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2020 NFL P.O.W. Week #10 (November 12-16 ) Post Plays Here

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  • 2020 NFL P.O.W. Week #10 (November 12-16 ) Post Plays Here

    This is the thread for the 2020 VFV NFL P.O.W. contest. The following are the rules for this year (the same as in the past):

    1. All contestants must be a member in good standing with VFV Forums
    2. Players make one (1) single play ATS each week during the NFL regular season
    3. A correct play results in one (1) point being awarded. A "push" or tie, results in a half point (1/2) being awarded
    4. An Incorrect play results in zero (0) points being awarded
    5. All lines MUST be taken from the following website each week: http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/
    6. All lines must be -110 or less (must be posted on above site...no buying 1/2 point)
    7. Only Vegas Sports Books listed on the VI website will be allowed
    8. PLEASE SEE NOTE BELOW FOR ELIGIBLE BOOKS!
    9. The following selections are allowed: Full Game Side, Full Game Total, First Half Side, First Half Total (NO MONEYLINES ALLOWED)
    10. Plays MUST be submitted each week by kickoff of last scheduled game.
    11. Plays must be in the following format (or close to it):

    2019 NFL P.O.W. (0-0-0 (post your current record here))

    Atlanta Falcons +3 (Golden Nugget)
    (This is where you will post your reasoning for this selection. It doesn't have to be a book or even a full paragraph, but more than just "I think the Falcons are better.")

    12. Myself, Seahawk Rick (the artist formerly known as Cybergolf) or any other I deem so, will have final ruling on if a play is valid (ie: Wrong line, Wrong Book, Not enough reasoning given, etc)
    13. The first couple of weeks I will give the benefit of the doubt to any newcomers on here...veterans, you know the rules, LMEAO
    14. NO EDITING!!! (ironic, as this was edited by DaveTuley LMEAO)...you can't change your pick after you post it as this supposed to mirror the real world where you lock in your bet at the current number...if you need to clarify something in original post (typed in wrong team or line, or forget to cite sportsbooks, etc.), please quote in new post to bring it to the moderators attention
    15. For the first time, this year, Week 17 will be worth 2 points for a correct selection and 1 point for a push.
    16. To qualify for the playoff round of this competition, players must have a total of 10 points by the end of the regular season (week 17)...important note: your points will be the number of Units you start with in the playoff portion of the contest that runs through the Super Bowl and will be run by DaveTuley with locked-in spreads and totals, though Tuley often will give extra options if the market has variances such as Patriots -6.5 but also Steelers +7 being available); still debating maximum units allowed for playoff round (currently 5-unit max bet each playoff weekend).
    17. Since we are not doing the SuperContest Mirror Contest like past years and this is the OFFICIAL handicapping ViewFromVegas handicapping contest for the 2020 NFL season, DaveTuley is upgrading the grand prize to 2 nights hotel in Las Vegas (sorry, you have to get yourself here) and dinner for 2 with DaveTuley along with $100 gift card and a ViewFromVegas shirt (season must end with a Super Bowl champion for this to be awarded)...he's also giving a $100 gift card and a VFV shirt to the top point-earner in the regular season (minimum 10 weeks)...we've had VFV Forum members offer up additional prizes in the past including cash and steak knives, so please contact DaveTuley if you have anything to add).
    18. ****Thanks to Compass Rose for starting discussion on this one****18. Any selection made, and then for whatever reason, the game is officially postponed or canceled, a substitute P.O.W. may be posted at the then available lines. If no substitute play is made, the original play will be graded as 0 points.

    If you have any questions, feel free to ask and best of luck this season!

    ******GOING FORWARD, HERE ARE THE ONLY BOOKS ELIGIBLE TO USE FOR THIS CONTEST. ANY PLAYS POSTED NOT USING ONE OF THESE BOOKS WILL BE GRADED AS A LOSS. THIS WILL SERVE AS YOUR ONLY REMINDER FOR THIS NEW RULE!!!********

    WESTGATE
    BETMGM
    CIRCA
    WILLIAM HILL
    STATIONS
    GOLDEN NUGGET
    TREASURE ISLAND
    SOUTH POINT
    CAESARS
    WYNN

    ONLY ENTRIES WITH AT LEAST 1 POINT ARE ELIGIBLE TO CONTINUE IN THIS YEARS CONTEST.

