Line Movement is a tricky thing. Follow it or fade it? If you fade it, you get a better number and if you follow it, you get a worse number - unless you are making picks in the Circa and SuperContest where the lines are static. But even with static lines, playing the line variance has not been a big winning trend in those contests.
I've tracked line movement through the years and could not really find any way to filter it and find a trend to play it by either fading it or following it. It seems to be pretty close to a 50/50 proposition. But so far this year, Line Movement has pointed you in the right direction at an amazing rate, even with taking the worse number. Line Movement is 23-3 for 88% so far this year, using Pinnacle's opening and closing numbers! Seems unbelievable. Check my work. Maybe I got some wrong numbers.
Week 1 (12-3)
NE -6 to -7.5 C
BLT -8.5 to -7 X
BUF -6 to -6.5 C
LV -3 to -3 VF C
SEA -1 to +1 X
PHL -6 to -5.5 C
DET -3 to -2.5 C
IND -7.5 to -7 C
MIN -2.5 to -1 C
SF -7.5 to -7 C
NO -3.5 to -4 C
DAL -2 to +1 C
PIT -3.5 to -6 C
DEN -1.5 to +3.5 X
Week 2 (11-0)
PHL -2.5 to -1.5 C
PIT -6.5 to -6 C
DAL -6 to -3 C
SF -6 to -7 C
IND -3 to -3.5 C
GB -5.5 to -7 C
CHI -6 to -4.5 C
TEN -9 to -7 C
AZ -7 to -7.5 C
BLT -6.5 to -7.5 C
N.O. -6.5 to -4 C
I've tracked line movement through the years and could not really find any way to filter it and find a trend to play it by either fading it or following it. It seems to be pretty close to a 50/50 proposition. But so far this year, Line Movement has pointed you in the right direction at an amazing rate, even with taking the worse number. Line Movement is 23-3 for 88% so far this year, using Pinnacle's opening and closing numbers! Seems unbelievable. Check my work. Maybe I got some wrong numbers.
Week 1 (12-3)
NE -6 to -7.5 C
BLT -8.5 to -7 X
BUF -6 to -6.5 C
LV -3 to -3 VF C
SEA -1 to +1 X
PHL -6 to -5.5 C
DET -3 to -2.5 C
IND -7.5 to -7 C
MIN -2.5 to -1 C
SF -7.5 to -7 C
NO -3.5 to -4 C
DAL -2 to +1 C
PIT -3.5 to -6 C
DEN -1.5 to +3.5 X
Week 2 (11-0)
PHL -2.5 to -1.5 C
PIT -6.5 to -6 C
DAL -6 to -3 C
SF -6 to -7 C
IND -3 to -3.5 C
GB -5.5 to -7 C
CHI -6 to -4.5 C
TEN -9 to -7 C
AZ -7 to -7.5 C
BLT -6.5 to -7.5 C
N.O. -6.5 to -4 C
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