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2020 NFL P.O.W. Week #5 (October 8-12 ) Post Plays Here

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  • 2020 NFL P.O.W. Week #5 (October 8-12 ) Post Plays Here

    This is the thread for the 2020 VFV NFL P.O.W. contest. The following are the rules for this year (the same as in the past):

    1. All contestants must be a member in good standing with VFV Forums
    2. Players make one (1) single play ATS each week during the NFL regular season
    3. A correct play results in one (1) point being awarded. A "push" or tie, results in a half point (1/2) being awarded
    4. An Incorrect play results in zero (0) points being awarded
    5. All lines MUST be taken from the following website each week: http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/
    6. All lines must be -110 or less (must be posted on above site...no buying 1/2 point)
    7. Only Vegas Sports Books listed on the VI website will be allowed
    8. PLEASE SEE NOTE BELOW FOR ELIGIBLE BOOKS!
    9. The following selections are allowed: Full Game Side, Full Game Total, First Half Side, First Half Total (NO MONEYLINES ALLOWED)
    10. Plays MUST be submitted each week by kickoff of last scheduled game.
    11. Plays must be in the following format (or close to it):

    2019 NFL P.O.W. (0-0-0 (post your current record here))

    Atlanta Falcons +3 (Golden Nugget)
    (This is where you will post your reasoning for this selection. It doesn't have to be a book or even a full paragraph, but more than just "I think the Falcons are better.")


    12. Myself, Seahawk Rick (the artist formerly known as Cybergolf) or any other I deem so, will have final ruling on if a play is valid (ie: Wrong line, Wrong Book, Not enough reasoning given, etc)
    13. The first couple of weeks I will give the benefit of the doubt to any newcomers on here...veterans, you know the rules, LMEAO
    14. NO EDITING!!! (ironic, as this was edited by DaveTuley LMEAO)...you can't change your pick after you post it as this supposed to mirror the real world where you lock in your bet at the current number...if you need to clarify something in original post (typed in wrong team or line, or forget to cite sportsbooks, etc.), please quote in new post to bring it to the moderators attention
    15. For the first time, this year, Week 17 will be worth 2 points for a correct selection and 1 point for a push.
    16. To qualify for the playoff round of this competition, players must have a total of 10 points by the end of the regular season (week 17)...important note: your points will be the number of Units you start with in the playoff portion of the contest that runs through the Super Bowl and will be run by DaveTuley with locked-in spreads and totals, though Tuley often will give extra options if the market has variances such as Patriots -6.5 but also Steelers +7 being available); still debating maximum units allowed for playoff round (currently 5-unit max bet each playoff weekend).
    17. Since we are not doing the SuperContest Mirror Contest like past years and this is the OFFICIAL handicapping ViewFromVegas handicapping contest for the 2020 NFL season, DaveTuley is upgrading the grand prize to 2 nights hotel in Las Vegas (sorry, you have to get yourself here) and dinner for 2 with DaveTuley along with $100 gift card and a ViewFromVegas shirt (season must end with a Super Bowl champion for this to be awarded)...he's also giving a $100 gift card and a VFV shirt to the top point-earner in the regular season (minimum 10 weeks)...we've had VFV Forum members offer up additional prizes in the past including cash and steak knives, so please contact DaveTuley if you have anything to add).
    18. ****Thanks to Compass Rose for starting discussion on this one****18. Any selection made, and then for whatever reason, the game is officially postponed or canceled, a substitute P.O.W. may be posted at the then available lines. If no substitute play is made, the original play will be graded as 0 points.

    If you have any questions, feel free to ask and best of luck this season!

