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It’s still early, but the quality of NFL offenses – especially QB play – has, to my eyes, taken a huge nosedive. There are, of course, predictable exceptions, and horrendous O-Line play across the league has a big impact, but watching MNF yesterday left me cringing. Dogs, per usual, are feasting ATS at nearly 59%; homefield is no advantage for anyone (34.5% ATS and 40.3% SU); and Overs are a fraction better than Unders. The model had a decent bounce-back week, but if I had some wood to knock on, I would. GLTA
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