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  • Sun. Oct. 7th ALL SPORTS

    NFL. 22-8-1. +13.20

    Over 43.5 Carolina
    NY Jets +1
    Detroit -1
    Pittsburgh -3
    Over 47 Philly
    Over 50 LA Rams
    Houston -3
    Under 48 Cincy

    MLB Playoffs. 4-8. -4.85

    Dodgers -1.5 (-110)

    GL to all
    Last edited by Coachv29; 10-06-2018, 10:10 PM.

  • #2
    Sunday NFL Service Plays 10/7/18

    Adam Thompson
    Washington +6.5
    Houston -3.5
    LA Chargers -5
    Jacksonville +3
    Denver pk
    Tennessee -5



    Allen Eastman
    Baltimore -3
    Washington +6.5
    Philadelphia -3
    Denver +1
    San Francisco -4

    Arthur Ralph Sports
    Eagles -3
    Ravens -3
    Rams -7

    Steelers/Falcons Over 57

    Double Dragon Sports
    Ravens -3
    Jaguars +3
    Jets +1
    Raiders +5.5
    Vikings +3
    Rams -7
    Texans -3
    Redskins +6


    Fred Faour
    Denver +1
    Oakland +5


    Galin Dragiev
    Kansas City Under 49

    Goodfella
    Houston -3

    Greg Shaker
    Cleveland/Baltimore Under 47.5
    Cincinnati/Miami Under 49.5
    Pittsburgh -3



    Hank Goldberg
    Washington +6.5
    LA Rams -7
    Pittsburgh Over 57.5
    Cincinnati -6.5
    NY Jets -1
    Buffalo +3.5
    Baltimore -3

    Howard Eskin
    Eagles/Vikings Over 46.5

    Indian Cowboy
    Eagles -3
    Dolphins +6

    Jason Sharpe
    Philadelphia -3
    Under 48.5 Miami/Cincinnati
    Pittsburgh -3
    Houston -3




    Josh Nagal
    LA Rams -7.5


    King Creole
    Pittsburgh/Atlanta Over 57
    LA Rams/Seattle Under 50.5


    Larry Hartstein
    Pittsburgh -3
    San Francisco -3.5
    Dallas +3.5
    Washington +6.5
    Cincinnati -5.5




    LasVegas DataBase
    Seattle +7.5


    Marc Lawrence
    Bills
    Pittsburgh -3
    Washington +6.5


    Mike Tierney
    Dallas +3.5
    Arizona +4
    Detroit +1
    Cincinnati -5.5
    New Orleans -6.5
    Pittsburgh Under 57.5
    Denver +1
    Baltimore -3


    Nelly
    Jacksonville +3
    Miami +6
    Detroit +1

    Norm Hitzges
    Pittsburgh -3.5
    Jacksonville +3
    Buffalo +4.5
    Cincinnati -6.5
    Cleveland/Baltimore Under 46
    Cincinnati/Miami Under 48.5
    New Orleans/Washington Over 52.5




    RJ White
    Houston -3.5
    Oakland +5
    Miami +6
    Denver PK
    Philadelphia -3
    Pittsburgh -3
    Cleveland +3
    Carolina -6.5
    Pittsburgh Under 58
    Seattle +7.5
    Cincinnati Under 49.5
    Detroit Over 51

