Here is the result of a query on the New England Patriots going back to 2001 (when Brady became a starter) which excludes the year 2008 when he was hurt most of the season
SU 227-70-0 (9.03, 76.4%)
ATS 172-116-9 (3.66 59.7%)
This to me shows that the betting line is not all that efficient since the average ATS margin is 3.66. Imagine playing against a 59.7% ATS percentage and expecting to win. You can imagine that there is some guy in Boston who got rich betting on the Patriots for the last 18 years and doesn't know a thing about football.
SU 227-70-0 (9.03, 76.4%)
ATS 172-116-9 (3.66 59.7%)
This to me shows that the betting line is not all that efficient since the average ATS margin is 3.66. Imagine playing against a 59.7% ATS percentage and expecting to win. You can imagine that there is some guy in Boston who got rich betting on the Patriots for the last 18 years and doesn't know a thing about football.
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