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2020 NFL P.O.W. Week #6 (October 18-19 ) Post Plays Here

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  • 2020 NFL P.O.W. Week #6 (October 18-19 ) Post Plays Here

    This is the thread for the 2020 VFV NFL P.O.W. contest. The following are the rules for this year (the same as in the past):

    1. All contestants must be a member in good standing with VFV Forums
    2. Players make one (1) single play ATS each week during the NFL regular season
    3. A correct play results in one (1) point being awarded. A "push" or tie, results in a half point (1/2) being awarded
    4. An Incorrect play results in zero (0) points being awarded
    5. All lines MUST be taken from the following website each week: http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/
    6. All lines must be -110 or less (must be posted on above site...no buying 1/2 point)
    7. Only Vegas Sports Books listed on the VI website will be allowed
    8. PLEASE SEE NOTE BELOW FOR ELIGIBLE BOOKS!
    9. The following selections are allowed: Full Game Side, Full Game Total, First Half Side, First Half Total (NO MONEYLINES ALLOWED)
    10. Plays MUST be submitted each week by kickoff of last scheduled game.
    11. Plays must be in the following format (or close to it):

    2019 NFL P.O.W. (0-0-0 (post your current record here))

    Atlanta Falcons +3 (Golden Nugget)
    (This is where you will post your reasoning for this selection. It doesn't have to be a book or even a full paragraph, but more than just "I think the Falcons are better.")

    12. Myself, Seahawk Rick (the artist formerly known as Cybergolf) or any other I deem so, will have final ruling on if a play is valid (ie: Wrong line, Wrong Book, Not enough reasoning given, etc)
    13. The first couple of weeks I will give the benefit of the doubt to any newcomers on here...veterans, you know the rules, LMEAO
    14. NO EDITING!!! (ironic, as this was edited by DaveTuley LMEAO)...you can't change your pick after you post it as this supposed to mirror the real world where you lock in your bet at the current number...if you need to clarify something in original post (typed in wrong team or line, or forget to cite sportsbooks, etc.), please quote in new post to bring it to the moderators attention
    15. For the first time, this year, Week 17 will be worth 2 points for a correct selection and 1 point for a push.
    16. To qualify for the playoff round of this competition, players must have a total of 10 points by the end of the regular season (week 17)...important note: your points will be the number of Units you start with in the playoff portion of the contest that runs through the Super Bowl and will be run by DaveTuley with locked-in spreads and totals, though Tuley often will give extra options if the market has variances such as Patriots -6.5 but also Steelers +7 being available); still debating maximum units allowed for playoff round (currently 5-unit max bet each playoff weekend).
    17. Since we are not doing the SuperContest Mirror Contest like past years and this is the OFFICIAL handicapping ViewFromVegas handicapping contest for the 2020 NFL season, DaveTuley is upgrading the grand prize to 2 nights hotel in Las Vegas (sorry, you have to get yourself here) and dinner for 2 with DaveTuley along with $100 gift card and a ViewFromVegas shirt (season must end with a Super Bowl champion for this to be awarded)...he's also giving a $100 gift card and a VFV shirt to the top point-earner in the regular season (minimum 10 weeks)...we've had VFV Forum members offer up additional prizes in the past including cash and steak knives, so please contact DaveTuley if you have anything to add).
    18. ****Thanks to Compass Rose for starting discussion on this one****18. Any selection made, and then for whatever reason, the game is officially postponed or canceled, a substitute P.O.W. may be posted at the then available lines. If no substitute play is made, the original play will be graded as 0 points.

    If you have any questions, feel free to ask and best of luck this season!

    ******GOING FORWARD, HERE ARE THE ONLY BOOKS ELIGIBLE TO USE FOR THIS CONTEST. ANY PLAYS POSTED NOT USING ONE OF THESE BOOKS WILL BE GRADED AS A LOSS. THIS WILL SERVE AS YOUR ONLY REMINDER FOR THIS NEW RULE!!!********

    WESTGATE
    BETMGM
    CIRCA
    WILLIAM HILL
    STATIONS
    GOLDEN NUGGET
    TREASURE ISLAND
    SOUTH POINT
    CAESARS
    WYNN

