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2019 NFL P.O.W. Week #12 (November 21-25) Post Plays Here

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  • 2019 NFL P.O.W. Week #12 (November 21-25) Post Plays Here

    This is the thread for the 2019 VFV NFL P.O.W. contest. The following are the rules for this year (the same as in the past):

    1. All contestants must be a member in good standing with VFV Forums
    2. Players make one (1) single play ATS each week during the NFL regular season
    3. A correct play results in one (1) point being awarded. A "push" or tie, results in a half point (1/2) being awarded
    4. An Incorrect play results in zero (0) points being awarded
    5. All lines MUST be taken from the following website each week: http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/
    6. All lines must be -110 or less (must be posted on above site...no buying 1/2 point)
    7. Only Vegas Sports Books listed on the VI website will be allowed
    8. The following Books will NOT be allowed: VI Consensus, BetOnline, PepperMill, Atlantis Reno
    9. The following selections are allowed: Full Game Side, Full Game Total, First Half Side, First Half Total (NO MONEYLINES ALLOWED)
    10. Plays MUST be submitted each week by kickoff of last scheduled game.
    11. Plays must be in the following format (or close to it):

    2019 NFL P.O.W. (0-0-0 (post your current record here))

    Atlanta Falcons +3 (Golden Nugget)
    (This is where you will post your reasoning for this selection. It doesn't have to be a book or even a full paragraph, but more than just "I think the Falcons are better.")

    12. Myself, Seahawk Rick (the artist formerly known as Cybergolf) or any other I deem so, will have final ruling on if a play is valid (ie: Wrong line, Wrong Book, Not enough reasoning given, etc)
    13. The first couple of weeks I will give the benefit of the doubt to any newcomers on here...veterans, you know the rules, LMEAO
    14. NO EDITING!!! (ironic, as this was edited by DaveTuley LMEAO)...you can't change your pick after you post it as this supposed to mirror the real world where you lock in your bet at the current number...if you need to clarify something in original post (typed in wrong team or line, or forget to cite sportsbooks, etc.), please quote in new post to bring it to the moderators attention
    15. For the first time, this year, Week 17 will be worth 2 points for a correct selection and 1 point for a push.
    16. To qualify for the playoff round of this competition, players must have a total of 10 points by the end of the regular season (week 17)...important note: your points will be the number of Units you start with in the playoff portion of the contest that runs through the Super Bowl and will be run by DaveTuley with locked-in spreads and totals, though Tuley often will give extra options if the market has variances such as Patriots -6.5 but also Steelers +7 being available); still debating maximum units allowed for playoff round (currently 5-unit max bet each playoff weekend).
    17. ViewFromVegas shirt to top point-earner in regular season; $100 gift card & VFV shirt to overall playoff champion (we've had VFV Forum members offer up additional prizes in the past including cash and steak knives, so please contact DaveTuley if you have anything to add).

    If you have any questions, feel free to ask and best of luck this season!

    ******ONLY ENTRIES WITH AT LEAST 3 POINTS ARE ELIGIBLE TO CONTINUE IN THIS YEARS CONTEST******

  • #2
    In Week 11 we went a combined 22-19-1 (.524) ATS

    Thru 11 weeks, we are now a combined 287-259-11 (.515) ATS
    Name Win Loss Tie Total
    TARB 10 1 0 10
    AZTEC10 9 2 0 9
    COMPASS ROSE 9 2 0 9
    AMAZINGMOM 8 3 0 8
    EAST COAST 8 3 0 8
    TAKETHEREDEYE 7 2 2 8
    ASTEROID M 7 3 1 7.5
    GCOTTON 7 3 1 7.5
    AARON24 7 4 0 7
    BLUEANDGOLD65 7 4 0 7
    FREE JACK 7 4 0 7
    J.HERB 7 4 0 7
    JIMMYJAM4508 7 4 0 7
    MCGRATH 7 4 0 7
    MRVOLO 7 4 0 7
    SENATOR L 7 4 0 7
    SKYKAM1914 7 3 0 7
    STR8OUTTADURANGO 7 4 0 7
    STRMCHAR1 7 4 0 7
    BRUIN GUY 6 4 1 6.5
    DUKOWSKI 6 4 1 6.5
    TEXAN 73 6 4 1 6.5
    2HOLLYWOOD2 6 5 0 6
    FLORABAMABOY 6 5 0 6
    JPDAWG 6 5 0 6
    MR. PIXTER 6 4 0 6
    NINERUTEFAN 6 5 0 6
    PHATMAN15 6 5 0 6
    PITTSBURGH 6 5 0 6
    RACING CAT 6 5 0 6
    BUCKEYEFAN80 5 6 0 5
    CASEINPOINT 5 6 0 5
    CHAMOINLA 5 6 0 5
    NEALWE 5 6 0 5
    SEAHAWK RICK 5 6 0 5
    ICETEA2 4 6 1 4.5
    XAVIER ROB 4 6 1 4.5
    CAP32 4 6 0 4
    COACHV29 4 7 0 4
    ROCKMAN IN PA 4 7 0 4
    ZJABRONI 4 6 0 4
    EIEIO 3 6 1 3.5
    DEANO 3 8 0 3
    HEYRUBE! 3 4 0 3
    LEGZ_AKIMBO 3 8 0 3
    MATTYSHARP 3 3 0 3
    Last edited by gcotton; 11-20-2019, 04:09 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NFL POW (7-4 YTD)

