Connecticut / Utah State

[TARB]

One unit play on:
Connecticut +28

My power ratings make Utah State to be favored by 24.5 points. Utah State's next game is at Alabama. I expect Utah State's offensive game plan versus Connecticut to be very "vanilla" to actually hide its true offensive capability from Alabama. Last year Utah State blew out San Diego State by 33 points in the Mountain West Championship game as a 6-point dog. Then beat Oregon State by11 points as a 7-point dog in the LA Bowl. Utah State will beat Connecticut, but has little reason to run up the score.

One unit play on:
Utah State +38.5 (at Alabama)

Alabama has Texas on deck. So, possibly Alabama plays subs in the second half vs Utah State.

[TARB]

Connecticut is now +27.5 and Utah State is now +38.

[TARB]

One unit play on:
Connecticut +28

My power ratings make Utah State to be favored by 24.5 points. Utah State's next game is at Alabama. I expect Utah State's offensive game plan versus Connecticut to be very "vanilla" to actually hide its true offensive capability from Alabama. Last year Utah State blew out San Diego State by 33 points in the Mountain West Championship game as a 6-point dog. Then beat Oregon State by11 points as a 7-point dog in the LA Bowl. Utah State will beat Connecticut, but has little reason to run up the score.

One unit play on:
Utah State +38.5 (at Alabama)

Alabama has Texas on deck. So, possibly Alabama plays subs in the second half vs Utah State.

Looking very good with UConn up 14-0 after the first quarter.

[TARB]

Looking very good with UConn up 14-0 after the first quarter.

******** WIN-never in doubt *****

[TARB]

Now, hopefully Utah State covers the spread versus Alabama.

[TARB]

Utah State +40 at Alabama is currently available, so maybe, it even rises to +41 points.

[TARB]

Alabama has a recent history of not playing its "A" game versus inferior opponents.

[TARB]

Added 0.6-unit play on:
Utah State +41.5