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2020 NFL P.O.W. Week #3 (September 24-28 ) Post Plays Here

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  • 2020 NFL P.O.W. Week #3 (September 24-28 ) Post Plays Here

    This is the thread for the 2020 VFV NFL P.O.W. contest. The following are the rules for this year (the same as in the past):

    1. All contestants must be a member in good standing with VFV Forums
    2. Players make one (1) single play ATS each week during the NFL regular season
    3. A correct play results in one (1) point being awarded. A "push" or tie, results in a half point (1/2) being awarded
    4. An Incorrect play results in zero (0) points being awarded
    5. All lines MUST be taken from the following website each week: http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/
    6. All lines must be -110 or less (must be posted on above site...no buying 1/2 point)
    7. Only Vegas Sports Books listed on the VI website will be allowed
    8. PLEASE SEE NOTE BELOW FOR ELIGIBLE BOOKS!
    9. The following selections are allowed: Full Game Side, Full Game Total, First Half Side, First Half Total (NO MONEYLINES ALLOWED)
    10. Plays MUST be submitted each week by kickoff of last scheduled game.
    11. Plays must be in the following format (or close to it):

    2019 NFL P.O.W. (0-0-0 (post your current record here))

    Atlanta Falcons +3 (Golden Nugget)
    (This is where you will post your reasoning for this selection. It doesn't have to be a book or even a full paragraph, but more than just "I think the Falcons are better.")

    12. Myself, Seahawk Rick (the artist formerly known as Cybergolf) or any other I deem so, will have final ruling on if a play is valid (ie: Wrong line, Wrong Book, Not enough reasoning given, etc)
    13. The first couple of weeks I will give the benefit of the doubt to any newcomers on here...veterans, you know the rules, LMEAO
    14. NO EDITING!!! (ironic, as this was edited by DaveTuley LMEAO)...you can't change your pick after you post it as this supposed to mirror the real world where you lock in your bet at the current number...if you need to clarify something in original post (typed in wrong team or line, or forget to cite sportsbooks, etc.), please quote in new post to bring it to the moderators attention
    15. For the first time, this year, Week 17 will be worth 2 points for a correct selection and 1 point for a push.
    16. To qualify for the playoff round of this competition, players must have a total of 10 points by the end of the regular season (week 17)...important note: your points will be the number of Units you start with in the playoff portion of the contest that runs through the Super Bowl and will be run by DaveTuley with locked-in spreads and totals, though Tuley often will give extra options if the market has variances such as Patriots -6.5 but also Steelers +7 being available); still debating maximum units allowed for playoff round (currently 5-unit max bet each playoff weekend).
    17. Since we are not doing the SuperContest Mirror Contest like past years and this is the OFFICIAL handicapping ViewFromVegas handicapping contest for the 2020 NFL season, DaveTuley is upgrading the grand prize to 2 nights hotel in Las Vegas (sorry, you have to get yourself here) and dinner for 2 with DaveTuley along with $100 gift card and a ViewFromVegas shirt (season must end with a Super Bowl champion for this to be awarded)...he's also giving a $100 gift card and a VFV shirt to the top point-earner in the regular season (minimum 10 weeks)...we've had VFV Forum members offer up additional prizes in the past including cash and steak knives, so please contact DaveTuley if you have anything to add).
    18. ****Thanks to Compass Rose for starting discussion on this one****18. Any selection made, and then for whatever reason, the game is officially postponed or canceled, a substitute P.O.W. may be posted at the then available lines. If no substitute play is made, the original play will be graded as 0 points.

    If you have any questions, feel free to ask and best of luck this season!

    ******GOING FORWARD, HERE ARE THE ONLY BOOKS ELIGIBLE TO USE FOR THIS CONTEST. ANY PLAYS POSTED NOT USING ONE OF THESE BOOKS WILL BE GRADED AS A LOSS. THIS WILL SERVE AS YOUR ONLY REMINDER FOR THIS NEW RULE!!!********

    WESTGATE
    BETMGM
    CIRCA
    WILLIAM HILL
    STATIONS
    GOLDEN NUGGET
    TREASURE ISLAND
    SOUTH POINT
    CAESARS
    WYNN
    Last edited by gcotton; 09-20-2020, 12:57 PM.