  • #2
    In Week 5 we went a combined 28-29-0 (.491) ATS

    Thru 5 weeks, we are now a combined 143-147-9 (.478) ATS
    Name Win Loss Tie Total
    COACHV29 5 0 0 5
    TEXAN 73 5 0 0 5
    ICE TEA 2 4 0 1 4.5
    2HOLLYWOOD2 4 1 0 4
    ASTROID M 4 1 0 4
    AZTEC10 4 1 0 4
    BUCKY 4 1 0 4
    FREEJACK 4 0 0 4
    MATTYSHARP 4 1 0 4
    TARB 4 1 0 4
    JPFITZ 3 1 1 3.5
    AARON24 3 2 0 3
    AMAZING MOM 3 2 0 3
    ARCHIE 8 3 2 0 3
    BARNSTORM 3 2 0 3
    BLUEANDGOLD65 3 2 0 3
    BOURBONBOB 3 2 0 3
    BRUINGUY 3 2 0 3
    DURBIFY 3 2 0 3
    EAST COAST 3 2 0 3
    GCOTTON 3 2 0 3
    JIMMYJAM4508 3 2 0 3
    JPDAWG 3 2 0 3
    MR. PIXTER 3 2 0 3
    RACING CAT 3 2 0 3
    TAKETHEREDEYE 3 2 0 3
    TOSPEKE 3 2 0 3
    WOODEE 3 2 0 3
    BIMMERCANDO 2 2 1 2.5
    BUCKEYEFAN80 2 3 0 2
    COMPASS ROSE 2 3 0 2
    DAVE TULEY 2 2 0 2
    DUKOWSKI 2 3 0 2
    FLORABAMABOY 2 3 0 2
    HEY RUBE! 2 3 0 2
    MCGRATH 2 3 0 2
    MRVOLO 2 3 0 2
    MUDSHARK 2 3 0 2
    NINERUTEFAN 2 3 0 2
    PHATMAN15 2 3 0 2
    SEAHAWK RICK 2 3 0 2
    STR8OUTTADURANGO 2 3 0 2
    STRMCHSR1 2 3 0 2
    ZJABRONI 2 3 0 2
    510SPORTSNUT 1 3 1 1.5
    DEANO 1 3 1 1.5
    J.HERB 1 3 1 1.5
    JSCHANILEC 1 3 1 1.5
    MR. OUTSIDEVEGAS 1 3 1 1.5
    ACE 1 3 0 1
    CDOG 1 3 0 1
    CHAMOINLA 1 4 0 1
    JD MOOSE 1950 1 4 0 1
    PETEGAL2 1 0 0 1
    ROCKMAN IN PA 1 4 0 1
    SEMAJ35 1 1 0 1
    TONYLOVE 1 4 0 1
    XAVIER BOB 1 4 0 1
    YISMAN 1 4 0 1
    CASEINPOINT 0 4 1 0.5
    DMAC 0 4 0 0
    EIEIO 0 3 0 0
    LEGZ_AKIMBO 0 1 0 0
    SKYKAM1914 0 2 0 0
    Last edited by gcotton; 10-14-2020, 08:35 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      4-1

      Cincinnati +9.5 ..... Westgate

      Indy's defense was vastly overrated after playing four games, allowing 14 points per game versus Jacksonville, Jets, Minnesota and Chicago, four teams lacking offense. In week 5, Cleveland scored 32 points on Indy. Cincinnati's QB Burrow has it all over Indy's QB Rivers. Cincinnati will score enough points versus Indy to easily cover the generous 9.5 point spread.

      Comment


      • #4
        2020 NFL P.O.W. (3-2-0 YTD)

        Minnesota Vikings -3.5 (Westgate)

        Going to keep going against my Birds until they prove me wrong. Yet another sorry ass performance from ATL today, again playing with zero emotion. When asked after the game about a possible coaching change, Arthur Blank said, "He had to sleep on it." And that a decision wouldn't be made until Monday or Tuesday. Either way, it's not doing this team any good by waiting, especially with a road tilt in Minneapolis next Sunday. Mike Zimmer is 10xs the coach that Quinn, or whoever will be in charge next week. ATL's defense made Bridgewater and Mike Davis look like Joe Namath and Walter Payton today. They can't tackle and lost another couple of guys to injury. On top of that, the play calling is atrocious, and Ryan is playing about as bad as I have seen in a long, long time. The lone bright spot today was Todd Gurley finally getting going. But when they got down, they continued to run, and wouldn't throw. Julio Jones is still being hampered by a bum hammy, which kept him in street clothes today. Minny wins in a romp.

        Atlanta Falcons 17
        Minnesota Vikings 34

        Best of luck to all this week and stay safe everyone!

        Comment


        • #5
          NFL POW 5-0 [5 pts]

          Minnesota -3.5 [Westgate]

          Pretty sure the Vikings will flood this forum for Week 6. Vikings will be smarting a little with the way they lost in Seattle, and they may also be without RB Cook. They really were the better team vs Seattle though, but Wilson worked his magic again and broke their hearts. The Vikings D will harass Ryan all day long and cause 2-3 turnovers. Even if Cook doesn't play Mattison showed last night that he is a very reliable backup. Gurley will not have the success running the ball vs Minnesota as he did vs Carolina. Now the Atlanta D.....oh boy....enough said. Vikings win by two scores...

          GL to all

          Comment


          • Zjabroni
            Zjabroni commented
            Editing a comment
            Great start Coach, keep it going!

        • #6
          2020 NFL P.O.W. (2-3-0 YTD)

          Dallas Cowboys +2.5

          This line was cowboys -3 before the Dak injury. Dalton isn't as big a downgrade from Dak as alot of people believe especially not a 5.5 point downgrade. He will go out there and remind everyone why he was called the red rifle.