  • #2
    In Week 9 we went a combined 26-23-1 (.520) ATS

    Thru 9 weeks, we are now a combined 245-248-14 (.483) ATS
    Name Win Loss Tie Total
    TARB 8 1 0 8
    ICE TEA 2 7 1 1 7.5
    ASTROID M 7 2 0 7
    COACHV29 7 2 0 7
    JIMMYJAM4508 7 2 0 7
    TEXAN 73 7 2 0 7
    2HOLLYWOOD2 6 3 0 6
    AZTEC10 6 3 0 6
    HEY RUBE! 6 3 0 6
    MATTYSHARP 6 3 0 6
    RACING CAT 6 3 0 6
    WOODEE 6 3 0 6
    DEANO 5 3 1 5.5
    MRVOLO 5 3 1 5.5
    BARNSTORM 5 4 0 5
    BRUINGUY 5 4 0 5
    BUCKY 5 3 0 5
    DUKOWSKI 5 4 0 5
    EAST COAST 5 4 0 5
    FREEJACK 5 3 0 5
    JD MOOSE 1950 5 4 0 5
    STR8OUTTADURANGO 5 4 0 5
    TAKETHEREDEYE 5 4 0 5
    AARON24 4 4 1 4.5
    BIMMERCANDO 4 4 1 4.5
    JSCHANILEC 4 4 1 4.5
    MUDSHARK 4 4 1 4.5
    AMAZING MOM 4 5 0 4
    ARCHIE 8 4 5 0 4
    BLUEANDGOLD65 4 5 0 4
    BUCKEYEFAN80 4 5 0 4
    CHAMOINLA 4 5 0 4
    COMPASS ROSE 4 5 0 4
    DURBIFY 4 5 0 4
    GCOTTON 4 5 0 4
    JPDAWG 4 5 0 4
    NINERUTEFAN 4 5 0 4
    SEAHAWK RICK 4 5 0 4
    TOSPEKE 4 5 0 4
    XAVIER BOB 4 5 0 4
    YISMAN 4 5 0 4
    FLORABAMABOY 3 5 1 3.5
    J.HERB 3 4 1 3.5
    JPFITZ 3 3 1 3.5
    MCGRATH 3 5 1 3.5
    BOURBONBOB 3 3 0 3
    MR. PIXTER 3 6 0 3
    ROCKMAN IN PA 3 6 0 3
    STRMCHSR1 3 6 0 3
    ZJABRONI 3 6 0 3
    MR. OUTSIDEVEGAS 2 6 1 2.5
    DAVE TULEY 2 3 0 2
    PHATMAN15 2 7 0 2
    Last edited by gcotton; 11-11-2020, 06:30 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      Please make sure you are posting your plays in the proper threads. I will be starting the new threads earlier on Sunday for the next couple of weeks as I am on vacation.....and about to ride out Hurricane Eta here on Fort Myers Beach....pray that the 7-11 has enough beer....

      Comment


      • Seahawk Rick
        Seahawk Rick commented
        Editing a comment
        Just buy a keg...They float when empty in case the water gets high!

    • #4
      8-1

      Vikings -2.5 ..... Westgate

      I will ride with the Vikings again this week. Today, Minnesota just dominated Detroit. Dalvin Cook had consecutive games rushing for more than 200 yards. Today, 22 carries for 206 yards. Cousins passed very well today, too. The Bears had trouble moving the ball versus Tennessee. Minnesota is a more talented team than the Bears, despite having a worse record. Minnesota is now on a playoff drive and I expect it to continue. Last week I could have put this play in for +2.5 on the look ahead lines.

      Comment


      • #5
        NFL P.O.W. (4-4-0)

        Minnesota PK (Treasure Island)

        Minnesota has better net rushing, offensive rushing-defensive rushing, than Chicago, who ranks 8th worst in the league in net rushing yards, due mostly to their season long 2nd worst rushing yards per games which has declined even more over the past three games. Chicago has 5th best defensive DVOA rating, but 5th worst offensive DVOA rating as well. Minnesota more balanced DVOA on both sides of the ball. Line at +1 is good too....just changed to PK. Good luck everybody!

        Comment


        • #6
          NFL P.O.W. 2020 (4-5-0, YTD)

          MINNESOTA PICK (TREASURE ISLAND)

          Snapping up this line after posting a win last week, hoping to get to .500. Minnesota has played the 2nd most difficult schedule according to fpi and DVOA. Minnesota #3 rushing attack versus Chicago 11th ranked rushing defense. In fact, Minnesota's defense is far superior in relation to Chicago's bottom 5 offense. On the flip side, Minnesota's running game should continue to surge past the weakest aspect of Chicago's defense. Minnesota wins 24-17, perhaps by a larger margin. Recent trends against Chicago in November, but favorable over past 10 head to head matchups. Chicago 7-13 ATS in last 20 games, and 2-4 SU last 6 games. Minnesota 5-1 ATS last 6 games, and 5-2 ATS last 7 games on the road. GLTA!