  • #2
    In Week 2 we went a combined 31-31-0 (.500) ATS
    Through 2 weeks, we are a combined 64-57-3 (.516) ATS
    Name Win Loss Tie Total
    2HOLLYWOOD2 2 0 0 2
    AMAZING MOM 2 0 0 2
    ASTROID M 2 0 0 2
    AZTEC10 2 0 0 2
    BLUEANDGOLD65 2 0 0 2
    BOURBONBOB 2 0 0 2
    COACHV29 2 0 0 2
    DURBIFY 2 0 0 2
    FLORABAMABOY 2 0 0 2
    GCOTTON 2 0 0 2
    ICE TEA 2 2 0 0 2
    JIMMYJAM4508 2 0 0 2
    JPFITZ 2 0 0 2
    MATTYSHARP 2 0 0 2
    SEAHAWK RICK 2 0 0 2
    TARB 2 0 0 2
    TEXAN 73 2 0 0 2
    ZJABRONI 2 0 0 2
    JSCHANILEC 1 0 1 1.5
    AARON24 1 1 0 1
    ACE 1 1 0 1
    ARCHIE 8 1 1 0 1
    BRUINGUY 1 1 0 1
    BUCKEYEFAN80 1 1 0 1
    BUCKY 1 1 0 1
    CDOG 1 1 0 1
    CHAMOINLA 1 1 0 1
    COMPASS ROSE 1 1 0 1
    DUKOWSKI 1 1 0 1
    EAST COAST 1 1 0 1
    FREEJACK 1 0 0 1
    HEY RUBE! 1 1 0 1
    JPDAWG 1 1 0 1
    MR. OUTSIDEVEGAS 1 1 0 1
    MUDSHARK 1 1 0 1
    NINERUTEFAN 1 1 0 1
    PETEGAL2 1 0 0 1
    PHATMAN15 1 1 0 1
    RACING CAT 1 1 0 1
    SEMAJ35 1 1 0 1
    STRMCHSR1 1 1 0 1
    TAKETHEREDEYE 1 1 0 1
    TONYLOVE 1 1 0 1
    TOSPEKE 1 1 0 1
    WOODEE 1 1 0 1
    XAVIER BOB 1 1 0 1
    DEANO 0 1 1 0.5
    J.HERB 0 1 1 0.5
    510SPORTSNUT 0 2 0 0
    BARNSTORM 0 2 0 0
    BIMMERCANDO 0 2 0 0
    CASEINPOINT 0 2 0 0
    DAVE TULEY 0 1 0 0
    DMAC 0 2 0 0
    EIEIO 0 2 0 0
    JD MOOSE 1950 0 2 0 0
    LEGZ_AKIMBO 0 1 0 0
    MCGRATH 0 2 0 0
    MR. PIXTER 0 2 0 0
    MRVOLO 0 2 0 0
    ROCKMAN IN PA 0 2 0 0
    SKYKAM1914 0 2 0 0
    STR8OUTTADURANGO 0 2 0 0
    YISMAN 0 2 0 0
    Last edited by gcotton; 09-23-2020, 04:34 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      Please note the new list of eligible books in the rules at the top of the page!

      Comment


      • #4
        2-0

        Arizona -5.5 ..... Westgate

        I'm taking the more talented home team here laying 5.5 points over Detroit. Detroit's secondary is riddled with injuries. This game could be over by halftime.

        Comment


        • TARB
          TARB commented
          Editing a comment
          After I placed my bet on Arizona -5.5, Westgate raised the line by a half point. -5.5 points. is still available at other places.
          Last edited by TARB; 09-20-2020, 06:05 PM.

      • #5
        2020 NFL P.O.W. (2-0-0)

        Ari -6.5 (Caesars, Westgate, William Hill, Circa, betMGM)

        Cards are #14 ranked in FPI and Lions are #26 ranked. Ari averaging 9.5 points more than their opponents, Det averaging -12.5 points less than their opponents...and Det is more banged up offensively and defensively than Ari. Det has been bottom ten team for a couple of years, even when healthy. Det won't be able to keep up with Ari.

