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2019 NFL P.O.W. Week #13 (November 28- Dec 2) Post Plays Here

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  • 2019 NFL P.O.W. Week #13 (November 28- Dec 2) Post Plays Here

    This is the thread for the 2019 VFV NFL P.O.W. contest. The following are the rules for this year (the same as in the past):

    1. All contestants must be a member in good standing with VFV Forums
    2. Players make one (1) single play ATS each week during the NFL regular season
    3. A correct play results in one (1) point being awarded. A "push" or tie, results in a half point (1/2) being awarded
    4. An Incorrect play results in zero (0) points being awarded
    5. All lines MUST be taken from the following website each week:
    6. All lines must be -110 or less (must be posted on above buying 1/2 point)
    7. Only Vegas Sports Books listed on the VI website will be allowed
    8. The following Books will NOT be allowed: VI Consensus, BetOnline, PepperMill, Atlantis Reno
    9. The following selections are allowed: Full Game Side, Full Game Total, First Half Side, First Half Total (NO MONEYLINES ALLOWED)
    10. Plays MUST be submitted each week by kickoff of last scheduled game.
    11. Plays must be in the following format (or close to it):

    2019 NFL P.O.W. (0-0-0 (post your current record here))

    Atlanta Falcons +3 (Golden Nugget)
    (This is where you will post your reasoning for this selection. It doesn't have to be a book or even a full paragraph, but more than just "I think the Falcons are better.")

    12. Myself, Seahawk Rick (the artist formerly known as Cybergolf) or any other I deem so, will have final ruling on if a play is valid (ie: Wrong line, Wrong Book, Not enough reasoning given, etc)
    13. The first couple of weeks I will give the benefit of the doubt to any newcomers on here...veterans, you know the rules, LMEAO
    14. NO EDITING!!! (ironic, as this was edited by DaveTuley LMEAO) can't change your pick after you post it as this supposed to mirror the real world where you lock in your bet at the current number...if you need to clarify something in original post (typed in wrong team or line, or forget to cite sportsbooks, etc.), please quote in new post to bring it to the moderators attention
    15. For the first time, this year, Week 17 will be worth 2 points for a correct selection and 1 point for a push.
    16. To qualify for the playoff round of this competition, players must have a total of 10 points by the end of the regular season (week 17)...important note: your points will be the number of Units you start with in the playoff portion of the contest that runs through the Super Bowl and will be run by DaveTuley with locked-in spreads and totals, though Tuley often will give extra options if the market has variances such as Patriots -6.5 but also Steelers +7 being available); still debating maximum units allowed for playoff round (currently 5-unit max bet each playoff weekend).
    17. ViewFromVegas shirt to top point-earner in regular season; $100 gift card & VFV shirt to overall playoff champion (we've had VFV Forum members offer up additional prizes in the past including cash and steak knives, so please contact DaveTuley if you have anything to add).

    If you have any questions, feel free to ask and best of luck this season!


  • #2
    In Week 12 we went a combined 21-19-1 (.512) ATS

    Thru 12 weeks we are now a combined 308-278-12 (.515) ATS

    Full standings will posted later on Wed
    Last edited by gcotton; 11-27-2019, 07:39 AM.


    • #3
      NFL POW (5-7-0 ytd)


      I'm 5-7 so no need to write much or for you to read any of it. I'm not sold on PITT and their QB situation letting them score that much on CLEVE, and I feel Baker Boy and his superior WR's will be enough of an edge to grab them a close win in Pittsville.
      Last edited by Seahawk Rick; 11-25-2019, 10:01 PM.


      • #4
        NFL P.O.W. (8-3-0 thru week 11)

        L.A. Rams -3.5 Circa Sports

        Rams better on road, so are the Cards...but the Cards will be hosting this. Rams win this with their stout defense. The Rams allow 5 fewer points per game on the road than they allow at home. By contrast, the Cards allow a field goal more at home than they allow on the road. The last three games the Rams have allowed just 11 points per game, best in the league. The Cards have allowed 31 points per game, 30th in the league. Injuries have also piled up for the Cards, more so than for the Rams. Think this line tilts even more towards Rams as week progresses. Good luck to all!


        • #5
          NFL POW (7-4 ytd pending tomorrow's result)

          Rams -3.5 Circa

          Top two plays this week feature very good defenses with offenses that score enough to get by. But NE plays HOU, which IMHO, is stiffer competition than Rams will have in ARI. Rams should score three TDs, and hold ARI to 9-10 points. Giving up 3 and 1/2 points to ARI seems like a much better deal than giving up 3 and 1/2 points to HOU. Happy Thanksgiving and GLTA!


          • #6
            NFL P.O.W. (7-4-0)

            RAMS -3.5 Circa Sports, Caesar's

            RAMS 14-8 ATS - MOV +8.8 pts per game - on road since 2017 (includes 4-1 ATS on road this year, MOV +6.2 pts per game). CARDINALS 10-10-1 ATS - MOV -5.9 pts per game - at home since 2017 (includes 1-4 ATS at home this year, MOV -7.4 pts per game). RAMS has more takeaways on road than CARDINALS have at home. RAMS 24-10. Goodluck and Happy Thanksgiving everyone.


