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TARB's NFL Division Winners

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  • #16
    Here are my thoughts Tarb. Great job pounding opening line value.

    NFC East ...... Philadelphia
    NFC South ... Tampa Bay
    NFC North .... Green Bay
    NFC West ..... L A Rams
    AFC East ...... Buffalo
    AFC South .... Indianapolis (Matty Ice great Add)
    AFC North ..... Baltimore
    AFC West ...…Vegas

    I need to see some Rodgers regression before I go against GB. Time for KC regression and think Vegas found some Mojo to end season and continues. AFC West My least confident division for sure. I think your predictions are spot on for other divisions. Good luck Tarb!

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    • #17
      Originally posted by Durbify View Post
      Here are my thoughts Tarb. Great job pounding opening line value.

      NFC East ...... Philadelphia
      NFC South ... Tampa Bay
      NFC North .... Green Bay
      NFC West ..... L A Rams
      AFC East ...... Buffalo
      AFC South .... Indianapolis (Matty Ice great Add)
      AFC North ..... Baltimore
      AFC West ...…Vegas

      I need to see some Rodgers regression before I go against GB. Time for KC regression and think Vegas found some Mojo to end season and continues. AFC West My least confident division for sure. I think your predictions are spot on for other divisions. Good luck Tarb!

      Thanks, both for good wishes and for your response.

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      • #18
        Schedule advantages:

        Baltimore: at Jacksonville, vs Denver, at NY Giants ..... big advantage Baltimore, if Baltimore and Cincinnati split their games vs each other.
        Cincinnati: at Tennessee, vs Kansas City, at Dallas
        discounting Cleveland with its QB problems and Pittsburgh

        Philadelphia: vs New Orleans, at Arizona, vs Pittsburgh ..... big advantage Philadelphia, if they split.
        Dallas: vs Tampa Bay, at LA Rams, vs Cincinnati
        discounting NY Giants and Washington

        Minnesota: at New Orleans,vs Arizona, vs Indianapolis ..... advantage Minnesota, if they split.
        Packers: at Tampa Bay, vs LA Rams, vs Tennessee
        discounting Lions and Bears
        Last edited by TARB; 06-26-2022, 09:06 AM.

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        • #19
          NFL strength of schedule from number 1 (easiest) to number 32 (hardest)

          number 2 Philadelphia ..... advantage Eagles
          number 10 Dallas

          number 11 Baltimore ..... big advantage Ravens
          number 26Cincinnati

          number 15 Green Bay ..... very slight advantage Packers
          number 16 Minnesota
          Last edited by TARB; 06-26-2022, 10:11 AM.

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          • #20
            Current Westgate odds on the teams that I have made bets on:
            Eagles +155
            Vikings +250
            Rams +125
            Ravens +120
            Chargers +230

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            • #21
              I am more and more strongly convinced that the Eagles will win the NFC East Division. Westgate now has Philadelphia and Dallas as cofavorites to wjn the division at +140 each.

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              • #22
                TARB just now seeing this post. The only one I saw value on was the Ravens and I bet this two months ago and got them at +240, long before the Watson suspension. This was the only bet for a division that I took this year. I think Cincy has a bit of a regression and its a crap shoot with the Steelers with no one proven at QB. The Browns, well they are the Browns and will do Browns like things with or without Watson. Now that he is out 11 games, I feel good about the Ravens taking the division.

                On a side note, I did take the Steelers over 7.5 wins as I do think winning 8 games is achievable especially with them not having to leave the Eastern time zone one time this season.

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                • #23
                  3 may not make it……by Im one that each week change the out come!! By as I see it now

                  NFC East ...... Philadelphia……new head coach
                  NFC South ... Tampa Bay
                  NFC North .... Minnesota………new head coach
                  NFC West ..... LA Rams
                  AFC East ...... Buffalo
                  AFC South .... Indianapolis
                  AFC North ..... Baltimore
                  AFC West ..... LA Chargers…….hard schedule

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                  • #24
                    Agree with the rest

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                    • #25
                      NFC

                      East. Dallas ( I'm from Philly area, like roster a lot but still not convinced on Hurts yet)
                      North. Minnesota
                      South. Tampa( No competition)
                      West. Rams

                      AFC.

                      East. Buffalo. ( Cruise thru regular season)
                      North. Cincy
                      South. Indy. Think Tenn is heading backwards)
                      West. San Diego. ( Best division in football, would not be surprised bu any team winning this division)

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                      • #26
                        Supposedly, Philadelphia has been a very popular play by the professional bettors to win the NFC East Division.

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                        • #27
                          My opinion and prices I have placed wagers at

                          Philadephia. Plus 225
                          Green Bay. Minus 150
                          Tampa. Minus 165
                          LAR. No wager
                          Buffalo. Minus 190
                          Baltimore. Plus 190.
                          Indianapolis. Even money
                          LAC. Plus 400.

                          good luck to all.

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                          • #28
                            My takes below. Any lines posted are lines I have actually bet. If I have no wager on a division, I have simply listed as an opinion.

                            NFC - East - Commanders (+550) (Eagles getting too much love although I agree with fading Cowboys)
                            North - Packers (Opinion)
                            South - Saints (Opinion) (Largely just a fade of the Buccaneers)
                            West - 49ers (+200) (Definitely got value on this line as it's currently +150 or +160 most places. I understand the risk with Lance but the overall roster is great)

                            AFC - East - Bills (Opinion) (No value here, but I don't see anyone else winning this division either)
                            North - Bengals (+180) (Ravens getting too trendy. I understand why people like the Ravens to bounce back but I believe the Bengals are the better team and now they are better value than the Ravens at the current odds)
                            South - Colts (-120) (Easily my top pick of any division winner and the one on which I have the most invested)
                            West - Chargers (Opinion) (This division is pretty wide open but if I have to pick, I will go with the team I feel has the best roster)

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                            • #29
                              Baltimore, Minnesota and Philadelphia have one game leads over their respective main competitors. My bets are off to a good start in week one of the season.

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                              • #30
                                With Dak out significant time Philly looks real good Tarb. And I am all aboard the Minnesota train.

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