the lines.

    For those who don't know, the favorite is listed first and then the underdog, followed by the spread in relation to the underdog...also, the numbers to the left of each team are for SuperContestants and their proxies submitting the plays (though it's automated on a kiosk at the Westgate as opposed to the old days when parlay-like cards were used and everyone had to fill in the circles on the correct team number):
    9/13/2018 17:20 1 RAVENS 2 BENGALS* PK
    9/16/2018 10:00 3 REDSKINS* 4 COLTS +6
    9/16/2018 10:00 5 FALCONS* 6 PANTHERS +6
    9/16/2018 10:00 7 VIKINGS 8 PACKERS* +7
    9/16/2018 10:00 9 CHARGERS 10 BILLS* +7
    9/16/2018 10:00 11 TEXANS 12 TITANS* PK
    9/16/2018 10:00 13 STEELERS* 14 CHIEFS +4
    9/16/2018 10:00 15 JETS* 16 DOLPHINS +2.5
    9/16/2018 10:00 17 EAGLES 18 BUCCANEERS* +3.5
    9/16/2018 10:00 19 SAINTS* 20 BROWNS +8.5
    9/16/2018 13:05:00 PM 21 RAMS* 22 CARDINALS +12.5
    9/16/2018 13:05:00 PM 23 49ERS* 24 LIONS +6
    9/16/2018 13:25:00 PM 25 PATRIOTS 26 JAGUARS* +1
    9/16/2018 13:25:00 PM 27 BRONCOS* 28 RAIDERS +6
    9/16/2018 17:20:00 PM 29 COWBOYS* 30 GIANTS +3
    9/17/2018 17:15:00 PM 31 BEARS* 32 SEAHAWKS +3.5

  • #2
    Dave - thanks for the quick post on Week #2 lines!

    Comment


    • #3
      You're welcome, Vegasportsline.com...for those dying to know the names of the 65 that went 5-0 (note that there is a "Give Me My Name" so I'm assuming that person is in first place in both contests as the only 5-0 in the Gold was Give Me My Name 7 -- or else it's a friend of family member). For some reason, the Westgate's system doesn't allow same name in the Classic and Gold contests, so it might have just been that Give Me My Name was told he had to change it and suggest adding a 1 and instead they added a 7???):
      :
      VSiN 1 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      OFFSHOREBETTOR.COM 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      504 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      APARTMENT 10B 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      PROFESSOR KP 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      ALL OR NONE 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      GIVE ME MY NAME 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      THE BIG G 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      NICHT MEIN FUHRER 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      BLUEHEN84 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      ERIC TAYLOR 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      VOKSTER 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      CHEESHNATION 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      FOX AND THE HOUND 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      3 LITTLE PANDAS 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      XRAYMD 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      SUNDAYSTOCKS 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      AROMARRUNSTHROUGHIT 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      ANDREW AVERY 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      GBF. 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      ARROW POINT DRIFTERS 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      CONGO YOU ARE 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      THEBETTORBET 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      RABID PORCUPINE 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      RBUTLER275 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      GRINGO'S UGLY PICKS 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      BIG SWINGING PICKS 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      REDWINE 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      PLAY BALL 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      THE AFTERMATT 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      BETTING ON LUCK 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      KGMAINS 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      MCDIRT LLC 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      THE FASHION SHOW 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      JOHNNY THE EEL 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      MMOOAARR 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      RATED PG 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      STOP RESISTING 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      STYLEBOY4LIFE 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      NO LIMITATIONS 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      ON TO CINCINNATI 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      BERNIELOMAX6 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      MIKE PIRANIO 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      TRIFECTA 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      LARRY+CURLY EXPRESS 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      PUDDIN PALS 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      BROOKLYN_DODGERS. 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      CROWWINGKING. 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      OP PRIDE 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      DANK 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      BRAIN BABY 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      HEADEN HOUSE 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      THE BLUFF 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      CR PRO PICKS 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      YOU PICK 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      BREAKFAST AT TIFFANI 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      CABBIE PETRO 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      JAZZ9TITANS 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      FE2 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      MILE HIGH BOMBERS 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      TEAM JHL 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      THE ITALIAN STALLION 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      CURIOUS GEORGE #2 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      G2SPORTSINVESTMENTS 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
      BALCH LAKE BOYZ 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5

