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2019 NFL P.O.W. Week #8 (OCT 24-28) Post Plays Here

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  • 2019 NFL P.O.W. Week #8 (OCT 24-28) Post Plays Here

    This is the thread for the 2019 VFV NFL P.O.W. contest. The following are the rules for this year (the same as in the past):

    1. All contestants must be a member in good standing with VFV Forums
    2. Players make one (1) single play ATS each week during the NFL regular season
    3. A correct play results in one (1) point being awarded. A "push" or tie, results in a half point (1/2) being awarded
    4. An Incorrect play results in zero (0) points being awarded
    5. All lines MUST be taken from the following website each week: http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/
    6. All lines must be -110 or less (must be posted on above site...no buying 1/2 point)
    7. Only Vegas Sports Books listed on the VI website will be allowed
    8. The following Books will NOT be allowed: VI Consensus, BetOnline, PepperMill, Atlantis Reno
    9. The following selections are allowed: Full Game Side, Full Game Total, First Half Side, First Half Total (NO MONEYLINES ALLOWED)
    10. Plays MUST be submitted each week by kickoff of last scheduled game.
    11. Plays must be in the following format (or close to it):

    2019 NFL P.O.W. (0-0-0 (post your current record here))

    Atlanta Falcons +3 (Golden Nugget)
    (This is where you will post your reasoning for this selection. It doesn't have to be a book or even a full paragraph, but more than just "I think the Falcons are better.")

    12. Myself, Seahawk Rick (the artist formerly known as Cybergolf) or any other I deem so, will have final ruling on if a play is valid (ie: Wrong line, Wrong Book, Not enough reasoning given, etc)
    13. The first couple of weeks I will give the benefit of the doubt to any newcomers on here...veterans, you know the rules, LMEAO
    14. NO EDITING!!! (ironic, as this was edited by DaveTuley LMEAO)...you can't change your pick after you post it as this supposed to mirror the real world where you lock in your bet at the current number...if you need to clarify something in original post (typed in wrong team or line, or forget to cite sportsbooks, etc.), please quote in new post to bring it to the moderators attention
    15. For the first time, this year, Week 17 will be worth 2 points for a correct selection and 1 point for a push.
    16. To qualify for the playoff round of this competition, players must have a total of 10 points by the end of the regular season (week 17)...important note: your points will be the number of Units you start with in the playoff portion of the contest that runs through the Super Bowl and will be run by DaveTuley with locked-in spreads and totals, though Tuley often will give extra options if the market has variances such as Patriots -6.5 but also Steelers +7 being available); still debating maximum units allowed for playoff round (currently 5-unit max bet each playoff weekend).
    17. ViewFromVegas shirt to top point-earner in regular season; $100 gift card & VFV shirt to overall playoff champion (we've had VFV Forum members offer up additional prizes in the past including cash and steak knives, so please contact DaveTuley if you have anything to add).

    If you have any questions, feel free to ask and best of luck this season!

