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Nfl service plays for sunday 9/23/18

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  • Nfl service plays for sunday 9/23/18

    Sunday NFL Service Plays 9/23/18

    Allen Eastman

    Arthur Ralph Sports
    Patriots/ Lions Over 54
    Dolphins -3
    Bears -4.5
    Titans/Jacksonville Over 39

    Ben Burns
    Carolina -3

    Brad Powers
    Seattle -1.5

    Brian Bitler
    Eagles -6.5

    Lions +7
    Miami -3

    Cousin Sal
    New England

    Double Dragon Sports
    Jaguars -9
    Saints +3
    Ravens -5.5
    49ers +7
    Bears -5
    Seahawks -1.5
    Patriots -7

    Dwayne Bryant
    Oakland/Miami Over 44.5
    San Francisco +6.5

    Fred Faour
    Seattle -1.5

    Greg Shaker
    Seattle ml

    Huddle Up Sports
    Green Bay -2'
    Philadelphia -6'
    San Francisco +6'
    Oakland +3
    Atlanta -1'
    Green Bay/Washington over 45
    NY Giants/Houston under 42'
    Indianapolis/Philadelphia under 47
    Cincinnati/Carolina over 44'
    Buffalo/Minnesota under 40'
    New England -7
    LA Rams -7
    Chicago -4
    Dallas/Seattle under 41
    New England/Detroit over 53
    LA Chargers/LA Rams over 48'
    Chicago/Arizona over 39
    Seattle -1'

    Indian Cowboy
    New Orleans Saints +3
    Baltimore Ravens -5
    San Francisco 49ers +6.5

    Ken Thomson
    Baltimore -5
    Atlanta -3

    King Creole
    LA Rams/ LA Chargers Over 47.5

    Larry Hartstein
    New Orleans +3

    Larry Ness
    NY Giants/Houston Over

    Marc Lawrence

    Micah Roberts
    Seattle Under 41.5
    Kansas City Over 55.5
    Denver +5.5

    Mike Tierney
    LA Chargers +7
    Kansas City Under 56
    Arizona Over 37.5
    Buffalo +17
    Washington +3

    Norm Hitzges
    Dallas +1.5
    Dallas/Seattle Under 41.5

    Carolina -3
    Jacksonville -6.5
    Baltimore -5.5
    San Francisco +6.5
    Minnesota -16.5

    Pointwise Phones
    LA Chargers
    Tampa bay
    New England

    Chargers +7

    Stephen Nover
    Detroit/New England Over 51.5

    Steve Oh
    Baltimore -5

    New England-6.5
    Washington/Green Bay Over 45.5

    Stephen Nover
    New England/Detroit Over 51.5
    Arizona +5
    San Francisco +6.5
    LA Chargers +7

    Todd Fuhrman
    New Orleans +3
    San Francisco +6.5
    Washington +3

    The Prez
    Chiefs -5.5

    Tom Stryker

    Ultra Sports
    Seattle Seahawks -1

    Warren Sharp
    Denver/Baltimore Over
    Tampa Bay/Pittsburgh Over

    Zack Cimini
    Seattle -1.5
    Kansas City Under 55

  • #2

    Colts by 5 over Philly

    N Eng by 17

    Pitt by 13 OVER T BAY


    • #3
      DR BOB

      Lean – Indianapolis (+6.5) over PHILADELPHIA

      Lean – Under (47.5)

      Carson Wentz will start under center for the first time in 10 months on Sunday, but it remains to be seen if he’s fully healthy, as a torn ACL typically takes 12 months to fully heal. There’s a chance the Eagles rushed Wentz back after Nick Foles managed just 4.9 yards per pass play in the first two weeks. At full health, our numbers expect Wentz to be 2.5 points per game better than Foles (based on career numbers) and significantly better than Foles has been so far this season. Wentz’s improved passing and decision making in Run-Pass Option plays also helps Philadelphia’s ground game as the Eagles gain 4.8 yards per rush with him on the field compared to just 3.8 yards per rush when he has not played. Some of that is due to Wentz’ own running ability but I don’t expect him to be running as much as he normally would. Wentz may not have WR Alshon Jeffery (questionable) for this game, but I think he will find success targeting Zach Ertz and his running backs as Colts rookie Darius Leonard is surrendering 2.49 yards per cover snap, the second-most among linebackers.

      According to our metrics, the Indianapolis offense ranks 28th in expected points added on first and second downs but 2nd in expected points added in third downs. Early down success is more predictive moving forward and I expect the Colts offense to regress if they don’t improve on first and second down.

      Our model favors Philadelphia by 6.7 points with 47 total points, so there is no line value, but Indianapolis applies to an 83-32-4 ATS early season contrary indicator and this game applies to a 70-32 Under situation. I’ll lean with the Colts and Under based on that angles.


