Sun. Dec. 2nd ALL SPORTS

[Coachv29]

NFL. 68-36-7. +26.70

Over 51.5 Pittsburgh (2u)
Miami -3.5
Bears -3.5
Tennessee -10
Minnesota +5
Carolina -3

NBA. 78-66-3. +8.70

Over 223 Lakers
Clippers -2.5
Under 235 Charlotte

CBB. 57-40-3. +12.40

Arizona -1
Illinois +12.5
UCLA -10
Under 139.5 Ohio State

GL to all

[jdmoose1950]

Sunday Service Plays 12/2/18

Arthur Ralph
LA Chargers/Pittsburgh Over 51
Cleveland +5.5
Buffalo +4
Carolina -3

Brad Powers
Steelers -3.5

Dave Essler
Detroit Under 55

Doc's Sports
Pittsburgh/La Chargers Over 51.5
Pittsburgh -3.5
Houston -5.5
Carolina Under 54.5
New England -4.5
Seattle -10

Double Dragon Sports
Steelers -3
Colts -4
Ravens +3
Rams -10
Seahawks -10
Redskins +7

Fred Faour
Jacksonville +4

Greg Shaker
Kansas City Under 56
Pittsburgh -3

King Creole
Chargers/Steelers Over 51.5

Marc Lawrence
Panthers
Steelers


Mike Davis
Atlanta -1.5


Mike Missanelli
Texans
Packers


Pointwise Phones
Pittsburgh
Kansas City
Seattle
Green Bay
Carolina
Buffalo
LA Rams


Spartan
Pittsburgh -3.5

Steve Fezzik
Cleveland/Houston Over 47
Washington +6.5

Tom Stryker
Panthers
Patriots

Wunderdog
Carolina/Tampa Bay 55.5 Under

[jdmoose1950]

The gold sheet

buff
denver
wash

[jdmoose1950]

Game Analysis view matchup stats DR BOB

Lean – Under (54) – Carolina (-3.5/-3) vs TAMPA BAY
The Panthers lost to the Lions two weeks ago despite outgaining them by 2 yards per play and followed it up last week by outgaining the Seahawks by 1.9 yards per play and finding a way to lose again. Now Carolina is likely to miss the playoffs in a crowded NFC wild-card race and their only saving grace may be New Orleans potentially resting their starters in week 17.
Christian McCaffrey became just the 15th player to ever record 100 yards rushing and receiving and a touchdown rushing and receiving in a game and he should be in line for another outstanding afternoon if the Buccaneers are again without starting linebackers and defensive captains, Lavonte David (questionable) and Kwon Alexander (out). Tampa Bay’s rush defense ranks 30th and there should be plenty of running room for Carolina’s 3rd-rated ground game. However, the more running the more time ticks off the clock and the more likely the game will go under the total, even with expected success from the ground game.
Jameis Winston is averaging 10.9 air yards per throw, the highest in the league, and his wide receivers should feast on the outside if Donte Jackson is unable to go for the Panthers after suffering a quad injury on the first play last Sunday. Jackson’s backup Corn Elder is surrendering 1.80 yards per cover snap in limited work this season, including the game-winning touchdown last week, and James Bradberry is allowing 1.57 yards per cover snap, which ranks 10th-worst among qualifying cornerbacks. Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson are each gaining 2.25 yards per route run (t-11th) and Winston will likely have success finding them downfield all afternoon.
Our model favors the Panthers by 3.3 points with a total of 52.3 points, so the model leans under, and this game applies to a very good 704-507-16 Under situation that is 183-104-2 in recent years and is particularly good on games with high totals (23-3 Under when the Over/Under line is higher than 51 points).

[jdmoose1950]

NY Jets (+8) over TENNESSEE ... DR BOB

The Jets have downgraded Sam Darnold to doubtful and veteran Josh McCown has a decent matchup versus Tennessee’s 23rd-rated pass defense that has the worst starting cornerback tandem in the league. Malcolm Butler and Adoree Jackson rank dead-last and 9th-worst surrendering 2.00 and 1.60 yards per cover snap respectively, and this could be a game in which McCown picks up his level of play. McCown has gained just 4.5 yards per pass play in two starts this season after throwing for 6.1 yards per pass play a season ago and he should produce good numbers today.

Titans’ quarterback Marcus Mariota is playing conservatively after finishing 28th in 2017 with a 3.3% interception rate and matching that poor rate through his first 6 games this season. Mariota had just 1 incomplete pass last week but held on to the ball too long, taking 6 sacks for 43 yards. Tennessee’s offense still managed to put up 7.0 yards per play on Houston’s 3rd-rated defense, but lack of creativity in the Redzone ultimately meant they didn’t come close to beating their divisional rival. New York’s defense ranks 25th in our numbers and it looks like defensive-specialist head coach Todd Bowles is on his way out at the end of this season. The Titans have only scored more than 20 points in three games all season, but I definitely expect Sunday to be the fourth as we have them projected for 25.5 points.

Our model favors Tennessee by 8.7 points, with a predicted total of 42.2, but I’ll be leaning with New York here based on a 98-43-2 ATS contrary angle that plays on teams that are on a straight up losing streak and have failed to cover the spread in 5 or more consecutive games. The NFL is a contrary league, betting wise, and the Jets are certainly a contrary play the way they’ve been playing lately. But, probably the right play given the history of similarly struggling teams.

[jdmoose1950]

Colin's Blazing 5

360 Hou -6
364 NYG +4 1/2
351 Indy -4
358 Atl -1
375 Minn +5

[Migs123]

Hi JD anything you like today

[jdmoose1950]

JETS AT TENN

Officiating report: Jerome Boger will be the head official on Sunday. The over is 94-65-1 (59.1%) in the 160 games Boger has officiated over the past decade (including playoffs), making him by far the most profitable official to the over in that span.

The over is 9-2 in Boger officiated games this season, clearing the total by an average of 6.6 points.

[Migs123]

Thank you for everything

[jdmoose1950]

Top 6 picks for Week 13 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

1) Colts -4 (1,029)
2) Steelers -3.5 (961)
3) Falcons -1 (911)
4) Giants +5.5 (826)
5) Patriots -5 (776)
6) Seahawks -9.5 (731)

Season record: 37-32-3

[CEK3]

thx,JDMoose for your efforts.

[Mdgboston]

Thanks moose, any rubber band games today