      Bal pick (CG Tech)

      Jumping on one of hottest teams in league right now, Bal leads in scoring margin, and points scored last three games, third in points allowed last three games, fourth in turnover margin last three games. Expect line to move quickly towards Bal being favored. Taking best spread. Bal 27-7. Spread jumped while I was typing this, so i guess i have to take Bal -2.5 William Hill. GLTA!

      Comment


      • gcotton
        gcotton commented
        Editing a comment
        Your play will be graded at the 2.5.....Thanks for being so honest in regards to this. Good luck!

      • Strmchsr1
        Strmchsr1 commented
        Editing a comment
        Thanks G, and good luck to you this week as well. Congrats on your NFL mirror contest success this week! Well deserved end to your vacation. Was eyeing the pick line for awhile, but I always look at line before writing post , then again to confirm before submitting the post. Still happy with this line. A little better than other lines on other top teams .

    • #4
      2019 NFL P.O.W. (7-4-0)

      Ravens -2.5 William Hill

      Less than a field goal is still value here. Both teams defenses doing well right now, but offensively the Ravens and Lamar Jackson are #1. The Rams offense just can't seem to get things together. Goff looked horrible last week, and is not impressing in tonight's game yet either. Score halfway through second quarter is Rams 3-0. Philly's only TD against Ravens was originally ruled an interception - and looking at film it looked like int to me - and Eagles didn't score the rest of the game. Think IMHO that Eagles offense is better than the Rams. Actually, I think 2/3 of NFL offenses are better than the Rams offense - at this time. But Eagles defense played very well, holding the hot Ravens offense to 17 points. But likewise, the Chicago defense is not quite as good as the Ravens, so the going will be tougher for the Rams offense. Turnovers, particularly takeaways tip the scales even farther in Ravens favor. Ravens 24-10. Best of luck all!

      Comment


      • Blueandgold65
        Blueandgold65 commented
        Editing a comment
        O.k. I'm tired, I'm old and memory is ****, and I'm tired of being tired, and tired of having memory like a sieve LOL. I think I need a beer. Ravens - whose game I didn't see, but got a little off the radio - trashed my pick from last week by also trashing the Texans 41-7. They have been trashing everyone by about 4 TDs or so a game. But, at least I still remember that this game next week I'm picking is the Ravens versus the Rams. So, where's that beer...

    • #5
      NFL POW (5-6-0 ytd)

      ATLANTA FALCONS -4 (Willy Hilly)


      Yes Cotton, I AM ON YOUR BIRDS!!! The ATL Swagger train has the left the station, and I'm buying a ticket on it! The coaching shuffle a few weeks ago seems to have given ATL a shot in the ass, or they are just getting better prescriptions from the team doctors! They look like their old selves, as in not early this season, but the team we know that is always a threat to get hot with the talent they have. Mostly healthy team wants to save Quinn's job, and the only way to do it is win most of the games they have left. As always, if bad Winston shows up, it can only help. Two decent offenses, and two suspect defenses go against each other, but I feel ATL's D has gotten better the last few weeks and will make the difference...Their last two games vs NO & CAR, the ATL D hasn't allowed a TD.
      Last edited by Seahawk Rick; 11-17-2019, 08:35 PM. Reason: Added the no TD's allowed last two weeks line...

      Comment


      • Seahawk Rick
        Seahawk Rick commented
        Editing a comment
        I almost thought I was on the wrong thread when I didn't see TARB's pick at the top of the page! One loss out of 11 will make you A LOT of money! Great run!

      • gcotton
        gcotton commented
        Editing a comment
        They have a chance...a very slim one, but still possible, to join the 2010 Raiders as the only teams to go 6-0 in division and NOT make the playoffs....they still have 4 more divisional games to go....with 3 of the 4 at home.

      • Seahawk Rick
        Seahawk Rick commented
        Editing a comment
        Nice effort...Realllllll nice.

