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2020 NFL P.O.W. Week #4 (October 1-5 ) Post Plays Here

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  • 2020 NFL P.O.W. Week #4 (October 1-5 ) Post Plays Here

    This is the thread for the 2020 VFV NFL P.O.W. contest. The following are the rules for this year (the same as in the past):

    1. All contestants must be a member in good standing with VFV Forums
    2. Players make one (1) single play ATS each week during the NFL regular season
    3. A correct play results in one (1) point being awarded. A "push" or tie, results in a half point (1/2) being awarded
    4. An Incorrect play results in zero (0) points being awarded
    5. All lines MUST be taken from the following website each week: http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/
    6. All lines must be -110 or less (must be posted on above site...no buying 1/2 point)
    7. Only Vegas Sports Books listed on the VI website will be allowed
    8. PLEASE SEE NOTE BELOW FOR ELIGIBLE BOOKS!
    9. The following selections are allowed: Full Game Side, Full Game Total, First Half Side, First Half Total (NO MONEYLINES ALLOWED)
    10. Plays MUST be submitted each week by kickoff of last scheduled game.
    11. Plays must be in the following format (or close to it):

    2019 NFL P.O.W. (0-0-0 (post your current record here))

    Atlanta Falcons +3 (Golden Nugget)
    (This is where you will post your reasoning for this selection. It doesn't have to be a book or even a full paragraph, but more than just "I think the Falcons are better.")

    12. Myself, Seahawk Rick (the artist formerly known as Cybergolf) or any other I deem so, will have final ruling on if a play is valid (ie: Wrong line, Wrong Book, Not enough reasoning given, etc)
    13. The first couple of weeks I will give the benefit of the doubt to any newcomers on here...veterans, you know the rules, LMEAO
    14. NO EDITING!!! (ironic, as this was edited by DaveTuley LMEAO)...you can't change your pick after you post it as this supposed to mirror the real world where you lock in your bet at the current number...if you need to clarify something in original post (typed in wrong team or line, or forget to cite sportsbooks, etc.), please quote in new post to bring it to the moderators attention
    15. For the first time, this year, Week 17 will be worth 2 points for a correct selection and 1 point for a push.
    16. To qualify for the playoff round of this competition, players must have a total of 10 points by the end of the regular season (week 17)...important note: your points will be the number of Units you start with in the playoff portion of the contest that runs through the Super Bowl and will be run by DaveTuley with locked-in spreads and totals, though Tuley often will give extra options if the market has variances such as Patriots -6.5 but also Steelers +7 being available); still debating maximum units allowed for playoff round (currently 5-unit max bet each playoff weekend).
    17. Since we are not doing the SuperContest Mirror Contest like past years and this is the OFFICIAL handicapping ViewFromVegas handicapping contest for the 2020 NFL season, DaveTuley is upgrading the grand prize to 2 nights hotel in Las Vegas (sorry, you have to get yourself here) and dinner for 2 with DaveTuley along with $100 gift card and a ViewFromVegas shirt (season must end with a Super Bowl champion for this to be awarded)...he's also giving a $100 gift card and a VFV shirt to the top point-earner in the regular season (minimum 10 weeks)...we've had VFV Forum members offer up additional prizes in the past including cash and steak knives, so please contact DaveTuley if you have anything to add).
    18. ****Thanks to Compass Rose for starting discussion on this one****18. Any selection made, and then for whatever reason, the game is officially postponed or canceled, a substitute P.O.W. may be posted at the then available lines. If no substitute play is made, the original play will be graded as 0 points.

    If you have any questions, feel free to ask and best of luck this season!