          Comment


          • FreeJack
            FreeJack commented
            Editing a comment
            watching the film I think the red rifle isnt as good as you think. All the outside passes were read slow and lacked zip. Good luck

          • Zjabroni
            Zjabroni commented
            Editing a comment
            Well I'm not exactly lighting it up with my 2-3 record lol. So probably wrong on this one as well. Good luck to you as well

          • FreeJack
            FreeJack commented
            Editing a comment
            You might be on to something, we will see. If its the old red rifle then I do like him with the good weapons around him, hopefully he knocks the rust off. GL

        • #7
          POW 4-0

          MINN -3.5 (william hill)

          Coach beat me to it. The vikings were the better team sunday night and had a tough loss. they bounce back here against a team going completely south. People are now joking saying if 2020 was a football team they would be the falcons. The hawks are a mess right now and the vikings are extremely well coached and focused. The Vikings will win this one and I wanted to grab it now before it hits -4. Vikings 31-24

          Comment


          • FreeJack
            FreeJack commented
            Editing a comment
            well that was an awful performance...back to the drawing board. This past weekend is going to shake things up a bit.

        • #8
          POW 3-2 YTD

          Jacksonville Jaguars + 3.5 William Hill

          Detroit has lost 15 of the last 17 games SU . I favor home team and points. Dave Tuley likes them and you know how sharp he is !!!

          Comment


          • #9
            NFL POW (4-1-0) YTD

            Titans -3 (South Point)

            Wow. This looks like a sucker bet. This looks like a bet that I will shake my head at next Monday and say "what were you thinking - it's never that easy." So if anyone has any good reasons to be on the Texans here I would love to hear them. I LOVED the Texans last week. But they did not look much better than the Jags. It makes me very nervous that the Titans just dropped 42 on one of the best AFC teams...but honestly I just don't understand this line. The Texans have a 73 year old coach with a losing record. That alone would have me fading them.

            Comment


            • mcgrath
              mcgrath commented
              Editing a comment
              I don’t have a strong opinion on this game, but you asked for any reasons to play Houston. Really, more of a play against the Titans. Tennessee has a showdown against the Steelers next week and may be looking ahead. That is, as soon as the afterglow from last night’s beat down of Buffalo subsides. I actually think this is a vulnerable spot for Tenn.

          • #10
            POW 2-3

            DALLAS +2.5 (Wynn)

            I agree with an above post that the red rifle is closer than 5 points to Dak. But the main reason I like this play is the “circle the wagons” aspect. It brings teams together when their superstar QB goes down. Especially teams looking to hang on to first place.

            Comment


            • #11
              NFL P.O.W. (1-3-1) YTD

              Cincinnati +8 (Stations) I think 8 is too high a number for the Colts to be favored against anyone. Phil Rivers is past his prime and won't put too many points the board. Cincinnati rebounds here after a bad showing against the Ravens and the game is low scoring and close.

              Comment


              • #12
                POW 3-2
                Texans +3.5 at South Point
                Now teams that start 0-4 don't have a very good chance to make the playoffs , but after winning last week they now face Tenn off a short week at 4-0, think this gives Texans extra motivation to get to 2-4 rather than 1-5 and looking at Tenn being 5-0 if Houston don't get straight up win. I'm playing money line here also. This is strictly a play for mebase on the motivation Houston better have.

                Comment


                • #13
                  2020 NFL P.O.W. (3-2-0)

                  Min -3.5 (Wynn LV)

                  Vikings have #4 Defensive QBR, Falcons have league worst Defensive QBR. Across every rating system, DVOA, FPI, QBR, Vikings are greatly superior to this Falcons team...and according to Football Outsiders metrics, Vikings have played the toughest schedule so far this year, and played them tough. Comparing the two teams results versus common opponents favors the Vikings as well. The interim head coach for the Falcons has been the architect of the above mentioned worst defense.

                  Comment


                  • #14
                    2020 NFL P.O.W. (1-4-0)

                    Miami Dolphins-8.5 (Westgate)


                    The Jets are coming to the game here after losing their last game on the field. The loss was fairly embarrassing as the Jets ended up losing by 20 points to the Arizona Cardinals by a 30-10score. The loss dropped the Jets to a 0-5 mark on the year and is definitely bringing the head coach into a questionable position.

                    The Jets are having some serious issues in moving the ball around and when they do move it in avoiding turning the ball over. What compounds the Jets problems is their defense is not that good and has been lit up quite a bit on the year. Look for the Dolphins who are coming off of a good day to move the ball nicely and easily as the Jets are unable to stop them.

                    GL

                    Comment


                    • #15
                      2020 NFL POW (3-2-0)
                      Tampa Bay Bucs +1.5 (Treasure Island)

                      Green Bay is 4-0, but combined records of the teams they beat is 5-14. Their two home games have also been more statistically dominant thus far and they're going to Tampa for this one. The Bucs lost a tough game last Thursday, and I think they will use that frustration to come out focused and prepared in a game they need to win given the competitiveness of their division, whereas the Packers may come out a little complacent given their strong start to the season. Plus getting some line value based on the Bucs loss last week as the look ahead line was Bucs -3. There has now been a 4.5 point overreaction line shift. Therefore, I 'll take the Bucs +1.5, in a game I think they'll win outright.

                      Comment

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