      Comment


      • #4
        Dave Tuley@ViewFromVegas
        1 min ago
        #SuperContest Top 5 Most Selected Teams are HOU PK (currently -3 everywhere), NYG +3, PIT -4 (currently -6 @LVSuperBook), NE -1, PHI -3.5; full consensus numbers (including #SuperContestGold) can be seen on our dedicated page vsin.com/supercontest @VSiNLive

        SuperContest Gold Top 5 is HOU PK, PIT -4, GB +7, NE -1, PHI -3.5, (tie for 5th w/ NYG +3)

        Here are the number of times each team was selected in SC Classic. As you can see, the bottom 5 teams are the usual suspects of Browns, Cardinals and Bills with the Vikings and Titans dismissed due to the spreads assinged their games:

        HOU 1514
        NYG 933
        PIT 910
        NE 902
        PHI 808
        LAC 781
        IND 680
        NO 675
        NYJ 613
        SF 605
        GB 580
        CAR 540
        SEA 537
        LAR 536
        ATL 471
        KC 425
        WAS 399
        JAX 388
        DEN 386
        CHI 350
        MIA 322
        DET 297
        OAK 273
        TB 254
        DAL 251
        BAL 238
        CIN 182
        BUF 180
        ARI 175
        MIN 165
        CLE 145
        TEN 80

        We'll break them down later into the head-to-head matchups and grade through the weekend,

        Comment


        • #5
          WINHere are the head-to-head matchups to see how the SuperContestants landed on each game:

          BAL 238 ***LOSS***
          CIN 182

          Overall consensus starts 0-1 on the week as the Ravens let down more players.

          ====================

          WAS 399
          IND 680 ***WIN***

          CAR 540 ***LOSS***
          ATL 471

          MIN 165
          GB 580 ***WIN***

          LAC 781 ***WIN***
          BUF 180

          HOU 1514 ***LOSS as No. 1 MOST SELECTED TEAM (also No. 1 in Gold)***
          TEN 80

          KC 425
          PIT 910 ***LOSS as No. 3 MOST SELECTED TEAM***

          MIA 322
          NYJ 613 ***LOSS***

          PHI 808 ***LOSS as No. 5 MOST SELECTED TEAM***
          TB 254

          CLE 145
          NO 675 ***LOSS***

          Top 5 Consensus started 0-3 with Texans, Steelers and Eagles not only failing to cover but losing outright; overall consensus went 3-6 in early Sunday games, 3-7 including Thursday night.

          ====================

          ARI 175
          LAR 536 ***WIN***

          DET 297
          SF 605 ***LOSS***

          NE 902 ***LOSS as No. 4 MOST SELECTED TEAM***
          JAX 388

          OAK 273
          DEN 386 ***LOSS***

          Top 5 Consensus drops to 0-4 w/ Patriots loss; overall consensus goes 1-3 in afternoon games and drops to 4-10 for the week.

          ====================

          NYG 933 ***LOSS as No. 2 MOST SELECTED TEAM***
          DAL 251

          Top 5 Consensus finished 0-5 for the week with the Giants' non-cover on Sunday night (Gold Top 5 finishes 1-4, actually 1-5 with Eagles and Giants tying for fifth most-selected team but that would just confuse matters down the line so I'm calling it 1-4 LMEAO); overall consensus dips to 4-11.

          ====================

          SEA 537 ***LOSS***
          CHI 350

          Overall consensus drops to 4-12.

