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2019 NFL P.O.W. Week #7 (OCT 17-21) Post Plays Here

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  • 2019 NFL P.O.W. Week #7 (OCT 17-21) Post Plays Here

    This is the thread for the 2019 VFV NFL P.O.W. contest. The following are the rules for this year (the same as in the past):

    1. All contestants must be a member in good standing with VFV Forums
    2. Players make one (1) single play ATS each week during the NFL regular season
    3. A correct play results in one (1) point being awarded. A "push" or tie, results in a half point (1/2) being awarded
    4. An Incorrect play results in zero (0) points being awarded
    5. All lines MUST be taken from the following website each week:
    6. All lines must be -110 or less (must be posted on above buying 1/2 point)
    7. Only Vegas Sports Books listed on the VI website will be allowed
    8. The following Books will NOT be allowed: VI Consensus, BetOnline, PepperMill, Atlantis Reno
    9. The following selections are allowed: Full Game Side, Full Game Total, First Half Side, First Half Total (NO MONEYLINES ALLOWED)
    10. Plays MUST be submitted each week by kickoff of last scheduled game.
    11. Plays must be in the following format (or close to it):

    2019 NFL P.O.W. (0-0-0 (post your current record here))

    Atlanta Falcons +3 (Golden Nugget)
    (This is where you will post your reasoning for this selection. It doesn't have to be a book or even a full paragraph, but more than just "I think the Falcons are better.")

    12. Myself, Seahawk Rick (the artist formerly known as Cybergolf) or any other I deem so, will have final ruling on if a play is valid (ie: Wrong line, Wrong Book, Not enough reasoning given, etc)
    13. The first couple of weeks I will give the benefit of the doubt to any newcomers on here...veterans, you know the rules, LMEAO
    14. NO EDITING!!! (ironic, as this was edited by DaveTuley LMEAO) can't change your pick after you post it as this supposed to mirror the real world where you lock in your bet at the current number...if you need to clarify something in original post (typed in wrong team or line, or forget to cite sportsbooks, etc.), please quote in new post to bring it to the moderators attention
    15. For the first time, this year, Week 17 will be worth 2 points for a correct selection and 1 point for a push.
    16. To qualify for the playoff round of this competition, players must have a total of 10 points by the end of the regular season (week 17)...important note: your points will be the number of Units you start with in the playoff portion of the contest that runs through the Super Bowl and will be run by DaveTuley with locked-in spreads and totals, though Tuley often will give extra options if the market has variances such as Patriots -6.5 but also Steelers +7 being available); still debating maximum units allowed for playoff round (currently 5-unit max bet each playoff weekend).
    17. ViewFromVegas shirt to top point-earner in regular season; $100 gift card & VFV shirt to overall playoff champion (we've had VFV Forum members offer up additional prizes in the past including cash and steak knives, so please contact DaveTuley if you have anything to add).

    If you have any questions, feel free to ask and best of luck this season!

