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2021 NFL P.O.W. Week 3 (Sept 23-27) Post Plays Here

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  • 2021 NFL P.O.W. Week 3 (Sept 23-27) Post Plays Here

    This is the thread for the 2021 VFV NFL P.O.W. contest. The following are the rules for this year:
    1. All contestants must be a member in good standing with VFV Forums

    2. Players make one (1) single play ATS each week during the NFL regular season

    3. A correct play results in one (1) point being awarded. A "push" or tie, results in a half point (1/2) being awarded

    4. An Incorrect play results in zero (0) points being awarded

    5. All lines MUST be taken from the following website each week: http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/

    6. All lines must be -110 or less (must be posted on above site...no buying 1/2 point)

    7. Only Vegas Sports Books listed on the VI website will be allowed

    8. PLEASE SEE NOTE BELOW FOR ELIGIBLE BOOKS!

    9. The following selections are allowed: Full Game Side, Full Game Total, First Half Side, First Half Total (NO MONEYLINES ALLOWED)

    10. Plays MUST be submitted each week by kickoff of last scheduled game.

    11. Plays must be in the following format (or close to it):

    2019 NFL P.O.W. (0-0-0 (post your current record here))

    Atlanta Falcons +3 (Golden Nugget)
    (This is where you will post your reasoning for this selection. It doesn't have to be a book or even a full paragraph, but more than just "I think the Falcons are better.")

    12. Myself, Seahawk Rick (the artist formerly known as Cybergolf) or any other I deem so, will have final ruling on if a play is valid (ie: Wrong line, Wrong Book, Not enough reasoning given, etc)

    13. The first couple of weeks I will give the benefit of the doubt to any newcomers on here...veterans, you know the rules, LMEAO

    14. NO EDITING!!! (ironic, as this was edited by DaveTuley LMEAO)...you can't change your pick after you post it as this supposed to mirror the real world where you lock in your bet at the current number...if you need to clarify something in original post (typed in wrong team or line, or forget to cite sportsbooks, etc.), please quote in new post to bring it to the moderators attention

    15. Week 18 will be worth 2 points for a correct selection and 1 point for a push.

    16. To qualify for the playoff round of this competition, players must have a total of 10 points by the end of the regular season (week 18).

    If you have any questions, feel free to ask and best of luck this season!

    ******GOING FORWARD, HERE ARE THE ONLY BOOKS ELIGIBLE TO USE FOR THIS CONTEST. ANY PLAYS POSTED NOT USING ONE OF THESE BOOKS WILL BE GRADED AS A LOSS. THIS WILL SERVE AS YOUR ONLY REMINDER FOR THIS RULE!!!********

    WESTGATE
    BETMGM
    CIRCA
    WILLIAM HILL
    STATIONS
    GOLDEN NUGGET
    TREASURE ISLAND
    SOUTH POINT
    CAESARS
    WYNN

  • #2
    In Week 2 we went a combined 24-33-0 (.421) ATS
    Thru 2 weeks, we are now a combined 58-57-2 (.496) ATS

    Name Win Loss Tie Total
    BARNSTORM 2 0 0 2
    BARRYT 2 0 0 2
    BIMMERCANDO 2 0 0 2
    BUCKY 2 0 0 2
    COMPASS ROSE 2 0 0 2
    FREE JACK 2 0 0 2
    GENZO 2 0 0 2
    JIMMYJAM4508 2 0 0 2
    JPDAWG 2 0 0 2
    JSCHANILEC 2 0 0 2
    MRVOLO 2 0 0 2
    MTHELLER 2 0 0 2
    PHATMAN 15 2 0 0 2
    SKYKAM1914 2 0 0 2
    TAKETHEREDEYE 2 0 0 2
    TARB 2 0 0 2
    TEXAN 73 2 0 0 2
    FLORABAMABOY 1 0 1 1.5
    2HOLLYWOOD2 1 1 0 1
    ARCHIE8 1 1 0 1
    AZTEC10 1 1 0 1
    BRUINGUY 1 1 0 1
    BUCKEYEFAN80 1 1 0 1
    CASEINPOINT 1 1 0 1
    DEANO 1 1 0 1
    DUKOWSKI 1 1 0 1
    HEYRUBE! 1 1 0 1
    ICE TEA 2 1 1 0 1
    J. HERB 1 1 0 1
    MCGRATH 1 1 0 1
    MR. PIXTER 1 1 0 1
    MUD SHARK 1 1 0 1
    PITTSBURGH 1 1 0 1
    RACING CAT 1 1 0 1
    RAY 1 1 0 1
    ROCKMAN IN PA 1 1 0 1
    SEAHAWK RICK 1 1 0 1
    STEVIEV 1 1 0 1
    STRIKETHEGOLD 1 1 0 1
    TONYLOVE 1 1 0 1
    WINKYDUCK 1 1 0 1
    GCOTTON 0 1 1 0.5
    ASTEROID M 0 2 0 0
    BEALER99 0 1 0 0
    CHAMOINLA 0 2 0 0
    COACHV29 0 2 0 0
    DAVEY SHINES 0 2 0 0
    DURBIFY 0 2 0 0
    EAST COAST 0 2 0 0
    LIVEDOGGY 0 1 0 0
    MR. OUTSIDEVEGAS 0 2 0 0
    SENATOR L 0 2 0 0
    SKULLF 0 2 0 0
    STRMCHSR 0 1 0 0
    TOSPEAK 0 2 0 0
    WJCJR 0 2 0 0
    WOODEE12 0 2 0 0
    XAVIER ROB 0 2 0 0
    YISMAN 0 2 0 0
    ZJABRONI 0 2 0 0
    Last edited by gcotton; 09-22-2021, 02:29 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      2-0