    ******GOING FORWARD, HERE ARE THE ONLY BOOKS ELIGIBLE TO USE FOR THIS CONTEST. ANY PLAYS POSTED NOT USING ONE OF THESE BOOKS WILL BE GRADED AS A LOSS. THIS WILL SERVE AS YOUR ONLY REMINDER FOR THIS NEW RULE!!!********

    WESTGATE
    BETMGM
    CIRCA
    WILLIAM HILL
    STATIONS
    GOLDEN NUGGET
    TREASURE ISLAND
    SOUTH POINT
    CAESARS
    WYNN

  • #2
    In Week 3, we went a combined 23-36-1(.383) ATS

    Through 3 weeks, we are now a combined 87-93-4(.473) ATS

    Name Win Loss Tie Total
    2HOLLYWOOD2 3 0 0 3
    COACHV29 3 0 0 3
    ICE TEA 2 3 0 0 3
    JIMMYJAM4508 3 0 0 3
    MATTYSHARP 3 0 0 3
    TEXAN 73 3 0 0 3
    JPFITZ 2 0 1 2.5
    AMAZING MOM 2 1 0 2
    ASTROID M 2 1 0 2
    AZTEC10 2 1 0 2
    BLUEANDGOLD65 2 1 0 2
    BOURBONBOB 2 1 0 2
    DURBIFY 2 1 0 2
    FLORABAMABOY 2 1 0 2
    GCOTTON 2 1 0 2
    SEAHAWK RICK 2 1 0 2
    TARB 2 1 0 2
    ZJABRONI 2 1 0 2
    AARON24 2 1 0 2
    ARCHIE 8 2 1 0 2
    BRUINGUY 2 1 0 2
    BUCKY 2 1 0 2
    FREEJACK 2 0 0 2
    JPDAWG 2 1 0 2
    RACING CAT 2 1 0 2
    TAKETHEREDEYE 2 1 0 2
    TOSPEKE 2 1 0 2
    JSCHANILEC 1 1 1 1.5
    ACE 1 2 0 1
    BUCKEYEFAN80 1 2 0 1
    CDOG 1 2 0 1
    CHAMOINLA 1 2 0 1
    COMPASS ROSE 1 2 0 1
    DUKOWSKI 1 2 0 1
    EAST COAST 1 2 0 1
    HEY RUBE! 1 2 0 1
    MR. OUTSIDEVEGAS 1 2 0 1
    MUDSHARK 1 2 0 1
    NINERUTEFAN 1 2 0 1
    PETEGAL2 1 0 0 1
    PHATMAN15 1 2 0 1
    SEMAJ35 1 1 0 1
    STRMCHSR1 1 2 0 1
    TONYLOVE 1 2 0 1
    WOODEE 1 2 0 1
    XAVIER BOB 1 2 0 1
    BARNSTORM 1 2 0 1
    BIMMERCANDO 1 2 0 1
    DAVE TULEY 1 1 0 1
    MCGRATH 1 2 0 1
    MR. PIXTER 1 2 0 1
    MRVOLO 1 2 0 1
    ROCKMAN IN PA 1 2 0 1
    YISMAN 1 2 0 1
    DEANO 0 2 1 0.5
    J.HERB 0 2 1 0.5
    510SPORTSNUT 0 3 0 0
    CASEINPOINT 0 3 0 0
    DMAC 0 3 0 0
    EIEIO 0 3 0 0
    JD MOOSE 1950 0 3 0 0
    LEGZ_AKIMBO 0 1 0 0
    SKYKAM1914 0 2 0 0
    STR8OUTTADURANGO 0 3 0 0
    Last edited by gcotton; 09-29-2020, 04:39 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NFL POW 2-0

      Cincy -3 (william hill)

      Well it didnt take long for Joe Burreaux to make an impact on the nfl. This guy makes game ending drives look routine. His connection with the receivers is starting to gel now that they are all back.and have played a few together (didnt get much work in due to injuries at the receiver position). I get nervous any time i take cincy and have to give points but this is the "Just losing Jaguars". They are giving the season away on hopes of getting their franchise QB in the draft. I think the Bengals get their first win at home with their new franchise QB. Im gonna grab this now before it becomes -4. Cincy wins 24-17. Geaux Tigers!

