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Sararoga Friday September 4th First post 12:20pm

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  • Sararoga Friday September 4th First post 12:20pm

    Sararoga Friday September 4th First post 12:20pm
    Weather looks great @Sar for the weekend.
    Here's the dirt races, I'm pretty sure some races will be on the turf but maybe not all.
    ALL NY BREDS TODAY. 12Races
    R1 Filly div of NYS for 2 yrolds.
    The 2345 all had just one race so their upside is considerable. It's a guessing game as to which will improve and by how much.Posts2&3 have been far the [email protected] 6.5F along with early speed.
    The 1 has finished 2nd against Graded stakes, but that doesnt mean as much for 2 yrolds. #[email protected] 12-1 is the value.
    DD2345 with 45 .bet those that pay > $25
    Pic 3 23/45/46
    Pic5 23/45/6/5?/4
    R2
    Another 61/2 for 2 yrolds but Mdns.
    Again post 2&3 have the advantage and posts 8910 only [email protected]%
    1&6 have horrible trainer stats for 2TS
    Same with2&3 for FTS.
    If you want a hunch bet, today is the Funnycide ,R7, and Sackatoga stable has #5 and it has great WOs. #4 @10-1 has ok WOs & decent FTS stats, definitely worth a play.
    R3 NYS STAKE 1 & 1/8 dirt
    #1 just won maiden
    #2 FTRoute
    #3 Turf specialist
    #5 FTRoute
    Leaves just the 4&6 . Hard to separate them on performance, but 6 has more appropriate early running style winning 39% as opposed to 18% for late pressers like the 6.(Should add they both have really good trainers Assmussen and Clement))
    R4 maybe OTT
    R5 NYS STAKE ON THE TURF.
    7 horses 3 uncoupled entries
    This meet a big lean to Clement. I like the #4 best (take in pics)but the odds will say bet the 3 or the 6
    R6 Mdn 3 yrolds
    #8 8-1ran par back in November then found the slop. Mott,for him has an unusual 5FwO and its fast. So normal grow up puts him head and shoulders above these.Post 8 is a bit of a problem and I'd like it more if it scratched into post 7.
    . #9 could also grow up and the 2 FTS 4&6 have good credentials. Check for betting actions both are12-1 ml
    R7 The Funnycide.
    I'm giving the edge again to the 2TS and the #6 is uncoupled with the likely favourite #4
    R89,11&12 are all on turf so have to wait for changes. So may as well wait to do R10 too.
    Will be back later
    Last edited by Barryt; 09-04-2020, 09:00 AM. Reason: Just some editing
    "A missed FG is a turnover " Michael Lombardi
    “The bigger the edge, the fewer the bets we need to verify our strategy.” Jim Makos

  • #2
    All races on the Turf
    First dealing with scratches in early races
    R3#1 Doesnt alter my selection #6 maybe 4
    R5 #2 &7 being scr works against the closer #3 and in favour of the #4 of the uncoupled Clement entry. Other uncoupled were scratched
    R6 no change
    R7 #6 scratched so I lean to the 1 over the 4&8
    Back with the rest but running out of
    time
    "A missed FG is a turnover " Michael Lombardi
    “The bigger the edge, the fewer the bets we need to verify our strategy.” Jim Makos

    Comment


    • #3
      R4 2yro mainly fts on the turf going 1&1/16.
      lots to like about the #5 not much to like about anyone else. So a single in Pics
      pic5
      235/145/6/5/34..18tickets
      Pic4
      1458/46/5/346..24 tickets

      On the pick 4 ticket that should be 346 in last leg
      I'm taking out the 4 in R1 as its 2-1 ..too low f
      I've edited it now
      Last edited by Barryt; 09-04-2020, 10:13 AM.
      "A missed FG is a turnover " Michael Lombardi
      “The bigger the edge, the fewer the bets we need to verify our strategy.” Jim Makos

      Comment


      • #4
        R4 guess it was an ALL race
        29-1 won exa paid1100
        1$tri paid 4k.the fav 5 fin4th and spoiled the Supa.
        didnt need ALL just those over 10-1.
        and those under 99-1
        So124911 5 horse box.
        "A missed FG is a turnover " Michael Lombardi
        “The bigger the edge, the fewer the bets we need to verify our strategy.” Jim Makos

        Comment


        • #5
          So starting over.R5
          we have uncoupled Clement 3&4 after other 2 uncoupled are scratched.
          4has best LF and3 the 2nd best.
          So betting 3 win as longer shot of Unc and 34exa box .
          still like #8 in 6th
          ​​​​​​​so Dd 34/8.like 9 a bit too so 34/9too
          "A missed FG is a turnover " Michael Lombardi
          “The bigger the edge, the fewer the bets we need to verify our strategy.” Jim Makos

          Comment

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