    Spartan
    Philadelphia -3

    Stephen Nover
    San Francisco +4.5

    Steven Oh
    LA Chargers -5.5
    Philadelphia -3

    The Prez
    Chargers -5.5
    Chiefs -3



    Tom Fornelli
    Philadelphia -3
    Miami +6.5
    Baltimore -3
    Carolina -7



    Tom Stryker
    Steelers
    Chargers

    Vegas Sports Informer
    Baltimore -3
    Carolina -6
    Houston -3

    Vernon Croy
    Jacksonville +3

    Wunderdog
    Kansas City -2.5




    Zack Cimini
    Pittsburgh -3
    Arizona +3.5
    LA Chargers Over 52.5

    Comment


    • #3
      The gold sheet key releases


      balt by 13 over clev

      rams by 18 over seattle

      houston by 14 over dallas

      Comment


      • #4
        DR BOB Green Bay Packers @
        Detroit Lions


        Sun, Oct 7 10:00 AM

        Rotation: 463, Odds: Detroit Lions +1, Total: 51

        Game Analysis view matchup stats

        Lean – Green Bay (-1) over DETROIT
        Green Bay’s offense has been pedestrian this season, ranking 19th with 5.5 yards per play and also 19th in our season-to-date predictive ratings. However, Aaron Rodgers’ knee looks to be improving as he scrambled 5 times for 31 yards last week and certainly looks more mobile in the pocket as well. I expect Rodgers to find success versus a mediocre Detroit pass defense coming off a game where they conceded 7.7 yards per pass play to the anemic Cowboys passing offense, and Rodgers should also get help from his running game. The Packers rush offense ranks 9th in our numbers and should find plenty of room against the Lions 28th-rated run defense.
        Detroit rookie running back Kerryon Johnson’s 53% success rate ranks 6th in the NFL, but I expect him to regress slightly this week as the Lions could be without Pro Bowl guard T.J. Lang and will have a tough time dealing with Packers’ defensive tackle Kenny Clark, whose 13.3% run stop rate ranks 4th this season after finishing 18th in 2017. Matt Stafford is averaging 7.0 yards per pass play the last 3 weeks after throwing 4 interceptions in week 1 when the Jets admitted they knew his hand signals, and I expect him to carry most of the offensive load. However, Green Bay’s 7th-rated pass defense won’t make it easy on Stafford and our model favors the Packers by 3.2 points.



        Comment


        • #5
          Oakland Raiders @
          Los Angeles Chargers


          Sun, Oct 7 1:05 PM

          Rotation: 467, Odds: Los Angeles Chargers -5, Total: 53.5

          Game Analysis view matchup stats

          Lean – Oakland (+5) over LA CHARGERS
          Lean – Under (53.5)
          The Chargers faced a 49ers team in a very good situation last week and managed to escape with a 2-point win as a 10-point favorite. However, that results sets up the Chargers in a very negative 59-128-7 ATS situation that plays against favorites coming off a win of 3 points or less and Oakland applies to a profitable week 5 situation that plays on 1-3 teams. Teams that are 1-3 are at a major crossroad in their season, as a loss to drop to 1-4 basically ends their season while a win to get back to within 1 game of .500 allows puts them right back into the hunt. The desperation and focus of these 1-3 teams is why playing on such teams has resulted in a healthy profit over the years. All 1-3 teams are 149-114-9 ATS since 1980 (121-86-5 ATS when not facing another 1-3 team) and that record goes to 83-41-6 ATS if their opponent is coming off a victory. If you avoid playing on teams that are outclassed (i.e. underdogs of 7 points or more) then the record is an even better 70-26-5 ATS, which applies to the Raiders in this game.
          While the situation is strongly in favor of the Raiders, the match-ups are not. Chargers’ DE Corey Liuget will make his season debut on Sunday after serving a 4-game suspension and he should help the Chargers improve their 5.7% sack rate (22nd) after finishing 12th among interior defensive linemen last season with a 10.7% pressure rate. The Chargers ranked 5th in sack rate in 2017, granted with Joey Bosa, and will look to get after a Raiders offensive line potentially without Pro Bowl tackle Donald Penn (questionable). The Los Angeles boost in pass rush combined with Derek Carr’s fast trigger, averaging 2.27 seconds to throw (quickest in the league), makes it unlikely Oakland’s offense will be able to exploit a Chargers defense conceding chunk plays at the 7th-highest rate in the NFL.
          On the other side of the ball, I expect the Chargers to pound the rock with their 8th-rated rushing attack facing an Oakland run defense ranked 29th. The Chargers are playing at the 7th-slowest pace in the league and the Raiders are 9th-slowest. Divisional games are about a point and a half lower scoring and the total was just 42 when these two teams met in week 17 last season. The underdog in this series is on a 15-3 ATS run since 2009 and there will be more Raiders fans in the stadium that Chargers fans. Our model favors the Chargers by 5.3 so there’s no value on the side, but I’m going to lean with the Raiders based on the situation and I’ll lean under the high totals in a game that will likely feature the running backs.