    ******GOING FORWARD, HERE ARE THE ONLY BOOKS ELIGIBLE TO USE FOR THIS CONTEST. ANY PLAYS POSTED NOT USING ONE OF THESE BOOKS WILL BE GRADED AS A LOSS. THIS WILL SERVE AS YOUR ONLY REMINDER FOR THIS NEW RULE!!!********

    WESTGATE
    BETMGM
    CIRCA
    WILLIAM HILL
    STATIONS
    GOLDEN NUGGET
    TREASURE ISLAND
    SOUTH POINT
    CAESARS
    WYNN

  • #2
    In Week 4, we went a combined 28-26-4 (.483) ATS

    Thru 4 weeks, we are now a combined 115-119-8 (.475) ATS
    Name Win Loss Tie Total
    COACHV29 4 0 0 4
    TEXAN 73 4 0 0 4
    ICE TEA 2 3 0 1 3.5
    JPFITZ 3 0 1 3.5
    2HOLLYWOOD2 3 1 0 3
    AMAZING MOM 3 1 0 3
    ASTROID M 3 1 0 3
    AZTEC10 3 1 0 3
    BLUEANDGOLD65 3 1 0 3
    BRUINGUY 3 1 0 3
    DURBIFY 3 1 0 3
    FREEJACK 3 0 0 3
    JIMMYJAM4508 3 1 0 3
    JPDAWG 3 1 0 3
    MATTYSHARP 3 1 0 3
    RACING CAT 3 1 0 3
    TARB 3 1 0 3
    TOSPEKE 3 1 0 3
    AARON24 2 2 0 2
    ARCHIE 8 2 2 0 2
    BARNSTORM 2 2 0 2
    BOURBONBOB 2 2 0 2
    BUCKEYEFAN80 2 2 0 2
    BUCKY 3 1 0 2
    COMPASS ROSE 2 2 0 2
    DUKOWSKI 2 2 0 2
    EAST COAST 2 2 0 2
    FLORABAMABOY 2 2 0 2
    GCOTTON 2 2 0 2
    MCGRATH 2 2 0 2
    MR. PIXTER 2 2 0 2
    NINERUTEFAN 2 2 0 2
    PHATMAN15 2 2 0 2
    SEAHAWK RICK 2 2 0 2
    STRMCHSR1 2 2 0 2
    TAKETHEREDEYE 2 2 0 2
    WOODEE 2 2 0 2
    ZJABRONI 2 2 0 2
    BIMMERCANDO 1 2 1 1.5
    DEANO 1 2 1 1.5
    JSCHANILEC 1 2 1 1.5
    ACE 1 2 0 1
    CDOG 1 3 0 1
    CHAMOINLA 1 3 0 1
    DAVE TULEY 1 2 0 1
    HEY RUBE! 1 3 0 1
    MR. OUTSIDEVEGAS 1 3 0 1
    MRVOLO 1 3 0 1
    MUDSHARK 1 3 0 1
    PETEGAL2 1 0 0 1
    ROCKMAN IN PA 1 3 0 1
    SEMAJ35 1 1 0 1
    STR8OUTTADURANGO 1 3 0 1
    TONYLOVE 1 3 0 1
    XAVIER BOB 1 3 0 1
    YISMAN 1 3 0 1
    510SPORTSNUT 0 3 1 0.5
    CASEINPOINT 0 3 1 0.5
    J.HERB 0 3 1 0.5
    DMAC 0 4 0 0
    EIEIO 0 3 0 0
    JD MOOSE 1950 0 4 0 0
    LEGZ_AKIMBO 0 1 0 0
    SKYKAM1914 0 2 0 0
    Last edited by gcotton; 10-06-2020, 03:40 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      3-1

      Miami +8 ..... William Hill

      San Francisco has cluster injuries throughout the team. If QB Garappolo remains out, then this is a great play with a lot of line value. I think that he will be back and then this becomes barely a play at all. Miami's 11-point loss last week was deceptive, Miami played a lot better than the score indicates. Fitzpatrick played a bad game last week and needs to step it up.

      Comment


      • #4
        2020 NFL P.O.W. (2-2-0 YTD)

        Carolina Panthers +3.5 (Stations)

        Maybe it will be reverse voodoo for my Dirty Birds, but I am just going with the hotter team right now. CAR has actually played better ball since C-Mac went out with his injury. And my Birds are a team that has completely given up. They looked from the opening snap last night like they wanted nothing to do with that game. And when you play like you don't want to be there, you get guys hurt, and that happened to this ATL defense. They are now down 6, yes 6, defensive backs on the year. And with Julio having a bad hammy, and Matt running for his life, this team has zero chance. I could write a 2000 word essay on how I am really feeling and the state of these Falcons, but I think you get what I'm going with. Teddy Bridgewater has finally rebounded and playing with confidence from that horrible injury he sustained a few years back. CAR has the HC that I really wish ATL would of hired last off-season. I think Matt Rhule will be a great HC in this league for several years. Going to be another long Sunday for my Birds.

