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  • Mon Oct 1/18 DAILY ALL SPORTS

    Marquez/Buehler +150 at 1 PM PT

    MLB 12-10
    Socc 0-1
    NFL 8-13

    Song of the Night:

    search John Denver Rocky Mountain High

  • #2
    MLB 78-62-3 +10.90

    Milwaukee +110
    Over 8 Milwaukee
    Dodgers -170

    NFL 21-6-1 +14.40

    Denver +3.5
    Over 54

    GL to all


    • #3
      Monday NFL Service Plays 10/1/18

      Adam Thompson

      Arthur Ralph
      Denver/Kansas City Over 55

      Bill Hilton


      Bob Balfe
      Broncos +3.5

      Double Dragon
      Broncos +4.5

      Jr O'Donnell
      Kansas City -3.5

      Marc Lawrence

      Marco D'Angelo
      Broncos +3.5

      Micah Roberts
      Denver +4.5

      Miller Locks
      Denver +3.5

      Chiefs -3.5
      Chiefs/Broncos Under 55 (marq)

      Kansas City -3.5

      Tom Stryker

      Tony Finn
      Kansas City

      Wayne Root


      • #4
        Kansas City Chiefs @
        Denver Broncos

        Mon, Oct 1 5:15 PM

        Rotation: 277, Odds: Denver Broncos +4.5, Total: 54.5

        Game Analysis view matchup stats

        Lean – DENVER (+4.5) over Kansas City
        Kansas City’s offense is averaging nearly 40 points per game, gaining 6.9 yards per play (2nd), and the Chiefs rank first in early down efficiency. However, there is reason to believe that they won’t be as productive in this game, at least on the ground. The Chiefs have been quite predictable on outside runs this season with 27 carries to the right side compared to just 3 to the left. Von Miller will be waiting for them if they continue running to the right side and I expect him to be successful as Miller is not just an elite pass rusher, recording a 9.3% run stop rate last season (6th), but he’s also very good against the run. The Broncos had the best rush defense in our 2017 ratings and rank in the top 10 again this year. We should see Mahomes air-it-out in the altitude with Miller and the rest of Denver’s defense shutting down Kansas City’s ground game.
        Broncos’ quarterback Case Keenum has thrown more than 20% of his passes into tight coverage (defender within 1 yard) and it has resulted in a 4.6% interception rate, the 3rd-highest in the league. The Chiefs have just one interception this year and allow 7.4 yards per pass play (26th), but their secondary will see a boost if Eric Berry is able to make his season debut on Monday night (he’s questionable as of Thursday afternoon). Furthermore, Kansas City is in talks to trade for Earl Thomas, who is one of the most valuable safeties in the league along with Berry. The Chiefs grade as our 29th-best defense, but a healthy Berry and potential addition of Thomas would go a long way to improve their chances of winning the AFC. However, our model only favors Kansas City by 2.6 points even with Mahomes being as good as he’s been. And, Monday night home underdogs coming home after a road game the previous week are still good bets as long as they are a decent team. In fact, Monday Night home dogs with a win percentage of .334 or higher are 47-18 ATS if they played on the road last week. I’ll lean with Denver plus the points.