          Comment


          • #6
            gs @
            Philadelphia Eagles


            Sun, Oct 7 1:25 PM

            Rotation: 471, Odds: Philadelphia Eagles -3, Total: 45.5

            Game Analysis view matchup stats

            Lean – Over (45.5) – PHILADELPHIA (-3/-3.5) vs Minnesota
            The Vikings offensive line has been a disaster this season and now have an extremely difficult challenge against Philadelphia’s defensive front. Minnesota ranks 30th in pass blocking efficiency and it likely won’t improve against an Eagles team that led the NFL in pressures last season. Furthermore, the Vikings offense ranks last in rushing according to our numbers and they will likely struggle to find lanes versus Philadelphia’s 4th-ranked run defense. Minnesota’s offense grades just 20th through the first four games of the Kirk Cousins era and I expect the Eagles defense to expose them in the trenches on Sunday.
            Carson Wentz improved in his second start despite the loss to Tennessee last week and he looks like he’s nearly back to 100% health. The Eagles are targeting tight ends on 41% of their passes, by far the most in the league, and the jury is still out on whether that will be a good strategy versus a Vikings defense surrendering 9.8 yards per target to opposing tight ends (29th), but ranked first in the same category with the same personnel last year. Minnesota will likely be without Pro Bowl edge rusher Everson Griffin again, whose 13 sacks in 2017 tied for 4th-highest, and he’s worth nearly a point to the Vikings’ defense.
            The Eagles have had tough fumble luck as they are the only team to lose 5 fumbles and they’ve only recovered 1. Fumble differential typically regresses towards zero going forward and the Eagles are certainly better than their 2-2 record with Wentz back behind center. Our model has the Eagles favored by 5.4 in this game but I’m going to pass due to a very good 110-39-5 ATS road underdog bounce-back situation that applies to Minnesota in this game. I will lean with the over, however, as our model shows significant value on the over based on this year’s metrics (49.7 points projected). Normally, that sort of differential from the line would lead to a Best Bet but in this case, I believe that both defensive units should be better than they’ve been so far this season, which is why I just lean with the over.


            Comment


            • #7
              Sports Insights

              NFL Best Bets (23-12-2, +8.38)

              10/7 3:25 PM (471) MIN Over 45.5-120 Over/Under BetOnline
              10/7 3:25 PM (473) LAR Over 50-115 Over/Under CRIS
              10/7 12:00 PM (453) JAX 3-113 Spread Heritage
              10/7 12:00 PM (465) MIA 6-119 Spread CRIS

              Comment


              • #8
                Colin Cowherd NFL Blazin' 5 Week 5

                Jets -1...BEST BET
                Cards +5.5
                Raiders +5.5
                Vikings +3
                Redskins +6.5

                Comment


                • #9
                  Northcoast Newsletter Keys:

                  Power Plays:
                  4* Cincinnati
                  3.5* LA Rams
                  3* Philli
                  2* Carolina
                  1* NY Jets

                  Power Sweep:
                  4* Philli
                  3* Cincinnati
                  2* LA Rams

                  Totals:
                  Jax/KC over 3*
                  Tenn/Buff under 2*
                  Bal/Cle under 1*

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Marc Lawrence Top NFL Play from Pregame is 3 Star Steelers -3

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      thx,Moose,as always

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        There was a weather delay yesterday in the Syracuse/Pittsburgh game and the field got chewed up pretty badly in the second half. This is the same field that the Falcons/Steelers game will be played. I made a medium sized play (less than my usual 1-unit) on under 58 points. If the field slows down the speed that the players can run, it should go under that monster total.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Thanks tarb

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Miley L/Marquez under 9 -105

                            Comment

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