      Tennessee -3.5 ..... Westgate

      Indianapolis is 0-2 and about to star t the season 0-3. Tennessee pulled out a gutty overtime win yesterday. Tennessee is the best team in this division and will step up here at home versus a division opponent. I think that Tannehill is much better than Wentz at the critical quarterback position.

      Comment


      • barnstorm
        barnstorm commented
        Editing a comment
        Yeah, Seahawk Rick, just not posting the P.O.W. thread until after the Monday night game would help. No contest on the planet posts their lines on Sunday night. The problem is that lines will move on Sunday night and early Monday morning with the Sharp plays on the early numbers and the VegasInsider odds site doesn't always update all the Books' lines fast enough. So on Sunday night or Monday, there is always going to be a line that is 1.5 to 2 points off the actual numbers available. It's not that the old, bad line is actually available at that book. It's just a VegasInsider glitch. It's like a typo. Why allow that? Last year, in the middle of the season, we eliminated a number of books to choose from for a similar reason, so why not just wait until after the Monday night game to post the thread?

      • TARB
        TARB commented
        Editing a comment
        SPORTSMEMO.COM is more up to date than VEGASINSIDER. That is why I get my lines at that site.

      • barnstorm
        barnstorm commented
        Editing a comment
        If Sportsmemo.com was showing Westgate with Tennessee -3.5 at the time you posted, it was the same erroneous, out of date line that VegasInsider had. Westgate had it off the board at the time you posted and until late Monday or early Tuesday. I got that info from Jay Kornegay, the director of the Westgate Superbook, himself.

    • #4
      2021 NFL P.O.W. (2-0-0 2-points)

      Buffalo -9-1/2 (BETMGM)

      Grabbing this line before it gets to double digits. Buffalo fixed their week 1 mistakes and blew out a decent Dolphin team on the road. Coming home and getting a scrimmage game against the no names is the reward. Buffalo keeps rolling and their offense will keep scoring. Buffalo in a blowout......again.

      Comment


      • #5
        1-1
        Rams PK Circa
        Can’t blame the Bucs for the tremendous start that they’ve had, but the only way you beat a Brady led team is to get your hands on Brady. Rams have the defense capable of not only roughing up Brady, but forcing him to check down early and limiting the big plays. It won’t be easy, but look for a small upset here.

        Comment


        • #6
          NFL POW 0-2

          Tennessee-4.5 (Circa)

          Missed some value already, but with the QB situation in flux for Indy with Wentz spraining both ankles and the inexperienced Eason as the backup this should spell lots of trouble for the visitors. Tennessee got their Offensive mojo back yesterday and they will want to atone for the home opener that they lost badly to Arizona. This should be a double digit win for the Titans.

          GL to all

          Comment


          • #7
            2021 NFL P.O.W. (1-1-0)

            TENN -5 (CIRCA)


            It's a QB world, and Wentz probably won't be living in it with his bum ankles this Sunday vs a verrrry good TENN team. I was at the Seahawk game and they toyed the Seachickens in the 2nd have and Derek Henry is just a monster. Tanahill is doing a good job and even though their D isn't the greatest, going against Eason most likely at QB will make them look good! He was here at UW for a year and he stares down every WR he throws to and now that there is some video of him, TENN will exploit his weaknesses and lead him into at least two picks. One will be a pick-6 and TENN goes to 3-0 wining by 10+.
            Last edited by Seahawk Rick; 09-20-2021, 08:26 PM. Reason: I added three words to my take...Sue me!

            Comment


            • Seahawk Rick
              Seahawk Rick commented
              Editing a comment
              Yes, TENN is 1-1,not 2-0.. Duh!

          • #8
            Originally posted by Seahawk Rick View Post
            2021 NFL P.O.W. (1-1-0)

            TENN -5 (CIRCA)


            It's a QB world, and Wentz probably won't be living in it with his bum ankles this Sunday vs a verrrry good TENN team. I was at the Seahawk game and they toyed the Seachickens in the 2nd have and Derek Henry is just a monster. Tanahill is doing a good job and even though their D isn't the greatest, going against Eason most likely at QB will make them look good! He was here at UW for a year and he stares down every WR he throws to and now that there is some video of him, TENN will exploit his weaknesses and lead him into at least two picks. One will be a pick-6 and TENN goes to 3-0 wining by 10+.
            WE'LL ALLOW IT AS LONG AS THE THREE WORDS WEREN'T "TENN -5 Circa" LMEAO!!!