  • #2
    In Week 6 we went a combined 26-24-0 (.520) ATS

    Thru 6 weeks, we are now a combined 178-149-6 (.535) ATS

    Below are the updated standings thru the first six weeks of the season. Congrats to both TAKETHEREDEYE and TARB for remaining perfect and well within staking spots in the Playoffs.
    Name Win Loss Tie Total
    TARB 6 0 0 6
    AZTEC10 5 1 0 5
    COMPASS ROSE 5 1 0 5
    EAST COAST 5 1 0 5
    MCGRATH 5 1 0 5
    SENATOR L 5 1 0 5
    ASTEROID M 4 1 1 4.5
    AARON24 4 2 0 4
    AMAZINGMOM 4 2 0 4
    BLUEANDGOLD65 4 2 0 4
    FLORABAMABOY 4 2 0 4
    FREE JACK 4 2 0 4
    J.HERB 4 2 0 4
    JIMMYJAM4508 4 2 0 4
    JPDAWG 4 2 0 4
    MRVOLO 4 2 0 4
    NEALWE 4 2 0 4
    NINERUTEFAN 4 2 0 4
    PHATMAN15 4 2 0 4
    STRMCHAR1 4 2 0 4
    TEXAN 73 4 2 0 4
    DUKOWSKI 3 2 1 3.5
    EIEIO 3 2 1 3.5
    GCOTTON 3 2 1 3.5
    ICETEA2 3 2 1 3.5
    2HOLLYWOOD2 3 3 0 3
    BRUIN GUY 3 3 0 3
    CAP32 3 3 0 3
    CASEINPOINT 3 3 0 3
    CHAMOINLA 3 3 0 3
    HEYRUBE! 3 3 0 3
    MATTYSHARP 3 3 0 3
    MR. PIXTER 3 3 0 3
    RACING CAT 3 3 0 3
    ROCKMAN IN PA 3 3 0 3
    SKYKAM1914 3 2 0 3
    XAVIER ROB 3 3 0 3
    ZJABRONI 3 2 0 3
    RAY 2 2 1 2.5
    BUCKEYEFAN80 2 4 0 2
    BUCKY 2 3 0 2
    CDOG 2 4 0 2
    COACHV29 2 4 0 2
    DEANO 2 4 0 2
    DURBIFY 2 3 0 2
    PITTSBURGH 2 4 0 2
    SEAHAWK RICK 2 4 0 2
    SMARTMONEY 2 1 0 2
    BARRY T 1 4 0 1
    CAPTAINITO 1 0 0 1
    LEGZ_AKIMBO 1 5 0 1
    LOOPS 1 1 0 1
    TONYLOVE 1 5 0 1
    BARNSTORM 0 4 0 0
    GAMBLINGGURU 0 3 0 0
    MTHELLER 0 2 0 0
    SORANY 0 6 0 0
    STRETCHRUNNER47 0 1 0 0
    Last edited by gcotton; 10-15-2019, 06:27 PM.


    • #3
      Sorry for the delay in starting this weeks thread. Was traveling last night and completely forgot to get this started when we got home. Hope it didn't screw anyone from getting the line they wanted.


      • #4
        2019 NFL P.O.W. (3-2-1 YTD)

        Minnesota Vikings +1 (MGM)

        I usually don't like to take road teams in divisional games, but will in this case. MIN is really got it going on right now. Offense is really clicking since the QB got called out, lol. Short road trip, game will be indoors, and they are catching DET off a short week. Lions are playing good, but after tonights game, this line could really move tomorrow. SO grabbing the single point now, as I can see MIN end up going off at close to a FG favorite by next Sunday.

        Minnesota Vikings 31
        Detroit Lions 21

        Best of luck to all in Week 7!


        • #5
          NFL P.O.W. (2-4)

          Minnesota +1 (betMGM)

          This fits 2 trends and will probably be a fave soon so getting in now. Play on away teams in Division game coming off home vs team coming off MNF and also play on away teams in division game that plays on Sunday then plays on Thursday and their opponent is not going into bye.


          • #6
            NFL P.O.W. (4-2-0)

            Min +1 bet MGM

            Line is already starting to move on this one. My Line has Min favorite to win outright, so getting extra point on top of their score is gravy. Minnesota is trending to improving in most metrics. The number on Thursday night games usually favors the underdog and Thursday night games are usually one of the least picked games in the supercontest. Over past several years I have noted that if you take the underdog on the four or five least selected games (add both fav, dog selections for your game total) most weekends (not all), you have a better success rate at covering the spread. Divisional games can be close, but extra day benefits Minnesota. Take every edge I can get. Min 27-24


            • #7
              N.F.L. P.O.W. 2019 (4-2-0)

              NE -9.5 (Westgate, CG Tech, Circa)

              Team with most value on the pointspread here is New England. They have been on a mission this year. Undefeated Patriots have outscored opponents this year by more than 16 points in 5 of their 6 games, while also allowing the fewest points in the league. Pats top league in turnover margin , second in takeaways - while also being worst in the league in fumble recovery percentage! That's because most of their takeaways are interceptions! Good corners, great defensive guru/coach calling his own defensive plays again this year. Oh, and Coach Belichick and team have extra days to rest, practice and plan for this game since their last game was Thursday night. Patriots averaged 10.5 points per game scoring margin against all opponents since 2017... but that scoring margin improved to 16.9 points per game in same time period against divisional opponents. Patriots have played three divisional games, including the 16 point win over Jets three weeks ago, this year with average scoring margin of 21.7 points per game. Pat's 31-10


              • #8
                NFL POW (4-2-0)

                SF -9.5 Circa Sports, bet MGM

                I think this line will rise as betting public probably (and should) believe are Niners clearly the stronger team here. Washington got its first win of the year this week, albeit versus league worst Dolphins and by only one point 17-16. Niners averaging 17 points a game better than their opponents on the road (3-0 ATS), and 16.6 points a game better than all opponents this year. Washington tied for last in league ATS record of 1-5-0, with an average MOV of minus 12.8 points per game. Washington worse than this at home, 0-3 ATS with minus 17.3 points per game. Washington has second worst defense in league this year. MOV. SF 34-9