          Comment


          • #7
            NFL P.O.W. 2020 (4-4-1)


            Should not be permitted and repriced at -2 1/2 for all.

            Minni - Pick - fishing off of Treasure Island

            11/08 8:13pm MINPK -110


            Good Luck in the storm there GCtn!

            Comment


            • #8
              2020 NFL P.O.W. (4-5-0)

              Rams Pick (Treasure Island, if allowed)

              Seattle 0-5 ATS after 4-0 start. Calls for coaching change are totally unwarranted. Seattle coach is one of the exceptional ones. But Rams coach is no slouch either. Rams have benefit of playing better at home, and having many fewer injuries than Seattle. That, and Rams defense and most of the trends including head to head matchups favor Rams. As banged up as Seattle is right now I see this as another Los Angeles victory, without having to offer up points.

              Comment


              • #9
                I think that Vegas insider has made mistakes on those two pick-em lines and Treasure Island has not actually posted lines on those games.

                Comment


                • #10
                  NFL POW 7-2 [7 pts.]

                  Over 51 Las Vegas/Denver [William Hill]

                  Both QB's are playing at a high level. Lock is making plays with his arm and legs. Carr is quietly having a very efficient year under the guide of the Offensive guru Gruden. Both Defenses are below average, especially the DB's from both squads. Raiders have only played in one game so far where the point total has been below 51. I see this one getting near 60.

                  Gl to all

                  Comment


                  • #11
                    Hi everyone. Uploaded these from VegasInsider.com. Looks like they were legit lines according to the line movement pages. Good luck to all this week!
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                    Comment


                    • IceTea 2
                      IceTea 2 commented
                      Editing a comment
                      I have found that when the odds/line is in Red, it's not a current line.
                      This happened to me a few weeks ago on a Total ( which cost me a win and wind up a Push )
                      50.5 was in Red, and the other Books had 51

                      maybe we can get someone to investigate this, as I see it happen every week

                    • Strmchsr1
                      Strmchsr1 commented
                      Editing a comment
                      Hi IceTea 2! I looked at a lot of line movement charts, and it seems whenever there is a change to any aspect of the line, then the revision is posted in red. It seems the same across every sportsbook and game that I saw, when looking at line movements. Of course, GCotton final judge. Good luck on your pick this week!

                  • #12
                    POW 5-3

                    Minn -2.5 William Hill

                    Missed the early line but that is ok. Minnesota is going to win by at least a field goal. I like how Minne has recommitted to the run and not asking Cousins to do more then he can do. I will lay the points, Minn 28-24



                    Comment


                    • #13
                      POW 5-4 BETMGM

                      COLTS +2


                      HUGE THURS NIGHT DIV GAME...WINNER WILL BE NEW LEADER IN AFC SOUTH

                      The Colts are effective at protecting quarterback Philip Rivers. In fact, Indianapolis has allowed the fewest sacks (eight) in the NFL this season, and Rivers leads the league in avoiding sacks on a per-snap basis, with opponents bringing him down on only 2.49 percent of drop-backs in 2020.

                      Comment


                      • #14
                        2020 NFL P.O.W. (4-4-1)

                        MIN-CHI - Under 44 1/2 points

                        4 out of their last 5 meetings at Soldier Field have gone under this number. They did combine for 45 points back in 2018. Dalvin Cook has traditionally been corralled by the Bears D and I don't see Kirk Cousins lighting it up on a cold, breezy Monday night on the road, on grass. Plus, the Vikings D is improving and getting somewhat healthier, so I see a lot punting and not a lot of TDs. Soldier Field has been a house of horrors for us Vikings fans, and I think our losing streak stops at 2. 20-12 Bears.

                        Comment


                        • #15
                          NFL P.O.W. 2020 (4-5-0, YTD)

                          Vikings-2.5 William Hill

                          I take the Vikings for less of a field goal. This all comes down who’s not and who’s not. The Bears most certainly are not. Credit to them for fighting back and making things respectable in a 24-17 loss in Week 9, but they didn’t score until late in the game and were entirely outclassed. Certainly, the Bears’ woes can be partly attributed to an injury-ravaged roster, but this has been a bad team for the better part of a month.
                          As for the Vikings, they’re suddenly hot. They’ve ripped off two impressive division wins and suddenly have a chance to work their way back into the wild card picture if they pick up a critical road victory this weekend. If Dalvin Cook can produce anything close to the 184.5 rushing yards per game that he’s averaged over the last two weeks, they should cover.
                          GL.

                          Comment

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