  • #2
    In Week 7 we went a combined 24-24-0 (.500) ATS

    Thru 7 weeks, we are now a combined 202-173-6 (.530) ATS
    Name Win Loss Tie Total
    TAKETHEREDEYE 7 0 0 7
    TARB 7 0 0 7
    COMPASS ROSE 6 1 0 6
    MCGRATH 6 1 0 6
    SENATOR L 6 1 0 6
    ASTEROID M 5 1 1 5.5
    AARON24 5 2 0 5
    AMAZINGMOM 5 2 0 5
    AZTEC10 5 2 0 5
    BLUEANDGOLD65 5 2 0 5
    EAST COAST 5 2 0 5
    FLORABAMABOY 5 2 0 5
    FREE JACK 5 2 0 5
    J.HERB 5 2 0 5
    JIMMYJAM4508 5 2 0 5
    JPDAWG 5 2 0 5
    STRMCHAR1 5 2 0 5
    GCOTTON 4 2 1 4.5
    2HOLLYWOOD2 4 3 0 4
    BRUIN GUY 4 3 0 4
    MR. PIXTER 4 3 0 4
    MRVOLO 4 3 0 4
    NEALWE 4 3 0 4
    NINERUTEFAN 4 3 0 4
    PHATMAN15 4 3 0 4
    STR8OUTTADURANGO 4 3 0 4
    TEXAN 73 4 3 0 4
    DUKOWSKI 3 3 1 3.5
    EIEIO 3 3 1 3.5
    ICETEA2 3 3 1 3.5
    BUCKEYEFAN80 3 4 0 3
    CAP32 3 4 0 3
    CASEINPOINT 3 4 0 3
    CHAMOINLA 3 4 0 3
    COACHV29 3 4 0 3
    DEANO 3 4 0 3
    HEYRUBE! 3 3 0 3
    MATTYSHARP 3 3 0 3
    PITTSBURGH 3 4 0 3
    RACING CAT 3 4 0 3
    ROCKMAN IN PA 3 4 0 3
    SKYKAM1914 3 3 0 3
    XAVIER ROB 3 4 0 3
    ZJABRONI 3 3 0 3
    RAY 2 2 1 2.5
    BUCKY 2 3 0 2
    CDOG 2 5 0 2
    DURBIFY 2 5 0 2
    LEGZ_AKIMBO 2 5 0 2
    SEAHAWK RICK 2 5 0 2
    SMARTMONEY 2 2 0 2
    BARRY T 1 5 0 1
    BLUEGRASSBETTOR 1 4 0 1
    CAPTAINITO 1 0 0 1
    LOOPS 1 1 0 1
    TONYLOVE 1 5 0 1
    BARNSTORM 0 4 0 0
    GAMBLINGGURU 0 3 0 0
    MTHELLER 0 2 0 0
    SORANY 0 6 0 0
    STRETCHRUNNER47 0 1 0 0
    Last edited by gcotton; 10-23-2019, 05:10 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      2019 NFL P.O.W. (4-2-1 YTD)

      Seattle Seahawks -3.5 (BetMGM & William Hill)

      Where do I start...ok, how about this for starters: Seahawk Rick, you are the king of the Feathered Flock this year(only because I don't think there are any Ravens fans on here, lol). ....My Falcons are the epitome of a dumpster fire...the bye week next week can't come soon enough, so that we can elevate Mike Mularkey to HC and have an ACTUAL DC!! As bad as this season has been, believe me it has been horendous, we could, in theory win the division...keep this in mind, after we lose to SEA this week, which we will, we will still have ALL 6 division games to play AFTER our bye week. That's right, all 6 NFC South games will be played in the final 8 weeks of the season. Never seen anything like that before, but it is what it is.

      Meanwhile, QB Ryan .got beat up all to hell today, and word I'm hearing is that they are ready to announce Matt Shaub as the starter for the SEA game, as soon as tomorrow. This will give Ryan almost 3 weeks to get ready for the back half of the season, as well as the new HC. I know SEA lost a tough game today at home to BAL, but even Mrs. Gcotton made the comment that we could of been viewing a Super Bowl preview today with that matchup. Shitty weather the first half threw off SEA. The friendly confines of the Dome will suit them just right

      So as I sit with my daughter, and Seahawk fan, next Sunday during this game, at least I can take solace in the fact that while she is bragging about beating dad's team, I will also be a winner in this contest, lol.

      Dan Quinn, it's been a helluva ride my friend...thanks for the Super Bowl run a few years ago....and for 45 mins of football action, I felt like the King of the World! Then....well, we all know what happened...best of luck as a DC someplace......but don't let the door hit you in the rear on your way out of Flowery Branch a week from tonight.

      Seattle Seahawks 37
      Atlanta Falcons 14

      Beat of luck to all in Week 8!

      P.S. Thanks for letting me rant for a few mins as well...
      ​​​​
      ​​​​​

      Comment


      • Strmchsr1
        Strmchsr1 commented
        Editing a comment
        G, your pick and reasoning look solid. Since 2018, Seahawks 9-5-2 ATS in non-division games (average scoring margin +2.7 ppg), and 7-3-1 ATS on road (average scoring margin +2.1 ppg). Atlanta is better with Ryan than with Schaub. Even with Ryan, Atlanta 1-6 SU/ATS this year (average scoring margin -11.1 ppg), and since 2018 in non-division games Falcons are 3-14 ATS (average scoring margin -5.6 ppg). Line should favor Seahawks by at least 3 even with Ryan in the game. That gives only a half point for Ryan's loss. A blowout, as you predict! GL!

