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2020 NFL P.O.W. Week #7 (October 22-26 ) Post Plays Here

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  • 2020 NFL P.O.W. Week #7 (October 22-26 ) Post Plays Here

    This is the thread for the 2020 VFV NFL P.O.W. contest. The following are the rules for this year (the same as in the past):

    1. All contestants must be a member in good standing with VFV Forums
    2. Players make one (1) single play ATS each week during the NFL regular season
    3. A correct play results in one (1) point being awarded. A "push" or tie, results in a half point (1/2) being awarded
    4. An Incorrect play results in zero (0) points being awarded
    5. All lines MUST be taken from the following website each week: http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/
    6. All lines must be -110 or less (must be posted on above site...no buying 1/2 point)
    7. Only Vegas Sports Books listed on the VI website will be allowed
    8. PLEASE SEE NOTE BELOW FOR ELIGIBLE BOOKS!
    9. The following selections are allowed: Full Game Side, Full Game Total, First Half Side, First Half Total (NO MONEYLINES ALLOWED)
    10. Plays MUST be submitted each week by kickoff of last scheduled game.
    11. Plays must be in the following format (or close to it):

    2019 NFL P.O.W. (0-0-0 (post your current record here))

    Atlanta Falcons +3 (Golden Nugget)
    (This is where you will post your reasoning for this selection. It doesn't have to be a book or even a full paragraph, but more than just "I think the Falcons are better.")

    12. Myself, Seahawk Rick (the artist formerly known as Cybergolf) or any other I deem so, will have final ruling on if a play is valid (ie: Wrong line, Wrong Book, Not enough reasoning given, etc)
    13. The first couple of weeks I will give the benefit of the doubt to any newcomers on here...veterans, you know the rules, LMEAO
    14. NO EDITING!!! (ironic, as this was edited by DaveTuley LMEAO)...you can't change your pick after you post it as this supposed to mirror the real world where you lock in your bet at the current number...if you need to clarify something in original post (typed in wrong team or line, or forget to cite sportsbooks, etc.), please quote in new post to bring it to the moderators attention
    15. For the first time, this year, Week 17 will be worth 2 points for a correct selection and 1 point for a push.
    16. To qualify for the playoff round of this competition, players must have a total of 10 points by the end of the regular season (week 17)...important note: your points will be the number of Units you start with in the playoff portion of the contest that runs through the Super Bowl and will be run by DaveTuley with locked-in spreads and totals, though Tuley often will give extra options if the market has variances such as Patriots -6.5 but also Steelers +7 being available); still debating maximum units allowed for playoff round (currently 5-unit max bet each playoff weekend).
    17. Since we are not doing the SuperContest Mirror Contest like past years and this is the OFFICIAL handicapping ViewFromVegas handicapping contest for the 2020 NFL season, DaveTuley is upgrading the grand prize to 2 nights hotel in Las Vegas (sorry, you have to get yourself here) and dinner for 2 with DaveTuley along with $100 gift card and a ViewFromVegas shirt (season must end with a Super Bowl champion for this to be awarded)...he's also giving a $100 gift card and a VFV shirt to the top point-earner in the regular season (minimum 10 weeks)...we've had VFV Forum members offer up additional prizes in the past including cash and steak knives, so please contact DaveTuley if you have anything to add).
    18. ****Thanks to Compass Rose for starting discussion on this one****18. Any selection made, and then for whatever reason, the game is officially postponed or canceled, a substitute P.O.W. may be posted at the then available lines. If no substitute play is made, the original play will be graded as 0 points.

    If you have any questions, feel free to ask and best of luck this season!

    ******GOING FORWARD, HERE ARE THE ONLY BOOKS ELIGIBLE TO USE FOR THIS CONTEST. ANY PLAYS POSTED NOT USING ONE OF THESE BOOKS WILL BE GRADED AS A LOSS. THIS WILL SERVE AS YOUR ONLY REMINDER FOR THIS NEW RULE!!!********

    WESTGATE
    BETMGM
    CIRCA
    WILLIAM HILL
    STATIONS
    GOLDEN NUGGET
    TREASURE ISLAND
    SOUTH POINT
    CAESARS
    WYNN

  • #2
    In Week 6 we went a combined 22-32-1 (.400) ATS
    *In Week 6, the Top 10 went 7-3 ATS
    Thru 6 weeks, we are now a combined 165-179-10 (.466) ATS

