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COVID-19 Data - 4/14/20 – 4/20/20

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  • COVID-19 Data - 4/14/20 – 4/20/20

    While worldwide the rate of new cases fell a smidgin, and all the nations being tracked saw their death rate diminish, only the U.S. saw their death rate jump. Survivability in the U.S. also dropped again below 60%, and whatever optimism I had for America has sprung a leak.

    Contrasting U.S. numbers with S. Korea for the past week, Covid 19 mortality was up 50.7% in the U.S., compared with S. Korea which saw a rise of 13.5%, and while the number of newly infected dropped to 3.85% from 6.85% last week in the U.S. the rate for S. Korea fell to .26%, from .50%. And again, it must be noted that American testing is so narrowly focused as to make the number of infected, although huge by global standards, woefully under-reported.



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  • #2
    A bad day for the world, though that’s mostly due to increases in infection and death rates in the U.S. where new cases rose by nearly 30,000 and deaths jumped almost 3000 for the day.


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    • #3
      Worldwide the cases increased at a lightly slower rate, but the death rate increased dramatically, as it did in the U.S. which added 6000+ to its number of dead.


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      • #4
        New cases are down worldwide, but deaths are happening more quickly; Germany aside, the rest of Europe is a dead zone. The U.S. saw a slight drop in new cases, but the death rate jumped, and is on track to double in deaths again this week.



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        • #5
          Kentucky Ohio Michigan Illinois Iowa Wisconsin Minnesota have formed a governor coalition to help make decisions about opening up through the 3 phases. Germany is reopening schools. Saskatchewan might do something as early as next week according to reports.

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          • #6
            Originally posted by marcbryanjacob View Post
            Kentucky Ohio Michigan Illinois Iowa Wisconsin Minnesota have formed a governor coalition to help make decisions about opening up through the 3 phases. Germany is reopening schools. Saskatchewan might do something as early as next week according to reports.
            Like S. Korea, Germany’s high rate of targeted testing may allow countries like this to reopen everything a lot faster than the rest of the world – without killing off a high percentage of its population. It’s baffling how badly the U.S. is responding, especially with the lack of cluster targeted testing; an absolute necessity for getting people back to work.

            Below is some daily data that I consider doubtful, but it’s “official”. There are a number of ways to skew the numbers; and more than anything it reminds me of the body-counting practices during the Vietnam War.



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            • #7
              Wow no wonder the border is closed for at least another month except for essential personnel. I had no idea Michigan was doing so poorly. And the other poor performer (NY) borders on Canada’s 2 most populous provinces. Gotta b patient I guess.

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              • WJCJR
                WJCJR commented
                Editing a comment
                It may be time for Canada to start beefing up their border security, or start thinking about a wall.
                Last edited by WJCJR; 04-18-2020, 08:54 PM.

            • #8
              The worldwide infection rate dropped a tad, while the U.S. saw a slight rise. The death rate in the U.S. remained the same, while recoveries jumped nearly 2%. The trends for this week show that although deaths in the U.S. will rise significantly, they won’t double again what they were on Monday, but Covid 19 infections will continue to rise. This is certainly not a good time for Belgium, which is being torn apart by the Coronavirus.


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              Last edited by WJCJR; 04-18-2020, 05:22 PM.

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              • #9
                Infections are down worldwide, although the death rates remained steady.

                I’ve reworked the columns to reflect better the distinction between rates of recovery and survival. The low recovery rate of the U.S. has to do with the enormous number of the infected, and the relative lack of effective treatment (ie. not enough ICU beds). As the dead open up more ICU’s for those in need, as they have in New York, recoveries should see a big bounce, and overall survivability increase.



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                • #10
                  Although the number of infected and deaths increased significantly this past week, the rates have definitely slowed for the first time since I began tracking. As long as lockdowns continue across the U.S. (until and unless widespread testing is initiated, or a cure is found), thing should continue to improve.


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