      • Seahawk Rick
        Seahawk Rick commented
        Editing a comment
        Lamar Jackson is going to make many defenses look like a college team this year. The SEA D is not great, but they don't have to be this week vs your tattered squad. I love Quinn, but time to go...We'll take him back as DC next season in a heartbeat. ATL D just sucks right now, and SEA has a pretty good O this season with Carson running hard, newbie Metcalf the big man is doing some nice things when he's not fumbling trying to change the ball to his other hand, and of course little Russell is the MVP of the league right now, and will pick his way through your birds. Just get a few growlers of that mouthwash your drink during games and be a Seachicken fan for a day to create peace and harmony in your house! LOL!

    • #4
      NFL P.O.W. (5-2-0)

      NE -10.5 William Hill, Westgate, others

      This is lowest the line will be this week, and has value here. Pat's have won 5 of 6 games this year by 16 points or more. Browns 1-1 in non-divisional AFC opponents, averaging -5 points per game less than their opponents. Pat's 1-0 in non-divisional AFC opponents, scoring +30 points more than their opponent. Pat's 6-0 straight up, averaging scoring +23.7 points per game more than their six opponents, since 2018 Pat's are 9-3 ATS at home and scoring 17.5 points more than their opponents. Patriots lead league in turnover margin this year and were +2 in their last game , Browns in the bottom ten teams in turnover margin this year and -3 in their last game. Welcome QB Mayfield to a defense with play calling by Future Hall of Famer Coach Belichick. Pat's 31-12.

      Comment


      • #5
        NFL POW 2019 (4-2 mon night results pending)

        NE -10.5 Everyone, but use MGM Mirage

        Still going with hot team, top defense, top coach, Patriots on a mission this year. Going for ring #7? They have outscored all opponents at Gilette stadium by an average of 25 points per game this year...and Brady is having a sub-par year! They are 4-2 ATS this year, but five of those games were over 16 point margins. One of the two losses was also a 16 point margin - but they had to cover a -20.5 point spread. GL to all! NE 31-17

        Comment


        • #6
          OK....Everyone but MGM! LOL Sunday football eyestrain between tablet and tv. For above play use Westgate, Stations, Circa, or CG Technology. Thanks!

          Comment


          • #7
            N.F.L. P.O.W. Contest (4-3-0)

            GB -3 Westgate, William Hill, CG Tech

            Packers 5-2 this year ATS with overall +6.4 point scoring margin. Chiefs 4-3 ATS with +7.4 point scoring margin. But everything has changed with Mahomes injury...now Matt Moore is the starting QB. To his credit he helped win the game Thursday night after Mahomes left the game. But Packers away margin is +8.5 points per game on the road because their defense is only allowing 13.5 points per game on the road. Chiefs home scoring margin is -2.7 points per game, and their defense has been allowing 26 points per game at home this year. Packers beat Chiefs by 7 in last preseason game this year. Mahomes didn't play that game, Rodgers didn't play that game (Moore didnt play either). This rematch: no Mahomes for Chiefs, and Packers have Rodgers. Same result: GB 27-20. Good luck to all!

            Comment


            • #8
              NFL P.O.W. (5-2)

              NE -10.5 Westgate, William Hill, CG Technology, Circa Sports

              New England's steady reliable year-in year-out performance, irregardless of injuries, bad calls, bad bounces of the ball. Reliably one of the top teams every year in Turnover Margin. This years version of the Patriots has been even better defensively, allowing the fewest points in the league, and at +9 the best turnover differential. The Patriots secondary also has collected the most interceptions (14) of any team. The Browns defense is about the same as last years version. In 2018, the Browns gave up 393 defensive yards per game and 24.5 points per game to opposing offenses. So far this year, the Browns defense is giving up 20 fewer yards but 1 additional point to opposing offenses. The Browns offense is not doing as well. Browns have been intercepted a league high 11 times this season. The 2019 Browns offense has dropped 17 average yards per game and 2 offensive points per game compared to 2018. Cleveland's record after week 7 is virtually identical 2-4-1 last year and 2-4-0 this year. Last time they met, in 2016, NE won and covered (it was also an October game!). Same result this time: NE 33-13

              Comment


              • #9
                NFL P.O.W. (5-2)

                Eagles + 2 (MGM Mirage)

                The power rankings that I use say the game should be a pick it. I see taking +2 as value. This is a Gold Sheet key release.