    ***Some have asked, so I'll start posting it here each week, how the top 10 did each week.***
    Name Win Loss Tie Total
    TEXAN 73 6 0 0 6
    ICE TEA 2 5 0 1 5.5
    2HOLLYWOOD2 5 1 0 5
    ASTROID M 5 1 0 5
    AZTEC10 5 1 0 5
    COACHV29 5 1 0 5
    MATTYSHARP 5 1 0 5
    TARB 5 1 0 5
    BRUINGUY 4 2 0 4
    BUCKY 4 2 0 4
    DURBIFY 4 2 0 4
    FREEJACK 4 1 0 4
    JIMMYJAM4508 4 2 0 4
    WOODEE 4 2 0 4
    JPFITZ 3 2 1 3.5
    AARON24 3 3 0 3
    AMAZING MOM 3 3 0 3
    ARCHIE 8 3 3 0 3
    BARNSTORM 3 3 0 3
    BLUEANDGOLD65 3 3 0 3
    BOURBONBOB 3 3 0 3
    BUCKEYEFAN80 3 3 0 3
    DUKOWSKI 3 3 0 3
    EAST COAST 3 3 0 3
    GCOTTON 3 3 0 3
    HEY RUBE! 3 3 0 3
    JPDAWG 3 3 0 3
    MR. PIXTER 3 3 0 3
    MRVOLO 3 3 0 3
    RACING CAT 3 3 0 3
    TAKETHEREDEYE 3 3 0 3
    TOSPEKE 3 3 0 3
    BIMMERCANDO 2 3 1 2.5
    DEANO 2 3 1 2.5
    JSCHANILEC 2 3 1 2.5
    MR. OUTSIDEVEGAS 2 3 1 2.5
    MUDSHARK 2 3 1 2.5
    CHAMOINLA 2 4 0 2
    COMPASS ROSE 2 4 0 2
    DAVE TULEY 2 2 0 2
    FLORABAMABOY 2 4 0 2
    JD MOOSE 1950 2 4 0 2
    MCGRATH 2 4 0 2
    NINERUTEFAN 2 4 0 2
    PHATMAN15 2 4 0 2
    SEAHAWK RICK 2 4 0 2
    STR8OUTTADURANGO 2 4 0 2
    STRMCHSR1 2 4 0 2
    XAVIER BOB 2 4 0 2
    YISMAN 2 4 0 2
    ZJABRONI 2 4 0 2
    510SPORTSNUT 1 4 1 1.5
    J.HERB 1 4 1 1.5
    ACE 1 3 0 1
    CDOG 1 3 0 1
    PETEGAL2 1 0 0 1
    ROCKMAN IN PA 1 5 0 1
    SEMAJ35 1 1 0 1
    TONYLOVE 1 5 0 1
    CASEINPOINT 0 5 1 0.5
    DMAC 0 4 0 0
    EIEIO 0 3 0 0
    LEGZ_AKIMBO 0 1 0 0
    SKYKAM1914 0 2 0 0

    Last edited by gcotton; 10-20-2020, 05:56 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      5-1

      Pittsburgh -1 ..... Westgate

      I got this line from my Westgate betting app. Pittsburgh just dismantled a good Cleveland team and Tennessee got by in overtime. Tennessee is an overrated undefeated team. Pittsburgh should be able to stop Tennessee's rushing attack which features Derrick Henry. When that happens Tennessee will have to depend on QB Tannehill. I have more faith in Big Ben and the Steeler defense.
      .

      Comment


      • #4
        4-1

        PHILLY -3.5 South Point

        Still can not believe my last pick....but we most move on and recover that lost money! I am grabbing the 3.5 here before its bet up to 4+. The Eagles have a lot of injuries and the loss of their back miles is the reason for the good price but lets not forget who they are playing, the Giants. This game will be tight for the first half as the eagles will have to work around injuries. I expect to see Wentz take control in the second half and put this away with a bit of running and short passes to open up the long ball. Philly wins 34-24

        Comment


        • #5
          NFL POW (5-1-0 YTD)

          Bucs -2.5 (South Point)

          Okay...I didn't get burned on the sucker bet of the week last week so I'm okay with another. I was on the Bucs against the Bears 2 weeks ago stayed away last week because I could not forgive them for losing that Bears game. But that was off a short week. Going into that game I had the Bucs as a top 5 team. The Raiders played their super bowl against the Chiefs (who look far more vulnerable that many thought they would) and I love fading teams who enter a bye week thinking highly of themselves. This Bucs team reminds me of the 2013 Broncos that started off shaky only to become a clear favorite by December. I'll take Tompa Bay to win by less than a field goal regardless of where the game is played.

          Comment


          • #6
            Week 6 standings are posted above. Good luck this week!

            Comment


            • #7
              NFL POW (3-)

              Cinn + 3. (Southport)

              Cinn. has beaten the Browns 8 of the last 12 and covered 10 of the last 12. Cinn. is a Gold Sheet Key Release. Cinn. 31 Clev. 24.

              Comment


              • #8
                NFL POW (2-4) Ouch!

                CAR/NO Over 51 (CIRCA)

                Struggling to hit a side this year, so I'm going to try a total play. Michael Thomas is back, Saints off a bye week and rested. ATS trends here galore, last 7 off a Saints bye week gone OVER, last 7 games against Panthers in New Orleans gone OVER. New Orleans defense nowhere near as good as Chicago's. Shoot Out in the Big Easy! 33-30 kinda game.