            • #7
              NFL POW 4-8 [4pts]

              Must win out .....fat chance of that happening, but here goes

              Over 38.5 Bears/Lions [William Hill]

              Going to gamble on first game of the week to cut out any chance of suffering any longer. Game opened at 41. Bears have played 5 Unders in a row. Bears can't score, Lions only scored 16 points off Washington. Both QB's are well below average QB's. Bears still have a formidable Defense, top 5 in scoring. Public says Under.
              Contarian play on Over here as score gets into the 40's.

              GL to all


              • #8
                NFL POW 6-5-0, week 12 results pending

                Rams -3.5 Circa Sports

                While I don't think Rams will win or cover against Ravens tomorrow, I think the Cardinals are a different story. The Rams should win and cover here by at least 7-10 points. ESPN's FPI has Ram's special teams unit rated second best in NFL, while the Cardinal's special teams unit is rated thirteenth best. Total FPI has the Rams rated #10 with +3.8 points, and Cardinals rated #27 with -3.8 points. Weighted DVOA ratings are Rams #12, Cardinals #22, Cardinals with bottom five defense and bottom five special teams. Rams 27-20. GL all!


                • #9
                  NFL POW 6-6

                  Jets -3.5 everywhere

                  Darnold's QB rating over the last 4 games is over 100. Cincy is not good and I don't think they intend on winning a game this year. Jets are coming off a 3 game win streak and I see this continuing for another week. I don't know if they score 34 points for the 4th week in a row but I like them only laying 3.5 on the road.


                  • #10
                    NFL POW 8-4-0

                    Dallas -6,5 Circa sports

                    Jerry is a little perturbed at his coach after the patriot game I think the cowboys will circle the wagons and rally around their coach. Short week on a Thursday favors the home team, philly handled the Bill's a few weeks ago ,thinking here is cowboys will finally have a win and hopefully cover over a team heading to the playoffs .


                    • #11
                      GL but it does not help they played late game in Boston and had to travel and also played under bad conditions and also got their asses handed to them.Buffalo stayed home and the traveling does not usually effect defenses and that is their trump card.Not a play for me here but already took 7 as my only play on turkey day.
                      Every turkey day I mention this.68 years ago my high school in the Bronx Mt. St. Michael played for the city championship (NYC) before 20,000 and lost 7-0 but somehow I had a good day and was able to be chosen first team All City. That was my last football game as I played Hoops In College.Still remember a lot about game and that is something as I do not remember what happened last week.
                      Happy Thanksgiving to all my VFV friends and let’s be thankful for all we have.


                      • #12
                        NFL P.O.W. ( 9-3-0)

                        Minn plus 3 ( across the board)

                        Last week Seattle should have lost the game, but Philly couldn't overcome their FIVE turnovers.

                        Next game is a division game against Rams and both Minny and Seattle in wildcard hunt, as well as eyeing the top spot in divisions.
                        Minny off bye, Seattle off big road win, believe Minny covers the plus 3.


                        • Seahawk Rick
                          Seahawk Rick commented
                          Editing a comment
                          SEA should have lost to PHILLY? What are you smoking back there my friend?! Who caused the fumbles? That game could have EASILY been 27-9. SEA D is on the rise...BEWARE!!!

                        • Compass rose
                          Compass rose commented
                          Editing a comment
                          Happy Thanksgiving Rick--and Liz--
                          I said " Minny should cover"

                        • Seahawk Rick
                          Seahawk Rick commented
                          Editing a comment
                          Oh, don't try to hide behind that 'cover' comment...You really mean SEA sucks, and MINN rules! I know your type!

                      • #13
                        NFL POW 7-4

                        Dallas -6.5 CG Tech

                        Dallas is probably the best overall team, talent/depth wise. They have a crappy coach.....that said, he has been put on notice by the GM/Owner and will have to be aggressive this week at home, on thanksgiving, in front of the largest viewing of a game. Dallas gets it done here and will easily win by more then a TD.


                        • #14
                          2019 NFL P.O.W. (7-4-1 YTD)

                          PITTSBURGH STEELERS +2 (Everywhere)

                          This number flipped with the benching of Rudolph yesterday. PIT actually played much better with Duck under center last week against CIN. I know CLV may be playing better right now, but there is no way they should be a road favorite... especially against PIT....their most heated rival. PIT will be out for blood on Sunday..they still have an outside shot at the wildcard, and will thrive with the home crowd.

                          Cleveland 17
                          Pittsburgh 24

                          Best of luck to all this week, and a very Happy Thanksgiving to all!


                          • #15
                            NFL POW 8-4

                            S.F. + 6 William Hill

                            S.F.'s defense has the speed to possibly neutralize Jackson. This is a gold Sheet key release. Tuley the Tout likes S.F. +6 and you know how sharp he is !!!