    • #6
      NFL POW (8-3-0 YTD)

      BAL -2.5 (William Hill aka Willy Hilly🤣)

      Rams tops defensively lately, Ravens tops offensively lately...so something has to give. Lately Ravens won six straight, last four straight ATS, beating Seahawks by 14 (+17 including spread), Patriots by 17 (+20 including spread), Bengals by 36 (+25.5 including spread) and Houston by 34 (+30 including spread). Rams are 2-4 SU the past six games, 3-3 ATS, including losing to Seahawks by 1 (+.5 including spread), beating Falcons by 27 (+24 including spread), beating the Bengals by 14 (+2 including spread), losing to Steelers by 5 (-9 including spread), and beating Bears by 10 (+4 including spread). Don't think the Ravens hot streak ends in L.A. BAL 28-17.

      Comment


      • #7
        NFL POW (6-5-0)

        Baltimore Ravens -2.5 (William Hill)

        Preseason point spread for this week 12 game was Rams -7.5. But Rams were only -5.5 favorites against Bears in week 11 according to the same preseason lines. Rams have not strengthened what oddsmakers think of them, but the Ravens have definitely strengthened what oddsmakers think of them, 10 points better. And given recent history, games each team have played indicate the Ravens are Super Bowl caliber in every aspect of the game, and the Rams defense is improving, but they are struggling to find themselves offensively. Best value is this line. GLTA! Ravens 30-17

        Comment


        • #8
          NFL POW (6-5-0)

          Pats -6.5 (several places)

          Its that time of year where Brady and Bill start to heat up. They want to secure that #1 seed in the AFC so they have to keep winning since the Ravens own a tiebreaker over them. Pats started out a little slow last week coming off a bye week. I am still not sold on Dallas. Pats will show Dallas who Americas team really is and has been over the last 20 years. Pats win by at least 10.

          Comment


          • #9
            NFL POW (7-3-1 YTD)

            Ravens -3 (Caesers)

            I have to laugh because this whole thread is currently populated by people trying to get ahead of this line movement - and all of them so far were better than myself. I saw this open as a pk and just couldn't get my act together to post here. No worries, I'll happily lay the 3 as I don't see how Jared Goff will be turning things around in one week seeing as the bye week did absolutely nothing for him. The only issue I have is just how good this line looks...it reminds me of how over confident I was on the Packers walking into LA to stomp on the Chargers. That said, I can't stay away from the Ravens laying anything less than a TD right now because they haven't allowed anyone to come anywhere near that close to them. And recently, they have gone through much stiffer competition than the Rams. The Rams defense is top notch...but so were the Patriots. I think this line moves all the way above 4 by kick off.

            Comment


            • #10
              NFL P.O.W. (9-2-0)

              DENVER PLUS 5 1/2 ( circa)

              Like the way Denver played last week against Minny on the road, and believe Buffalo may look past this game --they have a showdown on Thanksgiving against Dallas just a few days later.
              So will go with Denver to keep the score close.

              Comment


              • #11
                10-1 finally lost a game
                Houston -3.5 ..... widely available
                Houston desperately needs to win this game versus Indianapolis to win its division. Baltimore smoked Houston last week and I am looking for a big bounce back by the Texans. Indy and Houston are currently tied for the division lead. I am on the home team in this Thursday matchup.

                Comment


                • #12
                  NFL POW 7-4

                  Seattle + 2 MGM Mirage

                  Seattle has won all 5 of their road games this year. Seattle is 10-1-1 last 12 as a dog. This is also a Gold Sheet key release.

                  Comment


                  • #13
                    NFL POW (6-4-1)

                    Baltimore Ravens -3 (South Point)

                    Not only is Lamar Jackson impressive and continually getting better, but the Ravens defense has also improved significantly throughout this season. I think they are still undervalued with this line and the Rams continue to be overvalued. This is not the 2018 Rams, and their offense continues to be putrid. Struggling into the 4th quarter to put away the equally offensively inept Bears does not impress me. I look for the Ravens to cover this field goal spread fairly easily.

                    Comment


                    • #14
                      5-6
                      Ravens -3 Southpoint
                      Riding this train till it stops. Blackbirds hottest team in the NFL right now. Best qb and D against mediocre team.

                      Comment


                      • #15
                        NFL POW 4-7 [4 pts.]

                        Atlanta -4 [CGT]

                        Going to ride the hot hand here with the Falcons Defense. They have given the Saints and Panthers real problems the last two weeks so I'll roll the dice that they will do the same vs. QB Winston who has been known to be a bit sloppy with the ball. Playing at home with what should be a rejuvenated crowd and with Ryan playing with much more confidence I see the Birds winning this one by 7-10 points.

                        GL to all

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