          Comment


          • #6
            I understand that the Supercontest line on the HOU-TEN game was pick versus the -3 that it basically is everywhere right now, but I don't understand the enormous disparity in the number of times selected. 1,514 on HOU while only 80 on TEN? That means 95% of the people selecting that game are on HOU. Personally, I think that's a mistake. I may be proven wrong but I think the Titans are a live dog in that game and I won't be shocked at all if they win. Could be a nice gain for all the other contestants that didn't select that game if the Titans win.

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by RacingCat View Post
              I understand that the Supercontest line on the HOU-TEN game was pick versus the -3 that it basically is everywhere right now, but I don't understand the enormous disparity in the number of times selected. 1,514 on HOU while only 80 on TEN? That means 95% of the people selecting that game are on HOU. Personally, I think that's a mistake. I may be proven wrong but I think the Titans are a live dog in that game and I won't be shocked at all if they win. Could be a nice gain for all the other contestants that didn't select that game if the Titans win.
              Yep...those that tried to steal a game taking HOU on the cheap line got burned...those who speculated on Aaron Rodgers got the +7 they wanted and the win.

              Comment


              • #8

                Dave Tuley@ViewFromVegas
                #SuperContest Top 5 Most Selected went 0-5 as HOU PK, NYG +3, PIT -4, NE -1, PHI -3.5 all failed to cover; #SuperContestGold Top 5 went 1-4 w/ GB +7 the only winner; through first 2 weeks, SC Classic Top 5 is 4-6, Gold Top 5 is 4-5-1 @VSiNLive

                Comment


                • #9
                  Going into MNF, leaders are:
                  Alias Wins Losses Pushes Points Pick 1 Pick 2 Pick 3 Pick 4 Pick 5
                  FINALLY 2019 9 1 0 9.0
                  RICK D 9 1 0 9.0
                  CLEVTA 8 1 1 8.5
                  COWBOY CHARLIE 8 1 1 8.5
                  LFG CITY 8 1 1 8.5
                  GRINGO'S UGLY PICKS 8 1 0 8.0 SEA
                  THE ITALIAN STALLION 8 1 0 8.0 SEA
                  H2OBOY 8 1 0 8.0 CHI

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Week 2 records going into MNF:
                    SuperContest: W/L/P 5665-9043-0, Pending 887, 38.52%
                    GOLD: W/L/P: 256-345-0, Pending 39, 42.60%
                    Last edited by ComptrBob; 09-17-2018, 11:05 AM.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Point Distribution after Week 2:
                      Place Points #Entrants
                      1 9.0 3
                      4 8.5 5
                      9 8 37
                      46 7.5 30
                      76 7 137
                      213 6.5 113
                      326 6 402
                      728 5.5 285
                      1013 5 577
                      1590 4.5 310
                      1900 4 491
                      2391 3.5 229
                      2620 3 304
                      2924 2.5 82
                      3006 2 91
                      3097 1.5 6
                      3103 1 17
                      3120 0.5 1
                      3121 0 3

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Thanks, ComptrBob...gave you a shout-out on Twitter with my recaps:


                        Dave Tuley@ViewFromVegas
                        H2OBOY joins Rick D & Finally 2019 as #SuperContest leaders at 9-1 as no perfect records remain after Week 2; 7-2-1 is best record in #SuperContestGold with BangTheBook.com & Amirsufi sharing lead (h/t ComptrBob & @fansupercontest as official standings come out tomorrow)


                        Dave Tuley@ViewFromVegas
                        As posted last night, #SuperContest Top 5 Consensus 0-5 in NFL Week 2 as HOU, NYG, PIT, NE & PHI all failed to cover (overall consensus 4-12 w/ SEA loss); #SuperContestGold Top 5 went 1-4 (GB +7 only winner); through 2 weeks, SC Classic Top 5 is 4-6, Gold Top 5 is 4-5-1 @VSiNLive

                        Comment

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