        Carolina Panthers 31
        Atlanta Falcons 17

        Best of luck to all and stay safe!

        Comment


        • Bucky
          Bucky commented
          Editing a comment
          Hey gcotton, in the standings my record is right at 3-1 but points shows 2. Could you check that out please?

        • gcotton
          gcotton commented
          Editing a comment
          Bucky,. my bad. For some reason there are a couple of entries that I have to manually add the total and that the excel spreadsheet doesn't do the math. Thought I had them all caught this week. It will be changed on my master copy.

        • Bucky
          Bucky commented
          Editing a comment
          Sounds good, thank you

      • #5
        1-3
        Indy -1 1/2 Circa
        Browns gifted with multiple fumbles in Dallas last week and almost lost a four touchdown lead. They won’t be so lucky this week against the Colts who have one of the lowest turnover ratio in the league.
        Last edited by tonylove; 10-07-2020, 11:11 AM.

        Comment


        • #6
          0-3-1
          Cowboys -9 1/2 South Point
          Cowboys have great record against teams below .500 and should continue that trend here.

          Comment


          • #7
            2020 N.F.L. POW (1-2-1)

            San Francisco -8 (William Hill) It looks like Jimmy G will be back on the field as well as Kittle, Deebo, Aiyuk and Mostert. I think the offensive firepower of the Niners against a shabby Dolphins D will let San Francisco bounce back in a big way as they try to keep pace in the NFL West. I don't think the Dolphins get much done on offense either and I think this could be a blowout.

            Comment


            • #8
              POW 1-3

              Bears+3.5 (Westgate)

              Waited too long to get this pick in and missed out on the best of the number. I will still grab it here before the hook goes away. Grabbing the home dog, on a short week going up against an old QB and a plethora of weapons missing due to injury. Foles and company bouce back from last week and get the job done.

              Comment


              • #9
                NFL P.O.W. (2-2-0)

                KC -12.5 Treasure Island

                Headed back in the right direction. Last week 4-1, missing Arizona pick. Top nods this week are:
                KC -12.5 at home v. LV. KC an offensive machine, Best record SU and ATS since last season. KC continued SU and ATS streak last two weeks against two good defenses BAL and NE. When betting, always ride the hot streak. Mahomes has #2 QBR rating with #2 TD to INT ratios, at 11 TDs to 0 INTs. Carr 8 TDs to 0 INTs. In past two weeks, KC beat BAL by 14 points and NE by 16 points. During the same two weeks, LV lost by 16 points to NE and lost by 7 points to BUF. LV banged up right now.
                TEN (OFF) v. BUF. Allen has third best QBR, third highest passer rating, averaging second best yards per attempt at 9.0, 12 TDs to 1 INT, second most yards and third most TDs among all QBs. Tannehill has 6 TDs 1 INTs, tenth best QBR. Neither team has played a tough opponent until this coming weekend. TEN #1 turnover margin, third most takeaways, second fewest giveaways. This is close game, if not outright TEN win, take the generous points.
                BAL -13 at home v. CIN. Overall trends split last two years easily favoring BAL, but head to head recently CIN 5-1 ATS v. BAL on road, 4-1 ATS v. BAL last five games. Burrow has 10th worst QBR in league, big edge Jackson. But these divisional rivals have been playing it close in recent history. CIN #3 in DefQBR, BAL #7. BAL 3rd best rushing offense and among leaders in turnover margin and takeaways.
                RAMS -7 @ WAS. WAS bottom 10 in DefQBR, dead last in OffQBR. LAR middle of the league in OffQBR, ninth in DefQBR. WAS has given away the ball the fourth most times of any team in the league this year. Allen has #31 QBR, which is better than Haskins #32 QBR, but not by very much. WAS third worst rushing offense.
                NE (OFF) at home v. DEN. My mistake. Hoyer's is 31st ranked QBR this weekend, not Allen, above, who is slightly worse at #32. Drew Lock, questionable is #29th QBR this year, and Driskel is worse. Despite ints last week, Rypien might be better for DEN in the near future. Second best rushing offense is NE, fourth worst rushing offense is DEN. Second worst turnover margin is DEN, because they have 5th most giveaways and 4th fewest takeaways. NE, as usual has 2nd most takeaways, but uncharacteristically has 6th most giveaways. This weekend NE will pound the rock.
                SEA -7 at home v. MIN. Wilson #4 QBR is offset by MIN #4 DefQBR. Cousins has a bottom ten QBR, SEA DefQBR is middle of the league. MIN has 5th best rushing offense, and SEA has 3rd best rushing defense. Travel and turnovers decide this game. Second consecutive road game for MIN, trends for 2020 and last couple of years favor SEA who is 4-0 SU and ATS this year. MIN among league worst in giveaways, takeaways and turnover margin. SEA among the best in giveaways, takeaways and turnover margin.
                Good luck to all!

