POW Bucs + 3.5 for 5 Points
Also, Much Thanks to Dave and Gcotton for all their efforts hosting this competetion!!!!!
I have posted my plays in VFV the past several years........
2021 Superbowl Prediction & Analysis
Kansas City VS. Tampa Bay Line KC -3.5 and 56
We all know the Storylines of this great matchup so I will get right into it. Last Year, Kansas City came roaring back from large deficits in all its playoff games and were down 17-10 in the 4th quarter of last years big dance when they suddenly outscored SF 21-0 in the last quarter to win the game cover the spread and end my Superbowl Streak at 8 straight! This year KC was only down 9-0 in the Championship game before coming back and dominating da Bills and actually had the lead against Cleveland and needed its defense to win that game when Superstar Mahomes was knocked out of 2nd half with Concussion. Meanwhile the GOAT has his new team in high gear since the bye week going 7-0 , winning 3 straight Road playoff games including knocking off Drew Brees & Aaron Rodgers.
What a way to Kickoff 2021 with this great matchup!!!! LETS GET IT ON!
Let me start by saying no one and myself included can feel that confident picking against Patrick Mahomes. This kid is just unbelievable and maybe one day he will surpass Mr. Brady. Mahomes is 27-1 in his last 28 starts. However is record against the spread is not as strong as that in fact they finished this year just 1-8 against the spread! I am going to take a chance with Tampa Bay here. For starters the last 3 teams to win 3 road playoff games all went on to WIN the Superbowl. Tampa Bay is also the first ever HOME DOG in a Superbowl and Underdogs have been 9-4 in the last 13 SB Games. Tampa won its only Superbowl as 3.5 point Underdogs against an AFC West Opponent, and finally the last 3 Superbowls played in Tampa Bay were won by NFC teams So lots of history on their side including No AFC team has ever Swept any NFC team ever, They are 0-4 in the leagues history.
As for the game Matchup, The GOAT quoted this after week 12 Loss to KC. "We battled back but we left ourselves a big deficit, When you play a good offense we've got to do our job offensively and keep them off the field."
Brady & the Bucs know they need to control some clock to keep this game in check and I think they can do it. KC had the 31st ranked run defense in the league this year, However they have played Much Better in the 2 playoff games. I think KC was just going through the motions of the long season and Spags has the D playing well but if Tampa can exploit their once soft run game that will be a huge plus. If they cant then you have to rely on the GOAT which is not a bad alternative. The Bottom line for me is Tampa avenged their 2 regular season losses to Saints went into the Superdome and beat them and I believe they will also avenge the week 12 loss to KC here.
My Play will be on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + 3.5 $1100 to win $1000
Prop Plays:
Over 56- I think it will take 30 points to beat Mahomes
Parlay- Money Line TB + 150 and Over 56 Risk $250 to win $943
Ronald Jones- Bucs best kept secret here- Take over 36 Yards for +110 and Take YES for will he score a Touchdown + 200
Also, Much Thanks to Dave and Gcotton for all their efforts hosting this competetion!!!!!
I have posted my plays in VFV the past several years........
2021 Superbowl Prediction & Analysis
Kansas City VS. Tampa Bay Line KC -3.5 and 56
We all know the Storylines of this great matchup so I will get right into it. Last Year, Kansas City came roaring back from large deficits in all its playoff games and were down 17-10 in the 4th quarter of last years big dance when they suddenly outscored SF 21-0 in the last quarter to win the game cover the spread and end my Superbowl Streak at 8 straight! This year KC was only down 9-0 in the Championship game before coming back and dominating da Bills and actually had the lead against Cleveland and needed its defense to win that game when Superstar Mahomes was knocked out of 2nd half with Concussion. Meanwhile the GOAT has his new team in high gear since the bye week going 7-0 , winning 3 straight Road playoff games including knocking off Drew Brees & Aaron Rodgers.
What a way to Kickoff 2021 with this great matchup!!!! LETS GET IT ON!
Let me start by saying no one and myself included can feel that confident picking against Patrick Mahomes. This kid is just unbelievable and maybe one day he will surpass Mr. Brady. Mahomes is 27-1 in his last 28 starts. However is record against the spread is not as strong as that in fact they finished this year just 1-8 against the spread! I am going to take a chance with Tampa Bay here. For starters the last 3 teams to win 3 road playoff games all went on to WIN the Superbowl. Tampa Bay is also the first ever HOME DOG in a Superbowl and Underdogs have been 9-4 in the last 13 SB Games. Tampa won its only Superbowl as 3.5 point Underdogs against an AFC West Opponent, and finally the last 3 Superbowls played in Tampa Bay were won by NFC teams So lots of history on their side including No AFC team has ever Swept any NFC team ever, They are 0-4 in the leagues history.
As for the game Matchup, The GOAT quoted this after week 12 Loss to KC. "We battled back but we left ourselves a big deficit, When you play a good offense we've got to do our job offensively and keep them off the field."
Brady & the Bucs know they need to control some clock to keep this game in check and I think they can do it. KC had the 31st ranked run defense in the league this year, However they have played Much Better in the 2 playoff games. I think KC was just going through the motions of the long season and Spags has the D playing well but if Tampa can exploit their once soft run game that will be a huge plus. If they cant then you have to rely on the GOAT which is not a bad alternative. The Bottom line for me is Tampa avenged their 2 regular season losses to Saints went into the Superdome and beat them and I believe they will also avenge the week 12 loss to KC here.
My Play will be on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + 3.5 $1100 to win $1000
Prop Plays:
Over 56- I think it will take 30 points to beat Mahomes
Parlay- Money Line TB + 150 and Over 56 Risk $250 to win $943
Ronald Jones- Bucs best kept secret here- Take over 36 Yards for +110 and Take YES for will he score a Touchdown + 200
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