      • #4
        Westgate Super Contest Top Five

        No 823 atl 346

        sea 806 dll 280

        bal756 den 373

        sf 707 kc 668

        ne 678 det 335


        • #5

          Per @MGMRaceSports Scott Shelton on NO-ATL: "One guy has been betting six figures multiple times on the Saints pointspread and moneyline. It’s brewing to be a massive decision." That bettor took line from ATL -3 to -2.5 Friday, then to -1.5 Saturday. @Covers


          • #6
            Per @FDSportsbook's @jsheeran1981 on NYG-HOU: "88% of our action on the moneyline is on the Giants, and 64% of spread cash is on New York. Given OBJ
            performances this season, we have his receiving yards pitched at O/U 91.5, with the Under proving popular at -124." @Covers

            Per @MGMRaceSports Scott Shelton on OAK-MIA: “We do not need the Raiders. That’s a big decision. The same guy who’s on the Saints is betting Oakland, moneyline and pointspread.” Line opened MIA -3 (-120), price went to MIA even due to OAK bettor. Now it's flat -110. @Covers


            • #7
              Per @FDSportsbook's @jsheeran1981 on IND-PHI: "Solid move for Philly. Moneyline is -290 from opening -250. 94% of our action on the Eagles. The spread is currently Eagles -7 from opening -6.5, with 63% of the wagering pitching for the Eagles to cover." @Covers

              Per @CGTechnology_'s Tony D. on IND-PHI: "Eagles -6.5 was bet by a sharp, pushing us to 7." @Covers

              Last edited by jdmoose1950; 09-23-2018, 07:14 AM.


              • #8


                • #9
                  Per @CGTechnology_'s Tony D. on CIN-CAR: Panthers open -3.5, last Sunday night, tick down to 3 immediately and stay there all week. "Squares are on Cincy." @Covers


                  • #10
                    PRESSURE IS ON IN HOUSTON

                    Per @LVSuperBook's @vegasmurray on NYG-HOU: "But this is really more of a must-win spot for the Texans and coach Bill O’Brien. This is Houston’s home opener, and I think O’Brien doesn’t last another week if they lose in this spot.” @Covers


                    • #11
                      er @MGMRaceSports Scott Shelton on BUF-MIN, a game that's tied into three parlays totaling $120K in wagers from infamous Duffel Bag Bettor: "If we get Bills, it’s all over. If he gets the Vikings in the early kickoffs, it’s on to the Bears in the afternoon kickoffs,” @Covers

                      Per @MGMRaceSports Scott Shelton on BUF-MIN; “If he goes undefeated, his four-teamer carries over to Tampa Bay on Monday.” At that point, Duffel Bag Bettor would also cash a two-teamer and a three-teamer, each at bets of $50,000. @Covers


                      • #12
                        Per @FDSportsbook's @jsheeran1981 on DAL-SEA: "Strongest early move of the week, Seattle now -2 from opening +1 due to 87 percent of the action on Seahawks. +100 on the moneyline was too big initially, and plenty of support has that at -116 now." @Covers

                        Per @CGTechnology_'s Tony D. on DEN-BAL: "Squares on the Ravens, and sharps on the Over. Opened total at 43.5, up to 46." Line opened Ravens 5.5, went to 5, back to 5.5 past since Friday. @Covers
                        Last edited by jdmoose1950; 09-23-2018, 07:31 AM.


                        • #13
                          Per @CGTechnology_'s Tony D. on GB-WAS: Packers at -3 all week, but dipped to 2.5 Saturday. "Sharps on the 'Skins +3. You can certainly see that." @Covers
                          Per @CGTechnology_'s Tony D. on SF-KC: Chiefs open -6, went to 6.5 midweek, then back to 6. "Public all over KC, again you could see that coming." @Covers

                          Per @CGTechnology_'s Tony D. on CHI-ARI: Line dropped from 6 to 4.5, but now back at opener. "The sharps initially took the Cards +6, but it moved back to 6 last night." @Covers


                          • #14
                            AND THAT'S A WRAP!

                            Per @FDSportsbook's @jsheeran on NE-DET Sunday nighter: "No stopping the heat on the Pats, 95% of moneyline wagering on New England, bet to -280 from opening -235. Now -7.5 on the spread, from initial -7." @Covers


                            • TARB
                              TARB commented
                              Editing a comment
                              I see mostly NE -6.5 -110 with some NE -7 even money. I like Detroit +7 points.

                          • #15
                            Hi jdmoose
                            is this the same JDMOOSE LOL!
                            DO YOU HAVE FEZZIK?
                            TX barryt
                            "A missed FG is a turnover " Michael Lombardi
                            “The bigger the edge, the fewer the bets we need to verify our strategy.” Jim Makos


                            • jdmoose1950
                              jdmoose1950 commented
                              Editing a comment
                              The one and only!

                              No fezzik yet ,but will post if he surfaces!