                Comment


                • #10
                  Won my first parlay bet I ever played this past weekend. Great feeling!

                  Comment


                  • #11
                    POW: 2-2* (subject to review)
                    Indy -2.5 (Circa)
                    Both the Colts & the Browns are all dressed up at 3-1 while beating a bunch of cream puffs. In Philip & crew I trust to bring Cleveland back to earth in this low-scoring affair.
                    Last edited by Mr.OutsideVegas; 10-08-2020, 04:02 PM.

                    Comment


                    • gcotton
                      gcotton commented
                      Editing a comment
                      MOV.....As Dave posted a couple of weeks ago, and is now a part of the rules at the top of the page, Draft Kings is no longer eligible to be used as a book for this contest. Please do not edit this post, but make a comment below mine here with an eligible book. Thanks!

                    • gcotton
                      gcotton commented
                      Editing a comment
                      MOV, I also just replied back to your message in regards to your selection in Week 4, and your current record.

                    • Buckeyefan80
                      Buckeyefan80 commented
                      Editing a comment
                      What is the price to pay for an edit, cotton? Don’t recall if I ever saw it.

                  • #12
                    Pow 2-2

                    KC/LV Under 56 (Stations)

                    What stands out to me here is that KC travels to Buffalo after this game for a Thursday night showdown between likely unbeatens. Even the mighty Chiefs are not immune from looking ahead to such a matchup, especially when it’s just 4 days away and on the road. I believe KC’s plan will be to get a lead, then sit on it with runs and short, high percentage passes, and get this game over with as soon as possible. The Raiders want to keep Mahomes off the field, same as everyone does, which will contribute to the overall ball control type game I foresee.

                    Comment


                    • #13
                      NFL POW (3-1-0 YTD)

                      Steelers -7 (Westgate)

                      The Eagles were getting 9 points against the 49ers back up team last week, and now only 7 against a rested Steelers team that didn't even want the week off? I think Big Ben made it clear they will run their full offense until the last snap to get back in Rhythm and I think the Steelers defense will shut down the Eagles. I'm happy to lay 7 in this spot.

                      Comment


                      • #14
                        NFL P.O.W. (1-3-0 YTD)

                        Kansas City - 11 1/2 (Circa)

                        This week I'm taking and sticking with KC - Covid be damned! They're just the best team in football right now. Their offense is unstoppable and their defense is playing well. Raiders are not a team built to play catch-up, so they'll have a hard time keeping up with KC's offense. Added bonus is that Andy Reid is 10-4 against the Raiders since he's been at KC, and the Chiefs are 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 games.

                        Comment


                        • #15
                          POW 0-4...0-16???

                          Bears+3.5 (Westgate)


                          LOVE THIS SPOT FOR THE BEARS COMING OFF AWFUL GAME VS INDY AT HOME..NOW ON NAT TV..THURS NIGHT/HOME..DEFENSE WILL BE READY ..ALSO NO EVANS AND FOURNETTE FOR BUCS.... THE CLINCHER....... 70% PUBLIC ON THE ' BRADY BUNCH"

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