        Comment


        • #6
          NFL P.O.W. (1-1-0)

          ARI -6 Circa Sports

          Detroit is just 1-9 ATS as road team versus Arizona. Detroit 0-10
          SU last 10 games against anyone, and 2-11 ATS last 13 games. Arizona started improving towards the end of last season under QB Kyler Murray. Half point drop in number since last night sealed the deal. Not that I think it will matter much. Good luck to all!

          Comment


          • #7
            NFL Pow 0-1-0
            New orleans -4
            westgate
            New Orleans defense is getting better and Drew Brees is the one that can take over late.
            The Raiders will come out strong but won’t have enough to go 4 quarters.

            Comment


            • gcotton
              gcotton commented
              Editing a comment
              This is your play for Week 2......I saw it in the other thread. Got you covered. Good luck!

          • #8
            NFL P.O.W. (2-0-0)

            Arizona -5.5 (Treasure Island)

            Detroit's NetQBR is -18.35, meaning their defense gives up better QB play to opponents than their QB can provide. Arizona's NetQBR is +54.55. That's a difference of +72.9! Arizona has the best DefQBR and the QB with the 4th highest QBR. Line moving back down to ARI -5.5 is a plus, for hot Cardinals, who have started year 2-0 SU and ATS.

            Comment


            • #9
              Sorry wrong post

              Comment


              • gcotton
                gcotton commented
                Editing a comment
                All good! I saw it in the other thread.

            • #10
              NFL P.O.W. (1-0)

              NE -6 William Hill

              Tom Brady is not done with the revenge tour just yet. The bucs travel to Denver where the broncos are now scrambling to get a offense put together. I liked Driskel in college but not going toe to toe with Tom Brady. Add in the loss of Sutton and the Broncos are very limited with options making it easier for the bucs to defend. Fournette is getting used and will give this good denver def fits. I will give up the 6 as i see TB winning by 10. Good luck to all!

              Comment


              • Buckeyefan80
                Buckeyefan80 commented
                Editing a comment
                So I think you mean TB, not NE.
                Apparently I’m late to the party. Jack has already been corrected. My fault.

              • FreeJack
                FreeJack commented
                Editing a comment
                My bad, yes still weird looking at Brady in a TB uniform. Thanks all!!

            • #11
              Hi Freejack! Good write up, but wrong team shown on line for above post. Like me, you probably haven't had enough coffee today! ☕😉 Think you meant TB -6. Good luck on your pick!

              Comment


              • gcotton
                gcotton commented
                Editing a comment
                I got him figured out, lol....thanks for keeping an eye on things for me.

              • NinerUteFan
                NinerUteFan commented
                Editing a comment
                No problem! We all need a little help. On that note, thanks for all you do! Best of luck this week with your pick!

            • #12
              NFL P.O.W. 2020 (1-1-0, YTD)

              CARDINALS -5.5 (Treasure Island)

              Lions tied for the worst road team since 2019, averaging net -6.6 points away from Detroit with a 2-7 record against the spread. Cardinals averaging 1 takeaway a game, and through 2 games Lions have no takes. Lions have third worst defensive points allowed, and Cardinals have second best defensive points allowed. Too many evenly matched games this week. This might be biggest mismatch. GLTA!

              Comment


              • #13
                Boy according to the early picks we can payoff out mortgages on Arizona over Detroit......

                Comment


                • NinerUteFan
                  NinerUteFan commented
                  Editing a comment
                  Hahahaha! Wish I had a mortgage to worry about! Most of the time last year I had very good results with just a few dependable teams. This week they all have injuries, tough matchups or other bad bettors karma. Best of luck to you this week! Maybe I need some more coffee....

              • #14
                NFL POW (0-1-1)

                Philly -6 South Point

                In a weird season so far, I don’t know much but I do know that I like Philly at home against a rookie QB on the road. Getting in early before this line moves up. I expect Wentz and company to be able to move the ball on this D just like the browns did last week. Looking for about a 9 point victory.

                Comment


                • #15
                  NFL POW (1-1-0)
                  Carolina +7.5 (MGM)
                  As a host Chargers have lost 7 straight as a favorite. Too many points for a competent QB . Bridgewater

                  Comment

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