                Comment


                • #10
                  2019 NFL P.O.W. (2-5 YTD)

                  Seattle Seachickens -3.5 (William Hill)


                  If King Cotton hates his team, I'm piling on!!! I like ATL, and I'll like them more if their sucky-ass D and their pathetic run D let my Seachickens with their 5th ranked offense have their way with them! Schuab is no Lamar Jackson, and SEA will make him beat them through the air, as they stack the box to hold the ATL run game down to their mediocre numbers. SEA isn't a great team, but they are gonna want to bounce back in this spot in a big way. Russy is the MVP as of now, and he'll show it this week vs a team that had the last of the wind beneath their wings sucked out of the building. Sorry for your pain Cotton, but just get the frosty glasses lined up and drink the day away! Like I need to tell you to do that! LMEAO! My POW comeback begins with the Chickens!!!

                  Comment


                  • #11
                    POW 4-3.

                    REDSKINS+16.5 BETMGM

                    Too many points for Cousins to be laying in Primetime. Redskins D held up in the slop vs. 49ers. Peterson will be running hard against his former team. Trap/let down spot after a couple of nice wins. Grab the huge line here.

                    Comment


                    • #12
                      POW 4-3

                      Seattle -3 1/2 (William Hill)

                      I rarely make an early pick in our POW contest, just because of injuries in practice and NFL players often self-implode during the week leading up to traditional Sunday action. However, the Seahawks lost a tough game at home last Sunday, and I see them rebounding against an Atlanta team that is really struggling this weekend, with or without Ryan. Ryan's absence (because of an ankle injury) CERTAINLY would push this game up several points before Sunday, so I am trying to buy now, rather than waiting. I only hope I do not regret it, as I swore off sides earlier this year, and was trying to focus on totals. Atlanta has more issues than Ryans possible departure though, and Seattle is not your old Seahaks team that seemingly only won at home, and were significantly worse on the road.I will take Seattle and lay the points. Good luck to all.

                      Comment


                      • #13
                        NFL POW 5-2
                        Rams -12.5 (CIRCA)

                        A bit slow on this one as I see TARB smartly grabbed it early for a much better line, but Rams by two touchdowns should be doable - this line headed for 13.5 or 14 by Sunday. Bengals O-Line is so bad, and the old saying about bad O-Lines don't travel well. Dalton has regressed badly (not all his fault with this line and no AJ G), and I think team will look completely different next year with all the free agency, i think these guys might just lay down once AJ Green gets traded .....DT Aaron Donald should have a field day, Ramsey has respect of the entire team, and now Gurley back and perhaps healthiest he has been all year. If you want your QB to look good, play the Bengals. Goff orders a Beefeaters & Tonic, Ramsey has tea & biscuits w/the queen, and the Bengals get beheaded in London, 37 to 10.

                        Comment


                        • #14
                          oops posted in week 7

                          POW 6-1
                          Bet Mgm
                          Seattle -3½
                          most are taking off the board and other places moved to 7 1/2
                          After Baltimore they'll be looking for a win.
                          Atl will lose their coach this week

                          My apologies they are off the board...didn't notice the x's

                          GCotton do I lose my pick?
                          Last edited by Senator L; 10-22-2019, 10:21 AM.

                          Comment


                          • Seahawk Rick
                            Seahawk Rick commented
                            Editing a comment
                            William Hill still has SEA listed at -3.5 as far as I can see as of Tuesday afternoon. I think your pick is good to go at -3.5 but King Cotton can bless it with his magic scepter!

                          • Seahawk Rick
                            Seahawk Rick commented
                            Editing a comment
                            Cotton can settle it...VI is what we go by and whatever is listed there is what someone can choose from per the rules. SEA was listed still, updated or not so IMHO they can be used at the number posted. We don't go by numbers off an app, just off the website.
                            Last edited by Seahawk Rick; 10-23-2019, 04:07 PM.

                          • gcotton
                            gcotton commented
                            Editing a comment
                            Senator L.....TARB.......Rick.......As I look at the VI screen, at 8:24pm EDT on Wednesday night, both MGM and William Hill are still showing the Seahawks at -3.5. TARB, if the line was removed from your app, I can't see that. The rules clearly state that we use the VI Vegas books, with the exception of a couple that are listed. The line is clearly still up and available on this site, so until it changes, any selections made on SEA/ATL using these books will be allowed. Final decision.

                        • #15
                          NFL POW 3-4
                          Pats-12.5

                          I usually hate laying double digits in the NFL but after watching the Pats own the Jets last night, this team is really good. I think there is a lot of motivation for the Pats this week especially because of all the talk that the Browns were going to be something special this year with all the talent. Not many more points I can make than what was posted above. Better team, better coach, going for SB #7.

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