                • #9
                  POW 4-2

                  MIN +1 (mgm)

                  Grabbing this now before it swings the other way. Cousins is finally playing with some fire in his gut! Cousins and Diggs seem to have found that chemistry that had been missing all season. With the lions playing tonight they will be on a short week.. Dalvin cooks running game is going to keep the Lions defense honest while cousins should be able to pick apart gaps. I am looking for the Vikings to win outright by a TD but with the points the score doesnt matter as long as they win. Minn 24-17


                  • #10

                    GB -4

                    Gb keeps mojo rolling on the Monday Night Stage. Rodgers loves the spotlight and thrives. Stafford likes to wilt under the lights. Let’s hope this stays true. Rodgers on the hunt for the NFC north title and run for Super Bowl. This division win a big one to stay on top. 27-14 packers


                    • bullybeater
                      bullybeater commented
                      Editing a comment
                      Sir,you are in the wrong week thread

                    • gcotton
                      gcotton commented
                      Editing a comment
                      Durbify....I will accept your play for the Packers, as it was posted well before kickoff. Just please make sure in the coming weeks to make sure you are in the correct thread when posting. The result will not be shown in the post at the top of the page, as I had already did them before I saw this post.

                  • #11
                    NFL POW (4-2-0)

                    Min +1 betMGM

                    So many good arguments above. Watching SF and Was, and NE and Jets play this weekend, I feel that the Niners and Pats should easily win their games and cover their -9.5 pointspreads. But, in both cases, you do have to give up 9.5 points and hope there are no bad bounces or tipped balls, or missed or bad calls...all a part of the game, and a part of handicapping. In the case of the Vikes and Lions game, you have divisional opponents, usually closer games to call. But Viking defense is (and has been) far better than Detroit's. Vikes defense has pulled in three times more interceptions than Lions defense. The Lions offense couldn't win a game they had a +3 turnover margin in. Vikings allow the sixth fewest points per game in the league (8.5 points per game less than the Lions defense allows). Lions counter with a leading rusher who gained 34 total yards tonight. Less prep time between games, less defensive talent both rush defense and pass defense, less RB talent (2 yards per carry less), and giving Vikes a 1 point head start. Seems like the play to take. (Or take Vikes, Pats and Niners in a three game parlay...). Minnesota 27-17. Plus 1 point. That means Bookmakers feel Vikes are 4 points better than Lions (1 point better than the 3 point home field advantage usually figured in)...or at least, they think that half of us believe that!! 🤣 Good luck to all!


                    • #12
                      POW 3-3
                      Lions +1 Southpoint
                      Purely a contrarian play as everyone seems to be on the Vikes in this one. Lions rebound at home after Monday night heartbreaker to the Pack.


                      • #13
                        NFL POW 4-1-1 YTD

                        Chiefs -3 (South Point)

                        I'm nervous to be on the Chiefs as a road favorite after they have lost 2 at home - but I like getting the better coach on a short week. 2 weeks ago this line would have easily been Chiefs -6; but the Broncos are coming off 2 wins and the Chiefs 2 losses - I will lay the points and hope the Chiefs offense gets back on track and that the defense can keep the Broncos to 21 points.


                        • #14
                          Record 2-2-0
                          my play this week is the Los Angeles Chargers +2.
                          They gon the road this week after home loss to the Steelers on Sunday night, where they couldn’t hold onto to the ball and were able to move the ball up and down the field against the steelers to make it a close game in the 2nd half. San Diego has proved that they can move the ball against teams just aren’t winning games. On the other hand Tennessee has a good defense but can’t move the ball against anyone. I see The chargers moving the ball and scoring touchdowns and the titans not moving the ball and when they do kicking field goals and not scoring touchdowns. Chargers are my pick.


                          • #15
                            NFL POW ( 4-2)

                            Saints + 3.5 (bet MGM)

                            Saints have won and covered 4 straight since loss at the L.A. Rams. Teddy Bridgewater is an NFL -best 27-7 vs. the spread as a starter in his career. Saints 11-5 as a visiting dog, since 2016.


                            • JIMMYJAM4508
                              JIMMYJAM4508 commented
                              Editing a comment
                              And the Bears offense....They have no offense