      Comment


      • #4
        NFL POW (2-1-0 YTD)

        Bills -3 (Westgage)

        This line may be moving in the other direction, and while I don't want to miss out on -2.5 I really don't want to lose it if it goes to -3.5. I'm not sure I understand this line at all. The Raiders were 5.5 point dogs to the Raiders at home and 7 point dogs to the Pats on the road. Does everyone else have the Bills rated lower than the Saints and Patriots? I would think they are at worst even. I sleep well taking the better team laying a field goal, so I'll do that here.

        Comment


        • FreeJack
          FreeJack commented
          Editing a comment
          I have the Bills rated lower than the Saints and Pats.

      • #5
        NFL POW (2-1-0)

        Chicago Bears +2.5 (Westgate)

        The Bears have always had a descent defense. Nick Foles (Captain Save Um) is now the starter for the Bears. Chicago now has an offense to go with their defense. Bears at home with the points.

        Comment


        • #6
          2020 NFL P.O.W. (2-1-0 YTD)

          Pittsburgh Steelers -1 Golden Nugget

          This is really taking a chance here that the NFL will let this game proceed as schedule. If not, it's early enough that I can find a different game. PIT was told to act like nothing has changed, and will have a normal work week. TEN will have to get ready via Zoom meetings and no field time. Short travel for PIT, who is really playing well right now. PIT played a great game at home against a decent(even though their record doesn't show) Texans squad. TEN had a nail-biter on the road in MIN, and now must deal with this crap. I love Vrable as a GC, but in a situation like this, I will take the more experienced HC in Tomlin. That, and the Titans screwed me in this contest last week, so a tad bitter, lol.

          Pittsburgh Steelers 27
          Tennessee Titans 14

          Best of luck to all this week and stay safe!

          Comment


          • #7
            Originally posted by gcotton View Post
            2020 NFL P.O.W. (2-1-0 YTD)

            Pittsburgh Steelers -1 Golden Nugget

            This is really taking a chance here that the NFL will let this game proceed as schedule. If not, it's early enough that I can find a different game. PIT was told to act like nothing has changed, and will have a normal work week. TEN will have to get ready via Zoom meetings and no field time. Short travel for PIT, who is really playing well right now. PIT played a great game at home against a decent(even though their record doesn't show) Texans squad. TEN had a nail-biter on the road in MIN, and now must deal with this crap. I love Vrable as a GC, but in a situation like this, I will take the more experienced HC in Tomlin. That, and the Titans screwed me in this contest last week, so a tad bitter, lol.

            Pittsburgh Steelers 27
            Tennessee Titans 14

            Best of luck to all this week and stay safe!
            Virus hit 8 players on the Tennessee team......this game could be postponed. Is there a backup plan for this contest. Because i wanted Pittsburgh also

            Comment


            • gcotton
              gcotton commented
              Editing a comment
              Only 3 players, there were 5 support staff that tested positive. One of the 3 players knew he was positive before the team even left for Minneapolis on Sat and didn't travel.

            • gcotton
              gcotton commented
              Editing a comment
              Yes to your question. Look at rule #18 above

          • #8
            NFL P.O.W. (1-1-1)

            I'm editing my post as I had picked the Steelers earlier.

            Miami +6.5 (Westgate) It's going to be a hot one in Miami on Sunday. The heat, humidity and early start time will cause the Seahawks issues. I think they win, but this is the type of game Miami hangs around until the 4th quarter..
            Last edited by jschanilec; 09-30-2020, 11:26 AM.

            Comment


            • #9
              A disappointing 2-1
              Buffalo Bills -3 ..... everywhere
              I am going with what I think is a top 5 team that is being priced as a top 10 team. I think that there is line value this week with the Bills due to blowing a 25-point lead versus the Rams last week before ultimately pulling out the game in the last minute. If the Bills prevail this week, I just might continue to ride with Buffalo.