                Comment


                • #9
                  POW 2-4 (double ouch)

                  Cle/Cinc OVER 50.5 (South Point)

                  In past years, when I’d usually have a nice winning record at this point, I must confess I’d read the write ups of guys with equally good records only. If others do this as well, I don’t imagine many of you will linger here. But I have to give a reason, and for anyone still reading, here it is. A model I use evaluates a team’s defense by looking at the offenses it has faced in recent weeks and vice versa with the team’s offense. A weighted number is then given to each club’s offense and defense according to how good or bad it’s competition has been. In the Cleve/Cinc game, both defenses are downgraded based on recent competition and independent of that, both offenses are upgraded based on their recent foes. So this game sticks out as a high scoring affair. If this approach loses, I’ll go back to consulting with my 4 year old grandson.

                  Comment


                  • NinerUteFan
                    NinerUteFan commented
                    Editing a comment
                    Hey mcgrath, Congrats on your win this week. My Dad taught me that all the insights on this site are good reading. This insight of yours on this game illustrates this amply. Besides, as blueandgold65 said last week: "we are all stronger together". Good call! Good luck the rest of the season!

                • #10
                  2020 NFL P.O.W. (3-3-0 YTD)

                  LA Chargers -7.5 (TI)

                  Going with the home squad off of their BYE week. Herbert has been amazing since taking over for Taylor in Week 2. Watched all of "Hard Knocks" this summer and fell in love with this kid. He has a rocket for an arm and his accuracy is on point. The coaches just raved about the kid during camp and I knew it was just a matter of time before he took over. JAX is on about as long of a road trip as possible in this league, and coming off a total beatdown by the Lions at home in Week 6. Even though he is only 3 games into his career, I think Herbert is a better QB and has more talent to throw to, then Stafford from DET does. Look for the ball to be flying and LAC to get the easy home win.

                  Jacksonville Jaguars 14
                  Los Angeles Chargers 31

                  Best of luck to all this week and stay safe everyone!

                  Comment


                  • #11
                    NFL POW (2-4)YTD


                    Detroit + 2.5 MGM


                    Both Detroit and Atlanta returned to winning ways last weekend, and it looks like oddsmakers are overreacting to the Falcons’ 40-23 win over the Vikings. Yes, Atlanta looked a lot better in that resounding win, but after weeks of mediocrity and blown leads can this team really be trusted? The Lions recorded their second win of the season with a comfortable 34-16 victory over the Jaguars, and they are finally looking like the team everyone expected them to be. To be fair to Matt Patricia’s team, it has always looked better than its 2-3 record. D’Andre Swift dropped a game-winning catch in an opening defeat against Chicago, and the Lions held 14-point leads against both Green Bay and New Orleans. Now with Swift looking hotter in the backfield, the sky could be the limit for this Detroit offense and I expect them to flourish against Atlanta’s ailing defense. The Falcons have given up 8.9 yards per pass attempt and allowed 18 passing touchdowns this season–both the highest in the league. When you consider Detroit quarterback Matthew Stafford has the likes of Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones, and T.J. Hockenson at his disposal, it’s hard to see Atlanta putting up much of a fight. Take the Lions and the points with confidence.
                    GL.

                    Comment


                    • #12
                      4-2 YTD

                      OVER 44.5 Philly/Dallas (westgate)...I am banking on an active underdog/over anlgle here in the Giants who I think can hang right around. See both teams getting to at least 21 in somewhat of a shoot out as long as Philly picks up from last week's late surge.

                      Comment


                      • gcotton
                        gcotton commented
                        Editing a comment
                        Woodee....I believe you are using the PHI/NYG game since you reference the Giants in your post. Not the Dallas Cowboys.

                    • #13
                      POW 2-4

                      Car+7.5 (Westgate)

                      Going to put this in now with M. Thomas's status now in question, I think line will come down. I am not as high on NO as the market is. I beiieve Brees has lost a lot of arm strength and besides the Det game, he has not looked good to me. Carolina on the other hand is still undervalued IMO. They are a scrappy, well coached team that I believe is capable of winning this game outright.

                      Comment


                      • #14
                        3-3

                        buccaneers -3.5 (Wynn)

                        Whole starting o line out for raiders and bucs d just stopped rodgers. that’s pretty much it. GLA

                        Comment


                        • #15
                          P.O.W. 3 - 3
                          Philly -4.5 CIRCA

                          Good grief, hold my nose and play the game for the battle of the NFC East lead. Just can't fathom betting on the Giants so with the Birds losing more players but getting some back, why not take them. Despite their record, Eagles are capable of beating teams of lesser caliber than the ones they opened the season against. The almost comeback against the Ravens gave them some confidence albeit probably false confidence, but they are at least a TD better than the Jones led Gints. Putting the clothespin on now.

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