            Comment


            • Seahawk Rick
              Seahawk Rick commented
              Editing a comment
              I won't edit those three until later in the week! 😁

          • #9
            NFL P.O.W 1-1-0

            INDY/TENN OVER 48 (BET MGM )

            So far Tenn defense allowing 34 points a game Indy's 27.5 . When Tennessee is favored between 4 and 9 points the over is 8-2,

            Don't think defense rules in this division game im taking the over

            Comment


            • #10
              NFL POW (1-1-0)

              Bengals +4.5 (Treasure Island)

              A significantly improved Bengals defense vs an injured and old QB, big Ben. Pittsburgh defense in worse shape, with Bush, Haden & monster contract signer JJ Watt all nursing groin injuries. One thing about groin injuries, they tend to linger and get worse if you don't rest them completely. The first two guys might not play, but I expect Watt to give it a go. Defensive end Tyson Aluala broke his ankle in the Raiders game and also out.

              Bengals in much better shape injury wise, and an uncharacteristic 3 interception performance by Bengals sophomore QB Burrow against a very good Chicago defense....and the Bengals still should have won the game. Bengals want some payback for how they have been manhandled the last few years by the Steelers, and this is a good spot for the road dog to bark. I will take the points, but look for an outright upset here.

              Comment


              • #11
                POW 2-0
                Carolina- 7.5 MGM
                unlike TARB, I have a life so I couldn’t sit on the VI site and get the opener here of -4.5. However this is TNF vs a Rookie coach, and rookie, 2nd string QB for Houston( No it’s not Watson) . Carolina is in fine spirits with a win over division rival NO, so I can’t see them looking ahead here as upcoming they have 3/4 against NFC EAST.. CAR BY 14+
                "A missed FG is a turnover " Michael Lombardi
                “The bigger the edge, the fewer the bets we need to verify our strategy.” Jim Makos

                Comment


                • #12
                  POW 2-0

                  JETS UNDER 41.5 ( Stations and MGM )


                  Hey "if it ain't broke....."
                  Eventually the books will wave the white flag.



                  Comment


                  • #13
                    NFL POW (1-1-0)
                    Dallas -4 Circa
                    Not sure why Fly Eagles Fly could not do so.(not my pick last week, just observance)
                    Was under the impression that when Detroit came back against the 49ers they way they did and the 49ers on the road for the second week they could not wait to get back home.
                    Oh well.
                    This MNF game had some interesting bad trends for both teams.
                    And I do mean bad according to Covers.com
                    Philadelphia:
                    0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3.
                    1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.
                    2-10 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
                    Dallas:
                    Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
                    Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
                    Reading those trends reminded me of a one hit wonder artist named Loudon Wainwright III
                    He had a one hit wonder in 1972 called Dead Skunk that was written in 15 minutes.
                    The chorus is as follows:
                    You got your dead skunk in the middle of the road
                    Dead skunk in the middle of the road
                    Dead skunk in the middle of the road
                    Stinking to high heaven
                    After seeing the trends I said how the heck can I pick this game for the contest.
                    Easy.
                    Digging deeper I found that in the last 5 home games, whoever the home team is, they have covered.
                    Could I have not included a lot of this detail?
                    Sure!
                    But now it is going to make you want to hear this folk song and expand your horizons.
                    And include in dinner conversation.
                    Good luck to all this week.


                    Comment


                    • Barryt
                      Barryt commented
                      Editing a comment
                      Very funny! But just in case your stuck in 1972, the Cowboys covered their last 2 games which were, I believe in Sept 2021.

                    • Archie8
                      Archie8 commented
                      Editing a comment
                      Thanks. Anytime I pick a game I try to put some humor into it. If the pick does not work, oh well. There might be a week that I cannot do a writeup due to writers block. That does occur even to the best of us.

                    • rockman in pa
                      rockman in pa commented
                      Editing a comment
                      Also brought back memories of dancing around empty liquor bottles (dead skunks) in the middle of the floor.
                      I did have the pleasure of seeing him in concert here in PA. Put on a great show!
                      Also don't forget his 3 episodes on MASH as Capt. Calvin Spaulding. (the singing surgeon).

                  • #14
                    Pow 1-1
                    San Fran -3 1/2 South Point
                    Niners stifled the Eagles last week on the road and now take on the Packers at home in a prime time Sunday night match up. Defense wins championships and the Niners definitely have the better D of both teams. Look for Rodgers to get roughed up in a low scoring defensive battle.

                    Comment


                    • #15
                      NFL P.O.W. (2-0)
                      ARIZ/JAX Under 52 1/2 (Circa)

                      I'm thinking Jax scores like 7 And AZ takes foot off peddle after scoring like 31 saving it all up for Rams the next week--

                      Comment

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