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Sunday at Saratoga

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  • Sunday at Saratoga

    Glad to have the forums back. I’ve been laid up for the past 6 weeks recovering from a major surgery. Thankfully, Saratoga is running. I’ve played everyday since the start of Week 2. After a dismal start, I’m nearly back to even for the meet. I’ve switched from playing pick-4’s to pick-5’s. The payout difference is so stark – much more than you would expect just because of the takeout difference. I’ve hit a few relatively chalky sequences that paid over $800, while the pick-4 plus a 3-1 shot paid only $175. Here are some thoughts on the today's late NYRA Bets pick-5:

    Race 8 – Short but very competitive field. I’ll take a shot with #5 – Phone Funky Monkey (10-1 ML). Gets needed class relief for connections that like to win at Saratoga. The #1, #3 and #10 should ensure a fair pace to set up his closing kick. Might get lost in the betting in a race that includes some higher-profile connections.

    Race 12 – I like #1 – Sycamore Lane (6-1 ML). Faced Grade 1 horses in last two and ran credibly enough to think he is getting some form back. Now faces much easier, gets short layoff and switches to strong turf barn. Cohen riding is likely a result of David Jacobson being the owner and is not the concern it might otherwise be. Should be up close and saving ground to get first run on Pletcher's favorite.

    Played the following $0.50 pick-5 for $162:

    5 with 8 with 4,6,8,9 with All with 1,10
    5 with 8 with 2,7 with 2,4,5,9,10 with 1,10
    1,2,3 with 8 with 4,8 with All with 1,10
    1,2,3 with 8 with 6,9 with 2,4,5,9,10 with 1,10
    1,2,3 with 8 with 2,7 with 2 with 1,10
    4,8,10 with 8 with 4,8 with 2,4,5,9,10 with 1,10
    4,8,10 with 8 with 6,9 with 2 with 1,10

    Good luck to all playing today at…..the Spa!

  • #2
    Good luck with the plays, Harry.

    For those interested, will be keying #4 Take Charge Milrella in the 7th race. Played this horse first time out and she ran a non-threatening second three weeks ago. Has a slow breeze in the interim and gets an extra sixteenth to work with today. Hoping morning line choice (Chad Brown first-timer) will take a lot of money and come up short.

    Best of luck to all!


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    • #3
      Thanks and GL

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by Harry Lime
        Glad to have the forums back. I’ve been laid up for the past 6 weeks recovering from a major surgery. Thankfully, Saratoga is running. I’ve played everyday since the start of Week 2. After a dismal start, I’m nearly back to even for the meet. I’ve switched from playing pick-4’s to pick-5’s. The payout difference is so stark – much more than you would expect just because of the takeout difference. I’ve hit a few relatively chalky sequences that paid over $800, while the pick-4 plus a 3-1 shot paid only $175. Here are some thoughts on the today's late NYRA Bets pick-5:

        Race 8 – Short but very competitive field. I’ll take a shot with #5 – Phone Funky Monkey (10-1 ML). Gets needed class relief for connections that like to win at Saratoga. The #1, #3 and #10 should ensure a fair pace to set up his closing kick. Might get lost in the betting in a race that includes some higher-profile connections.

        Race 12 – I like #1 – Sycamore Lane (6-1 ML). Faced Grade 1 horses in last two and ran credibly enough to think he is getting some form back. Now faces much easier, gets short layoff and switches to strong turf barn. Cohen riding is likely a result of David Jacobson being the owner and is not the concern it might otherwise be. Should be up close and saving ground to get first run on Pletcher's favorite.

        Played the following $0.50 pick-5 for $162:

        5 with 8 with 4,6,8,9 with All with 1,10
        5 with 8 with 2,7 with 2,4,5,9,10 with 1,10
        1,2,3 with 8 with 4,8 with All with 1,10
        1,2,3 with 8 with 6,9 with 2,4,5,9,10 with 1,10
        1,2,3 with 8 with 2,7 with 2 with 1,10
        4,8,10 with 8 with 4,8 with 2,4,5,9,10 with 1,10
        4,8,10 with 8 with 6,9 with 2 with 1,10

        Good luck to all playing today at…..the Spa!
        Thanks for sharing! Nice call in The 12th ... Hope you hit the p-4! Always Enjoy your thoughts!

        Comment


        • #5
          I was back to my normal in the late p-4 last night 3 wins and a second.....ugh
          Tonight's early p-4
          Sep 02 09:04 PM Sep 02 09:04:16 PM RAC Racing ticket #
          Sep-02 LOS R1 1.00 PK4 1/1,7/1,3,4/2,6,8
          18.00 / 0.00
          Sep 02 09:06 PM Sep 02 09:06:27 PM RAC Racing ticket #2
          Sep-02 LOS R1 1.00 PK4 1,2,8/1,3,7/4/6,8
          18.00 / 0.00

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          • #6
            alive to the p-4
            2 pays 58
            6 pays 21 x2
            8 pays 62 x2

            6 won 8 ran second well at least I didn't lose lol

            Comment


            • #7
              And a late p-4
              Sep 02 11:47 PM Sep 02 11:47:58 PM RAC Racing ticket #
              Sep-02 LOS R6 1.00 PK4 2,6/1,4/2,4/3,8
              16.00 / 0.00
              Sep 02 11:53 PM Sep 02 11:53:44 PM RAC Racing ticket #
              Sep-02 LOS R6 1.00 PK4 6/1,4,5,6/2,3,4/8
              12.00 / 0.0

              Comment

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