              Comment


              • #10
                gcotton/jschanilec (and everyone else):
                I meant to post this earlier, but I believe I need to make an executive decision and VOID THE PICKS ON STEELERS -1 AND BLOCK ANYONE ELSE FROM PICKING THE STEELERS-TITANS GAME OR VIKINGS-TEXANS...even though I know the vegasinsider.com site that we use to verify current lines still shows the Steelers -1 (and I've posted here before about that site -- as well as a lot of other odds sites, so I'm not just throwing VI under the bus -- leaving up stale lines when games have been taken off the board for any number of reasons), the game was taken off the board at all Vegas casinos on Tuesday morning before gotton & jschanilec posted their picks, so that line wasn't available for betting here at any books on our list.

                So, they should make another pick or wait until the game is officially on and updated lines are posted...and the same goes for the Vikings-Texans game. I hope everyone reads this so I'm putting it in bold LMEAO!!!

                Comment


                • gcotton
                  gcotton commented
                  Editing a comment
                  Sounds good Dave.....Thanks!

                • mcgrath
                  mcgrath commented
                  Editing a comment
                  Good call Dave.

                • jschanilec
                  jschanilec commented
                  Editing a comment
                  Agreed! Thanks Dave! Should I edit my prior post or start a new one?

              • #11
                Dave, even the VSIN odds screen is showing this game still up at a number of books. Mostly in the 2 point range. Is the line really down all over town still or can we make a selection on it??

                As of 10:18am EDT, the following were available on the VSIN odds screen:
                South Point -2
                Golden Nugget -1
                Wynn -1
                William Hill -2
                Mirage -1.5
                Last edited by gcotton; 09-30-2020, 08:19 AM.

                Comment


                • #12
                  Originally posted by gcotton View Post
                  Dave, even the VSIN odds screen is showing this game still up at a number of books. Mostly in the 2 point range. Is the line really down all over town still or can we make a selection on it??

                  As of 10:18am EDT, the following were available on the VSIN odds screen:
                  South Point -2
                  Golden Nugget -1
                  Wynn -1
                  William Hill -2
                  Mirage -1.5
                  Like I said, it's a glitch for all odds services (even Don Best screen showing stale lines), but the Steelers-Titans and Vikings-Texans games are still off the board as of this morning (11:14 a.m. ET/8:14 a.m. PT)

                  Comment


                  • #13
                    NFL announced Steelers-Titans game postponed Sunday, so now officially those prior bets are null and void. They're hoping to reschedule it for Monday...in any case, if you want to pick/bet Steelers-Titans, it'll be as an ADDED or EXTRA game on that day with new betting number.

                    Comment


                    • #14
                      NFL P.O.W. (1-2-0)

                      Seattle at miami over 54.5(BetMGM)

                      The Seahawks are tied for the league-lead in yards allowed per pass. The other team tied for that mark will be on the other side of the field Sunday. Miami has played once at home this year and they allowed over 400 yards passing to Josh Allen and the Bills in a 31-28 loss. The Dolphins have not seen a total of 50 or higher this year but Seattle had no problem topping last week’s 58.
                      We all know Wilson will be able to score at will like he has all year, with his 14 TDs to 24 incompletions, but with RB Chris Carson banged up and questionable, the Seahawks may have to rely on the league's best passing attack even more. If Adams and Dunbar are ruled out, this total could creep even higher.
                      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games.The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games.
                      GL.

                      Comment


                      • #15
                        Originally posted by jschanilec View Post
                        NFL P.O.W. (1-1-1)

                        I'm editing my post as I had picked the Steelers earlier.

                        Miami +6.5 (Westgate) It's going to be a hot one in Miami on Sunday. The heat, humidity and early start time will cause the Seahawks issues. I think they win, but this is the type of game Miami hangs around until the 4th quarter..
                        I'll do my gcotton impersonation: "See rule #14 above...NO EDITING!" LMEAO...no worries, obviously we see why you did it under these unique circumstances. GL

                        Comment

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